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18318 Deering St
B Composite 73.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

18318 Deering St · Livonia, MI 48152
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1923 0.39 ac lot $139/sqft · 32% below area Est $183k · 35% under ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

AS IS SALE * * CORNER LOT! , FIX AND LIVE, FIX AND FLIP OR TEAR AND BUILD. HOME SITS ON . 39 ACRES!. COME CHECK THIS 2 BEDROOM 1 BATH LOCATED IN ONE OF THE MOST SOUGHT OUT AREAS OF LIVONIA. GORGEOUS SPACIOUS BACK YARD FOR COUNTRY LIVING IN THE CITY. ENDLESS OPPORTUNITIES. DO NOT MISS OUT ON THIS!.

Key facts

  • Spacious back yard
  • 39 acres
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTSPACIOUS BACK YARD39 ACRES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; 900 above-grade finished square feet
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 120 x 140 (0.39 acre); No pool

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Baseboard heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; 5 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $406 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.9% in Livonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#116 in MI, #2,784 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, health & safety D, commute F.
  • Clarenceville School District (urban): math 18% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #421 of 540 in MI (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $119,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.36%
Cash-on-cash
14.52%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$183,090
List price
$119,900
Delta
-18.13%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18292 Deering St 0.03mi 2/1.0 900 (+4%) 4mo $163,000 $181 89
18531 Pershing St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 880 (+2%) 10mo $230,000 $261 75
19134 Angling St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 873 (+1%) 1mo $165,000 $189 74
28642 7 Mile Rd 0.55mi 2/1.0 903 (+4%) 2mo $145,000 $161 65
19135 Weyher St 0.61mi 2/1.0 880 (+2%) 5mo $194,000 $220 64
19349 Negaunee 0.67mi 2/1.0 872 (+1%) 10mo $127,000 $146 59
19391 Inkster Rd 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 849 (-2%) 11mo $180,000 $212 54
18646 Gaylord 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 840 (-3%) 10mo $150,000 $179 49
18705 Delaware Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 773 (-10%) 0mo $140,000 $181 48
19444 Inkster Rd 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (+8%) 10mo $120,000 $128 40
17694 Fox 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 970 (+12%) 7mo $179,500 $185 38
18400 Delaware Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 981 (+14%) 6mo $175,000 $178 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$6,493
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$39,160
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48152

Active inventory
117
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,608 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$185 /mo · $2,224/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$406

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,094
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $474 -5% $440 +0% $406 +5% $372 +10% $338
Rent -10% $279 -5% $343 +0% $406 +5% $470 +10% $533
Rate -1.0pp $467 -0.5pp $437 base $406 +0.5pp $375 +1.0pp $344

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18405 Gillman St Livonia, MI 3.0 2.0 1014 $1,950 $1.92 5d 1 0.14mi
19354 Seminole Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,450 $1.38 25d 1 0.60mi
29200 Dardanella St Livonia, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,230 $1.49 0d 5 0.73mi
26539 Clarita Redford, MI 3.0 1.5 931 $1,875 $2.01 25d 1 0.78mi
20091 Inkster Rd Livonia, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,400 $1.85 5d 1 1.05mi
20524 Indian Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 988 $1,600 $1.62 25d 1 1.32mi
18547 Hillcrest St Livonia, MI 3.0 1.0 1107 $1,900 $1.72 25d 1 1.32mi
25822 W 6 Mile Rd Redford Township, MI 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 25d 1 1.37mi
20745 Saint Francis Unit 101 Farmington Hills, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,495 $1.66 44d 1 1.41mi
20745 Saint Francis Unit 208 Farmington Hills, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 15d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 340-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on marketlisting id $119,900 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    AS IS SALE * * CORNER LOT! , FIX AND LIVE, FIX AND FLIP OR TEAR AND BUILD. HOME SITS ON . 39 ACRES!. COME CHECK THIS 2 BEDROOM 1 BATH LOCATED IN ONE OF THE MOST SOUGHT OUT AREAS OF LIVONIA. GORGEOUS SPACIOUS BACK YARD FOR COUNTRY LIVING IN THE CITY. ENDLESS OPPORTUNITIES. DO NOT MISS OUT ON THIS!.

  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 27 DOM
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    AS IS SALE * * CORNER LOT! , FIX AND LIVE, FIX AND FLIP OR TEAR AND BUILD. HOME SITS ON . 39 ACRES!. COME CHECK THIS 2 BEDROOM 1 BATH LOCATED IN ONE OF THE MOST SOUGHT OUT AREAS OF LIVONIA. GORGEOUS SPACIOUS BACK YARD FOR COUNTRY LIVING IN THE CITY. ENDLESS OPPORTUNITIES. DO NOT MISS OUT ON THIS!.

  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,000 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    status Active 283-char remark
  17. 2026-05-11
    historical 283-char remark
  18. 2026-05-01
    listed $149,900 Active 283-char remark
  19. 2026-05-01
    listed $149,900 Active 283-char remark
  20. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  21. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  22. 2026-04-17
    historical
  23. 2026-04-13
    listed $149,000 Active
  24. 2026-04-13
    listed $149,000 Active
  25. 2026-04-10
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,224 · $185/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,224 · $185/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,296
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$2,224
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,544
− Management
−$1,544
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$3,181
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$763
After-tax cash flow
$4,112/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clarenceville School District
NCES district ID
2609840
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,069
Composite
21.65/100
National rank
#8282
State rank
#421 of 540 in MI

Livability — Livonia

Score
77/100
State rank
#116
US rank
#2784

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Livonia, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
56,806
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
30,119
Household income
$88,288
Rent vs Own
18.7% rent · 81.3% own
Severe rent burden
475.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Asian 8% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
84% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Arabic 3% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -260.38%
Current HPI
178.5761
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.5% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $139,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $139,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-11 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $149,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $149,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-10 Coming Soon MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,224 · +54.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…