65 Montgomery Ct · Porterdale, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$254,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This two-story home is centrally located with easy access to grocery stores, shopping, and the expressway, making everyday living convenient. Featuring a functional layout, the kitchen opens to the family room and overlooks the eat-in area, creating a comfortable space for gathering and entertaining. All bedrooms are located on the second floor and offer generous space. This home is ideal for a buyer with vision-add new carpet and fresh paint to transform it into your perfect home. Sold As-Is, this property presents a great opportunity to customize and create value in a desirable location.
Key facts
- Centrally located
- Functional layout
- 0.55 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (5.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $240k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 5.1% in Porterdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#447 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, housing B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Newton County (suburban): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 174 in GA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 419 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,480 units permitted in Newton County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Newton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($240k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.84%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $328,066
- List price
- $254,900
- Delta
- -22.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170 Queensland Ln | 0.25mi | 4/2.5 | 2,689 (+4%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $121 | 79 |
| 70 Prince Edward Way | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,596 (+1%) | 11mo | $306,000 | $118 | 77 |
| 280 Hoglen Dr | 0.29mi | 4/3.0 | 2,778 (+8%) | 5mo | $338,000 | $122 | 65 |
| 290 Avonlea Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.5 | 2,689 (+4%) | 17mo | $319,000 | $119 | 65 |
| 55 Syracuse Ln | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 2,411 (-7%) | 9mo | $285,000 | $118 | 62 |
| 15 Saddlebrook Ct | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 | 2,670 (+4%) | 8mo | $345,000 | $129 | 60 |
| 235 Greenfield Way | 0.37mi | 4/3.0 | 2,341 (-9%) | 5mo | $347,900 | $149 | 59 |
| 25 Prince Edward Way | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,321 (-10%) | 16mo | $301,000 | $130 | 56 |
| 40 Queensland Ln | 0.32mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,894 (+12%) | 11mo | $342,000 | $118 | 47 |
| 45 Kirkland Ct | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 2,433 (-6%) | 13mo | $310,000 | $127 | 43 |
| 50 Cold Springs Ct | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,290 (-11%) | 9mo | $269,000 | $117 | 35 |
| 190 Princeton Way | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,235 (-13%) | 11mo | $265,000 | $119 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-29,573
- Equity at exit
- $38,006
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-18,273
- Equity at exit
- $22,039
Cash invested: $71,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30016
- Home prices YoY
- -8.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 419
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,419 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$219 /mo · $2,624/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$508
- Net cashflow
- $228
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $373 | -5% $300 | +0% $228 | +5% $156 | +10% $84 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $37 | -5% $133 | +0% $228 | +5% $324 | +10% $419 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $357 | -0.5pp $293 | base $228 | +0.5pp $162 | +1.0pp $95 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,725
- Closing costs
- $7,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 Bowen Way Covington, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1918 | $2,650 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 115 Cherohala Ct Covington, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2044 | $2,346 | $1.15 | 6d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 20 Natalie Ct Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1882 | $2,500 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 55 Windsong Dr Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1849 | $1,995 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 95 Saddlebrook Ct Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $1,850 | $0.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 95 Saddlebrook Dr Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $1,850 | $0.95 | 6d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 160 Princeton Way Covington, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1858 | $2,031 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 50 Cold Springs Ct Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2290 | $2,245 | $0.98 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 205 Oak Terrace Dr Covington, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1930 | $2,069 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 60 Parc Ct Covington, GA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 3026 | $2,300 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3489 Fairview Rd Unit Magnolia Covington, GA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2350 | $2,815 | $1.20 | 12d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3489 Fairview Rd Unit Maple Covington, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,390 | $1.29 | 11d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3589 Fairview Rd Covington, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2350 | $2,840 | $1.21 | 6d | 2 | 1.07mi |
| 165 Cinnamon Oak Cir Covington, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1833 | $1,756 | $0.96 | 5d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 160 Wisteria Way Covington, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1839 | $2,119 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 60 Arbor Lake Dr Covington, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2454 | $2,330 | $0.95 | 6d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 50 Robertford Dr Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1765 | $1,829 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 200 Pebble Brooke Ct Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1870 | $1,989 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 30 Hillside Oak Ln Covington, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3129 | $2,975 | $0.95 | 19d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3026 Birdsong Ave Covington, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1795 | $2,275 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 40 Oakwood Dr Covington, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2480 | $2,381 | $0.96 | 6d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 245 Silver Willow Walk Covington, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2416 | $2,270 | $0.94 | 6d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 80 Randette Dr Covington, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1869 | $2,195 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2876 Fieldstone Dr SE Conyers, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2205 | $1,706 | $0.77 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $254,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $254,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $254,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $254,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $254,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $254,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $254,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $254,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08price $254,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $264,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $264,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $264,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $264,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $264,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $264,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $264,900 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
This two-story home is centrally located with easy access to grocery stores, shopping, and the expressway, making everyday living convenient. Featuring a functional layout, the kitchen opens to the family room and overlooks the eat-in area, creating a comfortable space for gathering and entertaining. All bedrooms are located on the second floor and offer generous space. This home is ideal for a buyer with vision-add new carpet and fresh paint to transform it into your perfect home. Sold As-Is, this property presents a great opportunity to customize and create value in a desirable location.
-
2026-05-06price $264,900 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
This two-story home is centrally located with easy access to grocery stores, shopping, and the expressway, making everyday living convenient. Featuring a functional layout, the kitchen opens to the family room and overlooks the eat-in area, creating a comfortable space for gathering and entertaining. All bedrooms are located on the second floor and offer generous space. This home is ideal for a buyer with vision-add new carpet and fresh paint to transform it into your perfect home. Sold As-Is, this property presents a great opportunity to customize and create value in a desirable location.
-
2026-03-29$280,000 New 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
This two-story home is centrally located with easy access to grocery stores, shopping, and the expressway, making everyday living convenient. Featuring a functional layout, the kitchen opens to the family room and overlooks the eat-in area, creating a comfortable space for gathering and entertaining. All bedrooms are located on the second floor and offer generous space. This home is ideal for a buyer with vision-add new carpet and fresh paint to transform it into your perfect home. Sold As-Is, this property presents a great opportunity to customize and create value in a desirable location.
-
2026-03-29$280,000 Active 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
This two-story home is centrally located with easy access to grocery stores, shopping, and the expressway, making everyday living convenient. Featuring a functional layout, the kitchen opens to the family room and overlooks the eat-in area, creating a comfortable space for gathering and entertaining. All bedrooms are located on the second floor and offer generous space. This home is ideal for a buyer with vision-add new carpet and fresh paint to transform it into your perfect home. Sold As-Is, this property presents a great opportunity to customize and create value in a desirable location.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,624 · $219/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,624 · $219/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,025
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,278
- − Property taxes
- −$2,624
- − Insurance
- −$1,274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,322
- − Management
- −$2,322
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$7,415
- Taxable loss
- −$1,463
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$351
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,090/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newton County
- NCES district ID
- 1303930
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,768
- Composite
- 19.2/100
- National rank
- #8816
- State rank
- #137 of 174 in GA
Livability — Porterdale
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #447
- US rank
- #21362
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Newton County · 104,393 people
- City population
- 76
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,968
- Household income
- $79,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1172.0
Population outlook (Newton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,372 people
- By 2030
- 124,234 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 135,550 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 145,309 · +22.8%
- By 2075
- 166,843 · +40.9%
- By 2100
- 175,800 · +48.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Newton
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 57.3% · R 42.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 1.2pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+10.9 2016: D+2.4 2012: D+2.0 2008: D+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.68%
- Current HPI
- 317.5605
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-5.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $264,900 FMLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $264,900 GAMLS
- 2026-03-29 Listed $280,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-29 Listed $280,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,624 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…