CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
8095 Western Circle Dr
B+ Composite 77.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

8095 Western Circle Dr · High Point, FL 34613
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 708 sqft · Manufactured public records · 106 Days on market
Built 1972 0.28 ac lot Est $118k · 24% under $46/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Investor special or renovation opportunity in the sought-after High Point 55+ golf community! This 2-bedroom double LOT home with a private in-ground pool is ready for rehabilitation and offers outstanding potential to create value in an established, amenity-rich neighborhood. This property is ideal for buyers looking to customize their Florida retreat or investors seeking their next project. The in-ground pool provides a rare feature within the community and adds strong resale appeal once updated. High Point offers a vibrant, active lifestyle with amenities that include: Clubhouse with social events and activities, Heated community pool, Shuf

Key facts

  • In-ground pool
  • Shuffleboard courts
  • 0.28 acre lot

Tags

IN-GROUND POOLHIGH POINT GOLF COMMUNITYAMENITY-RICH NEIGHBORHOODCLUBHOUSE WITH SOCIAL EVENTSHEATED COMMUNITY POOLSHUFFLEBOARD COURTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is homesteaded
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $46; HOA approval required; Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, tennis courts, pickleball courts, and shuffleboard; Senior community; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
  • Security: No specific security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One story; Faces east
  • Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Single wide mobile home
  • Exterior features: Private mailbox; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom and one half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No central heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: No notable interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other (specifics not provided)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $620 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 5.8% in High Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#677 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 691 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $17k; list at $89k implies a 424% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,990 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
14.65%
Cash-on-cash
29.83%
DSCR
2.33
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$117,528
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7538 Fairlane Ave 0.29mi 2/1.0 720 (+2%) 8mo $112,000 $156 73
8114 Western Circle Dr 0.06mi 2/1.0 784 (+11%) 13mo $130,000 $166 64
7540 Western Circle Dr 0.23mi 2/1.0 768 (+8%) 13mo $130,000 $169 60
7526 Highpoint Blvd 0.33mi 2/2.0 768 (+8%) 14mo $122,000 $159 59
8348 Highpoint Blvd 0.37mi 2/2.0 805 (+14%) 4mo $143,000 $178 57
8479 Highpoint Blvd 0.61mi 2/2.0 736 (+4%) 10mo $120,000 $163 56
7252 Fairlane Ave 0.64mi 2/2.0 696 (-2%) 14mo $113,000 $162 56
8338 Yellow Pine Ave #8338 0.51mi 2/1.0 672 (-5%) 17mo $138,000 $205 50
7174 Fairlane Ave 0.69mi 2/2.0 660 (-7%) 12mo $120,000 $182 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.4%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$25,053
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
32.2%
Equity multiple
3.92×
Total profit
$72,696
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34613

Home prices YoY
-17.2%
Active inventory
691
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,551 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $676/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$46
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$620

Break-even live

Break-even rent $767
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7513 Highpoint Blvd Brooksville, FL 2.0 1.0 672 $1,150 $1.71 24d 1 0.32mi
7402 Eastern Circle Dr Brooksville, FL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 24d 1 1.00mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$46 · $552/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 97 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 96 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,000 Active 92 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    price $89,000
  16. 2026-04-20
    price $98,000
  17. 2026-03-04
    listed $110,000 Active
  18. 1986-04-01
    soldstatus $17,000
  19. 1985-05-01
    soldstatus $7,000
  20. 1983-03-01
    soldstatus $13,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$676 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$739 · $62/mo
Expected delta
+$63/yr (+$5/mo · 9.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,617
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$676
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,489
− Management
−$1,489
− HOA
−$552
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$6,391
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,534
After-tax cash flow
$5,900/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hernando
NCES district ID
1200810
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,985
Composite
42.03/100
National rank
#3329
State rank
#38 of 73 in FL

Livability — High Point

Score
64/100
State rank
#677
US rank
#14099

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
High Point, FL
County
Hernando County · 169,677 people
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,337
Household income
$58,596
Rent vs Own
9.2% rent · 90.8% own
Severe rent burden
307.0

Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,218 people
By 2030
194,367 · +2.7%
By 2040
203,398 · +7.5%
By 2050
209,589 · +10.8%
By 2075
218,452 · +15.4%
By 2100
205,923 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hernando

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.51%
Current HPI
276.2229
Rent YoY
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+559.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $89,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $98,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1986-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
  • 1985-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
  • 1983-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $676 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…