1544 St Thomas Ave · Sebring, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PROFESSIONAL PHOTOS COMING SOON! Great opportunity to own this 2-bedroom, 2 bath home in the desirable Sebring Falls, where you own the land so NO LOT RENT. There is a very low HOA fee of $50.00 per month and you can enjoy the heated pool, clubhouse with community activities and you are just minutes away from great restaurants, shopping, medical facilities and lots more! The home is clean with spacious room sizes, great natural light and a spacious front porch where you can enjoy the outdoors. The golf cart is included. This one has a lot of potential, and the sellers are offering a flooring allowance to replace the subfloor. Call and schedule your appointment today!
Key facts
- Flooring allowance
- Spacious front porch
- Golf cart included
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Paved road frontage; Frontage length 56 feet; Zoning: M1
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with $50 monthly fee; Senior community; Community clubhouse
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (2 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential mobile home; One level
- Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Front porch (screened); Community pool available
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Electric water heater; 6 total rooms; Pets allowed
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.3% in Sebring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#618 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 475 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $125k implies a 257% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.87%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $39,744
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1554 Caribbean Rd | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+11%) | 12mo | $157,900 | $164 | 69 |
| 2115 Caribbean Rd | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+11%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $135 | 65 |
| 2131 Fiesta Way | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 990 (+15%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $40 | 53 |
| 1004 Hammock Rd #91 Rd | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 784 (-9%) | 8mo | $36,000 | $46 | 50 |
| 1004 Hammock Rd #91 | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 784 (-9%) | 14mo | $32,000 | $41 | 44 |
| 2203 Shauna Ct | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 930 (+8%) | 24mo | $22,000 | $24 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-14,897
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-15,563
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33870
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 475
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,262 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,166/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $142
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $125,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 677-char remark
-
2026-06-14$125,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,166 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,166 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,140
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,166
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,211
- − Management
- −$1,211
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$311
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$75
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,778/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highlands
- NCES district ID
- 1200840
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,276
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4672
- State rank
- #54 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sebring
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #618
- US rank
- #11992
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Highlands County · 98,898 people
- City population
- 50,797
- Metro
- Sebring-Avon Park, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,195
- Household income
- $49,942
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 994.0
Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,674 people
- By 2030
- 99,615 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 99,342 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 98,242 · -1.4%
- By 2075
- 93,291 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 79,894 · -19.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 22% Black 13% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Highlands
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.68%
- Current HPI
- 273.9861
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.29%
- Metro
- Sebring-Avon Park, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+257.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $125,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 1995-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,166 · -8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…