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207 N 2nd St
D Composite 43.21
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$150,000

207 N 2nd St · Quitaque, TX 79255
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,906 sqft · SingleFamily · 5 Days on market
Built 1964 Average condition 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • Built 1964
  • Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built area approximately 1,906 above-grade
  • Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed; Asphalt/paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Other interior features; Smoke detectors installed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-712/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (5.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (17.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $124k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#951 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Turkey-Quitaque ISD (rural): math 60% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #262 of 1,141 in TX (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Briscoe County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,706 (17.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.82%
Cash-on-cash
-1.70%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$14,309
Equity at exit
$67,446
10-year hold
IRR
8.9%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$56,284
Equity at exit
$103,943

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79255

Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,237 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$-59

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312
Max offer price $141,414
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $44 -5% $-8 +0% $-59 +5% $-111 +10% $-163
Rent -10% $-157 -5% $-108 +0% $-59 +5% $-10 +10% $38
Rate -1.0pp $16 -0.5pp $-21 base $-59 +0.5pp $-98 +1.0pp $-138

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    listed $150,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,845
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,188
− Management
−$1,188
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$3,296
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$791
After-tax cash flow
$79/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in average condition with some cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — dated design

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
  • Both replace carpet — improves comfort and appearance

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
bathroom fixtures · dated design Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
  • Both replace carpet — improves comfort and appearance

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Turkey-Quitaque ISD
NCES district ID
4843400
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$34,595
Composite
47.3/100
National rank
#5051
State rank
#262 of 1141 in TX

Livability — Quitaque

Score
62/100
State rank
#951
US rank
#16927

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Quitaque, TX
Population (ZIP)
448

Population outlook (Briscoe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,366 people
By 2030
1,300 · -4.8%
By 2040
1,176 · -13.9%
By 2050
1,054 · -22.8%
By 2075
865 · -36.7%
By 2100
691 · -49.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Briscoe

2024 margin
Solid R (+79.8) · D 9.7% · R 89.5%
2008→2024 swing
-30.2pp toward R · 2008: -49.6pp · 2024: -79.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+79.8 2020: R+77.4 2016: R+72.8 2012: R+65.6 2008: R+49.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $150,000 LARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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