🏷️ Likely Rental
46 Elgin St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Appreciation +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
46 Elgin St – Turn-Key Investment Opportunity! This well-maintained single-family home offers strong rental potential in a prime location near the University of Rochester and local hospital systems. Featuring a spacious kitchen, formal dining room, and comfortable family room, this property provides plenty of living space for tenants. Upstairs includes 3 generously sized bedrooms and a full bath. Currently generating $1,574/month in rental income with professional property management already in place, making this an ideal addition to any investment portfolio. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, public transportation, and major employers. Great opportunity for both seasoned and
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Spacious kitchen
- Prime location
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Composite siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Existing (year built not specified)
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Open porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Appliances negotiable; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
- Flooring: Hardwood and varying flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Family room; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $684 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,811/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 2168% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-2.9% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.45%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,042
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1283 Plymouth Ave S | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,621 (-3%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $123 | 81 |
| 153 Barton St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,525 (-8%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $167 | 72 |
| 117 Millbank St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,639 (-2%) | 1mo | $173,000 | $106 | 68 |
| 71 Aberdeen St | 0.42mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,740 (+4%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $141 | 64 |
| 53 Congress Ave | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,625 (-2%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $126 | 62 |
| 14 Burlington Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,721 (+3%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $134 | 59 |
| 392 Frost Ave | 0.64mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,569 (-6%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $48 | 54 |
| 15 Brookscrest Way | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 1,562 (-6%) | 1mo | $329,900 | $211 | 54 |
| 91 Columbia Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,518 (-9%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $96 | 52 |
| 138 Ellicott St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,894 (+14%) | 0mo | $123,150 | $65 | 50 |
| 84 Ellicott St | 0.50mi | 3/3.5 | 1,504 (-10%) | 0mo | $223,000 | $148 | 50 |
| 3 Fenwick St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,908 (+14%) | 1mo | $136,000 | $71 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.93% appreciation · 6.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $30,812
- Equity at exit
- $18,244
- IRR
- 31.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.31×
- Total profit
- $111,052
- Equity at exit
- $10,998
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14611
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,811 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $812/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $684
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 686 Seward St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1166 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 367 Hawley St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $1,395 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 249 1/2 Columbia Ave #249 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,300 | $0.81 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 192 Bartlett St Unit 192 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1099 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 79 Evangeline St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1876 | $2,500 | $1.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 127 Congress Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,595 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 485 Sawyer St Unit 1 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 485 Sawyer St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 30 Flanders St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1170 | $1,650 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 793 Woodbine Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 193 Reynolds St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1342 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 190 Warwick Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 444-450 Brooks Ave Unit 446 Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $3,100 | $2.70 | 10d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1317 Genesee St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $2,550 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 102 Virginia Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1453 | $2,150 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 132 Anthony St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,500 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 478 Tremont St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1331 Mt Hope Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $2,725 | $2.87 | 2d | 5 | 1.03mi |
| 75 Stewart St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1840 | $1,300 | $0.71 | 19d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 59 Gold St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1264 | $2,000 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 839 Elmwood Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,600 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 48 Thorndale Ter Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $1,400 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 175 Lattimore Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1480 | $2,265 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 161 Fillmore St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,400 | $0.87 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 106 Gregory St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1680 | $1,995 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 94 Averill Ave Unit 2 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1698 Mount Hope Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1544 | $1,550 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 51 Elmerston Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $2,400 | $1.75 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 136 Garfield St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 19d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 256 Gregory St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 54 Westmoreland Dr Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1230 | $2,450 | $1.99 | 2d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 290 Exchange Blvd Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $2,102 | $2.36 | 2d | 15 | 1.48mi |
| 42 S Washington St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 42 S Washington St Unit 401 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 23d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$119,900 Active
-
2026-03-06historical
-
2026-01-14$124,900 Active
-
2026-01-05historical $1,599
-
2025-12-18price $1,599
-
2025-12-18historical
-
2025-12-10price $1,495
-
2025-11-06$124,900 Active
-
2025-10-31$1,595
-
2025-10-29historical
-
2025-09-03price $124,900
-
2025-07-29$134,900 Active
-
2025-07-13historical $1,590
-
2025-07-07price $1,590
-
2025-06-26price $1,595
-
2025-06-13price $1,720
-
2025-06-12price $1,695
-
2025-05-24price $1,750
-
2025-04-20$1,795
-
2024-09-27soldstatus $180,000
-
2017-06-01soldstatus $35,000 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2017-04-30status Pending Sale
-
2017-03-11$42,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $812 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,419 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$607/yr (+$51/mo · 74.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,730
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$812
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,738
- − Management
- −$1,738
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $6,637
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,593
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,617/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,145
- Household income
- $31,376
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2168.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 14% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.93%
- Current HPI
- 262.1549
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.37%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+179.5% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $119,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-03-06 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $124,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-01-05 Rental Removed $1,599 BUILDIUM
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $1,599 BUILDIUM
- 2025-12-18 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $1,495 BUILDIUM
- 2025-11-06 Listed $124,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-10-31 Listed for Rent $1,595 BUILDIUM
- 2025-10-29 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $124,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-07-29 Listed $134,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-07-13 Rental Removed $1,590 BUILDIUM
- 2025-07-07 Price Changed $1,590 BUILDIUM
- 2025-06-26 Price Changed $1,595 BUILDIUM
- 2025-06-13 Price Changed $1,720 BUILDIUM
- 2025-06-12 Price Changed $1,695 BUILDIUM
- 2025-05-24 Price Changed $1,750 BUILDIUM
- 2025-04-20 Listed for Rent $1,795 BUILDIUM
- 2024-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2017-06-01 Sold (MLS) $35,000 UNYREIS
- 2017-04-30 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2017-03-11 Listed $42,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $812 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…