Fourplex
503 W 168th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- Appreciation +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$1,986,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
A rare investment opportunity in the heart of Upper Manhattan , this fully detached four-family home sits on a wide, tree-lined street and offers 4,370 sq ft of unused FAR, making it ideal for condominium development under R7-2 zoning. Located near a prestigious Columbia-affiliated university and a renowned hospital, the property is perfectly positioned to attract steady rental income from students and professionals alike. With the A, C, and 1 subway lines just steps away, Midtown Manhattan is only 25 minutes away. The neighboring property recently added two floors, maximizing its development potential , now it's your turn to unlock the value of this underutilized gem. Selling it in its cur
Key facts
- 2,375 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 321 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building total area 3800; Located in New York (Manhattan)
Exterior
- Parking: No carport
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Phone connected; Trash collection (public); Water connected
- Home design: Triplex
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Frame construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 3-bedroom unit
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $1.99M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $329/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.66M (16.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.66M (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $16,577/mo this rent would consume 350% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 5464% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $166k of equity ($14k loan paydown + $152k appreciation (7.7% local appreciation)).
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (7.7% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $556k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$265k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 322 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.75M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $530k; list at $1.99M implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 322 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.84%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.66% appreciation · 2.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $855,540
- Equity at exit
- $1,463,168
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.34×
- Total profit
- $2,411,825
- Equity at exit
- $2,861,884
Cash invested: $556,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10032
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 39.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $16,577 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$10,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$536 /mo · $6,427/yr
- Insurance
- −$828
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,481
- Net cashflow
- $1,318
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1.5 | $16,576 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $4,144 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $4,144 |
| #3 | 2 | 1.5 | $4,144 |
| #4 | 2 | 1.5 | $4,144 |
| Total (4 units) | $16,577 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $496,500
- Closing costs
- $59,580
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,986,000 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,986,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,986,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,986,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,986,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,986,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,986,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,986,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,986,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2025-08-01$1,986,000 Active
-
2025-07-31historical $1,986,000
-
2025-07-17historical
-
2025-05-28$1,986,000 Active
-
2021-12-07price $2,500,000
-
2021-12-05price $2,400,000
-
2021-10-05status Active
-
2021-10-05price $2,500,000
-
2021-03-03price $2,499,999
-
2020-10-06$3,000,000 Active
-
2004-04-08soldstatus $530,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,427 · $536/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $19,995 · $1,666/mo
- Expected delta
- +$13,568/yr (+$1,131/mo · 211.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $198,924
- − Mortgage interest
- −$111,247
- − Property taxes
- −$6,427
- − Insurance
- −$9,930
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$15,914
- − Management
- −$15,914
- − Depreciation
- −$57,775
- Taxable loss
- −$18,282
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,388
- After-tax cash flow
- $20,203/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,610
- Household income
- $56,829
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5464.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 62% White 17% Two or more races 14% Black 12% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 42%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 44% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 38% English-only · Spanish 54% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.66%
- Current HPI
- 431.3199
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.84%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+274.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2025-08-01 Listed $1,986,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-31 Coming Soon $1,986,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-17 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-28 Listed $1,986,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-07 Price Changed $2,500,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2021-12-05 Price Changed $2,400,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2021-10-05 Relisted — RLS at REBNY
- 2021-10-05 Price Changed $2,500,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2021-03-03 Price Changed $2,499,999 RLS at REBNY
- 2020-10-06 Listed $3,000,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2004-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $530,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $6,427 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…