5733 W Custer Ave · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
#BR Ranch in handy area, has a side drive and garage. Long time rental property has been occupied by same resident for 5 years. Newer roof!
Key facts
- Garage
- Newer roof
- Side drive
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.31%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,715
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -21.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5466 N 57th St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,108 (+6%) | 1mo | $95,100 | $86 | 82 |
| 5735 W Thurston Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,084 (+4%) | 0mo | $170,500 | $157 | 78 |
| 5330 N 54th St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,127 (+8%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $177 | 73 |
| 5139 N 57th St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (+8%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $111 | 71 |
| 4893 N 64th St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,027 (-1%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $63 | 64 |
| 5272 N 65th St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-12%) | 1mo | $127,000 | $139 | 60 |
| 4872 N 63rd St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (+6%) | 1mo | $207,900 | $189 | 57 |
| 4906 N 58th St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 940 (-10%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $106 | 55 |
| 5267 N 48th St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 932 (-10%) | 1mo | $183,000 | $196 | 53 |
| 5003 N 51st Blvd | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 934 (-10%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $118 | 53 |
| 5863 N 62nd St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 905 (-13%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $199 | 48 |
| 4947 N 66th St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (+15%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $171 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $5,636
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $45,164
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53218
- Home prices YoY
- -19.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,402 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$170 /mo · $2,038/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $316
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $378 | -5% $347 | +0% $316 | +5% $284 | +10% $253 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $205 | -5% $260 | +0% $316 | +5% $371 | +10% $426 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $371 | -0.5pp $344 | base $316 | +0.5pp $287 | +1.0pp $258 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5657 N 60th St #5659 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $995 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 5688 N 56th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,445 | $1.70 | 13d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 6221 W Thurston Ave #6223 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 20d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 5659 N 64th St Unit 5659A Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4900 N 58th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1455 | $1,450 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5830 N 61st St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,450 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 6921 W Herbert Ave Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $1,620 | $1.15 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5820 N 65th St #5822 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,245 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 5073 N 48th St Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,595 | $1.38 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5823 N 65th St Unit Upper Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,295 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5831 N 65th St Unit 5831 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,195 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4610 W Eggert Pl #4612 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,095 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 6518 W Hampton Ave Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5050 N 47th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5905 N 66th St Unit 66th Lower Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 17d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5165-5167 N 45th St Unit 5165 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 17d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 6046 N 61st St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,345 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6046 N 61st St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,395 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4852 N 48th St Unit 4852 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $995 | $1.20 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5956 N 67th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,250 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5958 N 67th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,250 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4340 W Eggert Pl Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,695 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4334 W Eggert Pl Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1077 | $1,695 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5950 N 69th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 7348 W Medford Ave Unit 7348A Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $950 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4640 N 51st Blvd Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,275 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4843 N 72nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,485 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4727 N 46th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,700 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7632 W Leon Ter Unit C Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5435 N 40th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5696 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,495 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4703 N 45th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1031 | $1,695 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4702 N 44th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,850 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 7701 W Hampton Ave Unit 6 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,250 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4479A N 44th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $895 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 8023 W Thurston Ave Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $850 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8037 W Thurston Ave Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,600 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 5541 N 35th St #5543 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $1,195 | $1.06 | 5d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 5908 N 80th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,550 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 5955 N 79th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
#BR Ranch in handy area, has a side drive and garage. Long time rental property has been occupied by same resident for 5 years. Newer roof!
-
2026-04-17$109,900 Active 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
#BR Ranch in handy area, has a side drive and garage. Long time rental property has been occupied by same resident for 5 years. Newer roof!
-
2020-07-28soldstatus $150,000
-
2020-07-28soldstatus $37,500
-
2013-02-02$109,900 132-char remark
Show marketing remark (132 chars)
Good condition, shows well. Total Sq/ft and lot size taken from city records, room sizes estimated. Listing agent related to seller.
-
2013-02-02historical 132-char remark
Show marketing remark (132 chars)
Good condition, shows well. Total Sq/ft and lot size taken from city records, room sizes estimated. Listing agent related to seller.
-
2004-08-09soldstatus $86,000
-
2001-06-18soldstatus $50,000
-
2000-04-19soldstatus $37,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,038 · $170/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,038 · $170/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,823
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$2,038
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,346
- − Management
- −$1,346
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $2,191
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$526
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,261/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,196
- Household income
- $45,642
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2421.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% Asian 10% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Philippines, Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 7% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.44%
- Current HPI
- 325.1975
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.29%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
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Price history
+197.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — METROMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $109,900 METROMLS
- 2020-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
- 2020-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2013-02-02 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2013-02-02 Listed $109,900 METROMLS
- 2004-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
- 2001-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2000-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2024): $2,038 · +31.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…