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12109 White Oak Dr
C- Composite 50.92
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,900

12109 White Oak Dr · Crown Point, IN 46307
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1959 0.37 ac lot $158/sqft · 20% below area Est $329k · 30% under $29/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fantastic opportunity in one of Crown Point's most sought-after areas! Located in Hermit Lake Subdivision and comes with lake and out-lot access to beautiful Hermits Lake. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch offers over 1600 sq. ft. of living space, two fireplaces, enclosed porch and a large corner lot. Bring your vision. .. this fixer-upper has a newer furnace and central air already in place, plus an attached 2-car garage. Whether you're looking for your next flip or the perfect home to customize, this property is full of potential.

Key facts

  • Newer furnace
  • Large corner lot
  • Out-lot access

Tags

LAKE ACCESSOUT-LOT ACCESSENCLOSED PORCHLARGE CORNER LOTNEWER FURNACECENTRAL AIR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($338/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (17.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $190k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.4% in Crown Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#45 in IN, #3,244 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Crown Point Community School Corporation (suburban): math 51% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #23 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 739 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $190,262 (17.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.53%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$329,224
List price
$229,900
Delta
-30.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12109 White Oak Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,456 (0%) 10mo $260,000 $179 91
5320 W 121st Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,363 (-6%) 20mo $195,000 $143 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.53% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-36,397
Equity at exit
$34,279
10-year hold
IRR
-8.4%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-33,192
Equity at exit
$19,878

Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46307

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
739
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,903 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$144 /mo · $1,734/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$29
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$28

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,867
Max offer price $229,900
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,475
Closing costs
$6,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1049 S Main St Crown Point, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 810 $1,690 $2.09 1d 4 1.23mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$29 · $348/yr

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $229,900 Pending 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,900 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,900 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $229,900 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $229,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,900 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,900 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    remarks 564-char remark
  10. 2026-05-31
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $229,900 Active 1 DOM
  11. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    Fantastic opportunity in one of Crown Point's most sought-after areas! Located in Hermit Lake Subdivision and comes with lake and out-lot access to beautiful Hermits Lake. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch offers over 1600 sq. ft. of living space, two fireplaces, enclosed porch and a large corner lot. Bring your vision. .. this fixer-upper has a newer furnace and central air already in place, plus an attached 2-car garage. Whether you're looking for your next flip or the perfect home to customize, this property is full of potential.

  12. 2026-03-23
    price $230,000 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    Fantastic opportunity in one of Crown Point's most sought-after areas! Located in Hermit Lake Subdivision and comes with lake and out-lot access to beautiful Hermits Lake. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch offers over 1600 sq. ft. of living space, two fireplaces, enclosed porch and a large corner lot. Bring your vision. .. this fixer-upper has a newer furnace and central air already in place, plus an attached 2-car garage. Whether you're looking for your next flip or the perfect home to customize, this property is full of potential.

  13. 2026-02-17
    listed $245,000 Active 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    Fantastic opportunity in one of Crown Point's most sought-after areas! Located in Hermit Lake Subdivision and comes with lake and out-lot access to beautiful Hermits Lake. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch offers over 1600 sq. ft. of living space, two fireplaces, enclosed porch and a large corner lot. Bring your vision. .. this fixer-upper has a newer furnace and central air already in place, plus an attached 2-car garage. Whether you're looking for your next flip or the perfect home to customize, this property is full of potential.

  14. 2026-02-17
    historical
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    Fantastic opportunity in one of Crown Point's most sought-after areas! Located in Hermit Lake Subdivision and comes with lake and out-lot access to beautiful Hermits Lake. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch offers over 1600 sq. ft. of living space, two fireplaces, enclosed porch and a large corner lot. Bring your vision. .. this fixer-upper has a newer furnace and central air already in place, plus an attached 2-car garage. Whether you're looking for your next flip or the perfect home to customize, this property is full of potential.

  15. 2026-02-02
    price $248,475
  16. 2026-01-19
    price $258,475
  17. 2026-01-12
    status Active
  18. 2026-01-05
    status Pending
  19. 2025-12-19
    price $268,475
  20. 2025-12-01
    listed $275,000 Active
  21. 2025-08-06
    soldstatus $260,000 Closed
  22. 2025-07-04
    historical Active Under Contract
  23. 2025-06-29
    listed $289,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,734 · $144/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,844 · $154/mo
Expected delta
+$110/yr (+$9/mo · 6.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,831
− Mortgage interest
−$12,878
− Property taxes
−$1,734
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,827
− Management
−$1,827
− HOA
−$348
− Depreciation
−$6,688
Taxable loss
−$3,619
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$869
After-tax cash flow
$1,207/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crown Point Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1802490
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$69,148
Composite
49.55/100
National rank
#1990
State rank
#23 of 301 in IN

Livability — Crown Point

Score
77/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#3244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
71,673
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
71,673
Household income
$107,800
Rent vs Own
12.0% rent · 88.0% own
Severe rent burden
705.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.91%
Current HPI
226.0335
Rent YoY
▲ 2.53%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.4% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $230,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $245,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-17 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $248,475 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-19 Price Changed $258,475 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-12 Relisted NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-19 Price Changed $268,475 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $275,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-06 Sold (MLS) $260,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-04 Contingent NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-29 Listed $289,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,734 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…