207 N 2nd St · Quitaque, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Built 1964
- Listed 5 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built area approximately 1,906 above-grade
- Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed; Asphalt/paved road access
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features; Smoke detectors installed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-712/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (5.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (17.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#951 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Turkey-Quitaque ISD (rural): math 60% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #262 of 1,141 in TX (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Briscoe County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.70%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $14,309
- Equity at exit
- $67,446
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $56,284
- Equity at exit
- $103,943
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79255
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,237 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $-59
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $44 | -5% $-8 | +0% $-59 | +5% $-111 | +10% $-163 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-157 | -5% $-108 | +0% $-59 | +5% $-10 | +10% $38 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $16 | -0.5pp $-21 | base $-59 | +0.5pp $-98 | +1.0pp $-138 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-21$150,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,845
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,188
- − Management
- −$1,188
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$3,296
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$791
- After-tax cash flow
- $79/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This home is in average condition with some cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
- Minor bathroom fixtures — dated design
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
- Both replace carpet — improves comfort and appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated design | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both replace carpet — improves comfort and appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Turkey-Quitaque ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4843400
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,595
- Composite
- 47.3/100
- National rank
- #5051
- State rank
- #262 of 1141 in TX
Livability — Quitaque
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #951
- US rank
- #16927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Quitaque, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 448
Population outlook (Briscoe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,366 people
- By 2030
- 1,300 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 1,176 · -13.9%
- By 2050
- 1,054 · -22.8%
- By 2075
- 865 · -36.7%
- By 2100
- 691 · -49.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Briscoe
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+79.8) · D 9.7% · R 89.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.2pp toward R · 2008: -49.6pp · 2024: -79.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+79.8 2020: R+77.4 2016: R+72.8 2012: R+65.6 2008: R+49.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $150,000 LARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…