9455 Olde Village Ct · Dallas, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
***THIS UNIT IS EXCELLENT FOR A RENTAL PORTFOLIO* WILL NEED A LITTLE TLC BUT IS IDEAL FOR A RENTAL PROPERTY***
Key facts
- $145 HOA
- Built 1983
- Listed 102 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $72 ($863/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 179 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.42%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $100,858
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -10.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9455 Olde Towne Row | 0.05mi | 1/1.5 | 870 (0%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $103 | 93 |
| 2250 Aspen Dr | 0.03mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 915 (+5%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $115 | 84 |
| 9442 Olde Village Ct | 0.03mi | 1/1.5 | 870 (0%) | 21mo | $95,000 | $109 | 81 |
| 2243 Aspen Dr | 0.06mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 915 (+5%) | 4mo | $99,000 | $108 | 80 |
| 9483 Olde Village Ct | 0.02mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 915 (+5%) | 18mo | $105,000 | $115 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-13,179
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- -15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-17,820
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75227
- Home prices YoY
- -30.9%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 179
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,131 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,005/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$145
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $72
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2198 Aspen Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2194 Aspen Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 7d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 9467 Olde Towne Row Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $975 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 9415 Bruton Rd Dallas, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $849 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 9666 Scyene Rd Dallas, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 753 | $761 | $1.01 | 2d | 21 | 0.76mi |
| 10315 Limestone Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,450 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 10611 Woodleaf Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 959 | $1,695 | $1.77 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 10611 Woodleaf Dr Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 959 | $1,650 | $1.72 | 7d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 8128 Barclay St Dallas, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 587 | $824 | $1.40 | 1d | 6 | 1.26mi |
| 8127 Stonehurst St #5 Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $145 · $1,740/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $90,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-03-07$90,000 Active 110-char remark
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
***THIS UNIT IS EXCELLENT FOR A RENTAL PORTFOLIO* WILL NEED A LITTLE TLC BUT IS IDEAL FOR A RENTAL PROPERTY***
-
2007-10-22soldstatus
-
2005-08-10soldstatus
-
2005-07-25soldstatus 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
Great investment property with potential to get it as a package deal! Seller motivated. Buyer choose carpet color. Go show and sell! Bring all offers!
-
2005-07-14historical 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
Great investment property with potential to get it as a package deal! Seller motivated. Buyer choose carpet color. Go show and sell! Bring all offers!
-
2005-06-08$24,500 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
Great investment property with potential to get it as a package deal! Seller motivated. Buyer choose carpet color. Go show and sell! Bring all offers!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,005 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,005 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,572
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$2,005
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,086
- − Management
- −$1,086
- − HOA
- −$1,740
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable loss
- −$454
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$109
- After-tax cash flow
- $972/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dallas ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816230
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,881
- Composite
- 28.41/100
- National rank
- #6763
- State rank
- #559 of 826 in TX
Livability — Dallas
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #1380
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dallas, TX
- County
- Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
- City population
- 1,168,437
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,319
- Household income
- $64,008
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1679.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,979,839 people
- By 2030
- 3,191,823 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 3,619,611 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 4,026,915 · +35.1%
- By 2075
- 4,957,073 · +66.4%
- By 2100
- 5,508,725 · +84.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 62% Two or more races 35% Black 28% White 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 56%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 44% English-only · Spanish 55%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -148.56%
- Current HPI
- 332.3303
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.36%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+267.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-07 Listed $90,000 NTREIS
- 2007-10-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-08-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-07-25 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2005-07-14 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2005-06-08 Listed $24,500 NTREIS
Property tax history
+9.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,005 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…