12109 White Oak Dr · Crown Point, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic opportunity in one of Crown Point's most sought-after areas! Located in Hermit Lake Subdivision and comes with lake and out-lot access to beautiful Hermits Lake. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch offers over 1600 sq. ft. of living space, two fireplaces, enclosed porch and a large corner lot. Bring your vision. .. this fixer-upper has a newer furnace and central air already in place, plus an attached 2-car garage. Whether you're looking for your next flip or the perfect home to customize, this property is full of potential.
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Large corner lot
- Out-lot access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($338/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (17.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.4% in Crown Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#45 in IN, #3,244 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Crown Point Community School Corporation (suburban): math 51% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #23 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 739 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.53%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $329,224
- List price
- $229,900
- Delta
- -30.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12109 White Oak Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (0%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $179 | 91 |
| 5320 W 121st Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,363 (-6%) | 20mo | $195,000 | $143 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-36,397
- Equity at exit
- $34,279
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-33,192
- Equity at exit
- $19,878
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46307
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 739
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,903 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$144 /mo · $1,734/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$29
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $28
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1049 S Main St Crown Point, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 810 | $1,690 | $2.09 | 1d | 4 | 1.23mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $29 · $348/yr
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-10status $229,900 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $229,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 564-char remark
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2026-05-31pricestatusdays on market $229,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Pending 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Fantastic opportunity in one of Crown Point's most sought-after areas! Located in Hermit Lake Subdivision and comes with lake and out-lot access to beautiful Hermits Lake. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch offers over 1600 sq. ft. of living space, two fireplaces, enclosed porch and a large corner lot. Bring your vision. .. this fixer-upper has a newer furnace and central air already in place, plus an attached 2-car garage. Whether you're looking for your next flip or the perfect home to customize, this property is full of potential.
-
2026-03-23price $230,000 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Fantastic opportunity in one of Crown Point's most sought-after areas! Located in Hermit Lake Subdivision and comes with lake and out-lot access to beautiful Hermits Lake. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch offers over 1600 sq. ft. of living space, two fireplaces, enclosed porch and a large corner lot. Bring your vision. .. this fixer-upper has a newer furnace and central air already in place, plus an attached 2-car garage. Whether you're looking for your next flip or the perfect home to customize, this property is full of potential.
-
2026-02-17$245,000 Active 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Fantastic opportunity in one of Crown Point's most sought-after areas! Located in Hermit Lake Subdivision and comes with lake and out-lot access to beautiful Hermits Lake. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch offers over 1600 sq. ft. of living space, two fireplaces, enclosed porch and a large corner lot. Bring your vision. .. this fixer-upper has a newer furnace and central air already in place, plus an attached 2-car garage. Whether you're looking for your next flip or the perfect home to customize, this property is full of potential.
-
2026-02-17historical
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Fantastic opportunity in one of Crown Point's most sought-after areas! Located in Hermit Lake Subdivision and comes with lake and out-lot access to beautiful Hermits Lake. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch offers over 1600 sq. ft. of living space, two fireplaces, enclosed porch and a large corner lot. Bring your vision. .. this fixer-upper has a newer furnace and central air already in place, plus an attached 2-car garage. Whether you're looking for your next flip or the perfect home to customize, this property is full of potential.
-
2026-02-02price $248,475
-
2026-01-19price $258,475
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2026-01-12status Active
-
2026-01-05status Pending
-
2025-12-19price $268,475
-
2025-12-01$275,000 Active
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2025-08-06soldstatus $260,000 Closed
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2025-07-04historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-06-29$289,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,734 · $144/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,844 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- +$110/yr (+$9/mo · 6.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,831
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$1,734
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,827
- − Management
- −$1,827
- − HOA
- −$348
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable loss
- −$3,619
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$869
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,207/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crown Point Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1802490
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,148
- Composite
- 49.55/100
- National rank
- #1990
- State rank
- #23 of 301 in IN
Livability — Crown Point
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #3244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 71,673
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,673
- Household income
- $107,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 705.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.91%
- Current HPI
- 226.0335
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.53%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-20.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $230,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-17 Listed $245,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-17 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $248,475 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $258,475 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-12 Relisted — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed $268,475 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-01 Listed $275,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-06 Sold (MLS) $260,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-04 Contingent — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-29 Listed $289,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2024): $1,734 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…