510 Little River Farm Blvd Unit B100 · Carthage, NC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WATER VIEW 1ST FLOOR UNIT . CASH ONLY PURCHASE!! ON THE RENTAL PROGRAM. THE CONDOS ARE TURNKEY, FULLY FURNISHED & IN A RENTAL POOL MANAGED IN-HOUSE. NEW ROOF 6/12/2024, NEW Luxry Vinyl Planking FLOORING THROUGHOUT UNIT IN 2024. BUILDING IS BESIDE CLUBHOUSE. .. ON SHORT TERM RENTALS. GREAT 2ND HOME THAT IS POSSIBLE TAX DEDUCTIBLE SEE CPA FOR INFO. BUYER MUST HONOR ALL RENTALS ON THE BOOKS. PRICE INCLUDES 3 FLAT SCREEN TVs . MUST HONOR $72 PER MONTH CABLE TV & INTERNET BULK PROGRAM & PAY POOL MAINTENANCE FEES OF APPROX. $50 PER MO DURING SEASON. 1 BUILDING FROM FABULOUS POOL. WATER FOR BUILDING IS HEATED IN ASSOCIATION BOILER ROOM B & LP GAS BILL IS SPLIT BY 16 UNITS.
Key facts
- 1st floor unit
- Water view
- Turnkey
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with clubhouse and professional management; Association fee $2,856 annually (about $238/month)
Exterior
- Parking: Shared paved driveway; Lighted parking area
- Security: Fire sprinkler system; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Residential condominium; Two-story unit; Entry level: 1; End unit facing water
- Construction: Built with concrete, fiber cement and frame materials; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Balcony; Pond view; In-ground pool (see remarks); Sidewalks; Street lights
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator; Ice maker; Dishwasher; Microwave; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 3 rooms total (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating; Forced air; Heat pump
- Interior features: Window coverings; Furnished; Fire sprinkler system; Smoke detectors
- Laundry & utility: Tankless gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $145 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.3% in Carthage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#450 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Moore County Schools (rural): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #58 of 178 in NC (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Sandhills Farm Life Elementary (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #417 of 1,410 statewide, top 32%, 394 students, 27% FRL); New Century Middle (math 47% / reading 55%, grade C, #106 of 475 statewide, top 22%, 625 students, 32% FRL); Union Pines High (math 63% / reading 70%, grade B, #150 of 535 statewide, top 28%, 1,438 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 231 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 941 units permitted in Moore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Moore County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.19%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-8,406
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $12,076
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28327
- Home prices YoY
- -33.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 231
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,535 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$238
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $145
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $238 · $2,856/yr
- Likely covers
- watergasinternetcablepool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-19days on market $120,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-05-27$120,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,417
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,473
- − Management
- −$1,473
- − HOA
- −$2,856
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $2
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$0
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,742/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This fully furnished and turnkey condo is in good condition with a new roof and vinyl plank flooring. It offers a great rental opportunity with a pool and water view.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Updating flooring — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the unit.
- Both Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can attract more renters and buyers.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and attract more renters and buyers.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Updating flooring — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the unit. ↑
- Both Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can attract more renters and buyers. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and attract more renters and buyers. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moore County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703090
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,333
- Composite
- 43.63/100
- National rank
- #2967
- State rank
- #58 of 178 in NC
Livability — Carthage
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #450
- US rank
- #16574
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carthage, NC
- County
- Moore County · 75,247 people
- City population
- 19,386
- Metro
- Pinehurst-Southern Pines, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,386
- Household income
- $87,434
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 156.0
Population outlook (Moore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,902 people
- By 2030
- 113,134 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 125,682 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 137,811 · +28.9%
- By 2075
- 164,387 · +53.8%
- By 2100
- 175,595 · +64.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Moore
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+27.4 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+28.1 2008: R+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.86%
- Current HPI
- 190.6404
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.04%
- Metro
- Pinehurst-Southern Pines, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $120,000 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…