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3541 Pease Rd
D Composite 43.68
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$329,900

3541 Pease Rd · Rockwood, VA 23112
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,485 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1972 $222/sqft · 14% below area Est $382k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully maintained, one-owner home nestled in the highly desirable Genito Estates community. Situated on a generous lot, this property provides ample space to enjoy outdoor living while maintaining a sense of privacy! Tucked into a quiet cul-de-sac in Midlothian, this updated 3-bedroom open floor plan brick ranch offers the kind of one-level living that is increasingly hard to find, especially with this level of space, updates, and flexibility. Beautiful hardwood floors welcome you into the spacious living room, featuring a large bay window that fills the home with natural light. The open layout feels comfortable and connected from the moment you walk in, creating a natu

Key facts

  • Built 1972
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Oversized parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property
  • Construction: Brick, drywall, and frame construction; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Built (Actual year recorded)
  • Exterior features: Storage; Shed; Stoop; Smoke detector(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooking; Microwave; Oven; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (First level); Bedroom 3 (First level)
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Full bathroom with tub & shower (First level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air (electric); Electric heating; Heat pump
  • Interior features: Breakfast area; Bay window; Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Fireplace; High speed internet; Main level primary bedroom; Cable TV; Wired for data; Walk-in closet(s); Thermal windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Laundry room (First level); Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $330k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-182 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $298k (9.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (27.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $238k (27.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.2% in Rockwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#86 in VA, #2,803 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Chesterfield County Public School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #57 of 131 in VA (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Evergreen Elementary (math 60% / reading 64%, grade B, #480 of 1,108 statewide, top 46%, 811 students, 30% FRL); Swift Creek Middle (math 63% / reading 63%, grade B+, #134 of 342 statewide, top 40%, 1,115 students, 28% FRL); Clover Hill High (math 60% / reading 89%, grade B+, #107 of 319 statewide, top 37%, 1,775 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 495 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,307 units permitted in Chesterfield County in 2024 (462 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chesterfield County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $330k implies a 1191% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $238,194 (27.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.37%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$382,150
List price
$329,900
Delta
-13.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3600 Clintwood Rd 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-6%) 0mo $290,000 $207 69
3350 Kellynn Dr 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,431 (-4%) 2mo $329,500 $230 64
2869 Iverson Rd 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,420 (-4%) 1mo $320,000 $225 63
12305 Leesburg Cir 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,404 (-6%) 3mo $357,500 $255 59
2915 S Ridge Dr 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,482 (-0%) 7mo $330,000 $223 57
3055 Quisenberry St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,325 (-11%) 2mo $335,000 $253 56
2818 Brookforest Rd 0.63mi 3/2.5 1,600 (+8%) 0mo $354,500 $222 53
12307 Duck River Rd 0.41mi 4/3.5 (+1) 1,400 (-6%) 7mo $374,950 $268 53
2929 South Ridge Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,354 (-9%) 4mo $330,000 $244 50
3030 Clintwood Rd 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-9%) 2mo $315,000 $233 50
3016 S Ridge Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,298 (-13%) 0mo $320,000 $247 48
3120 Clintwood Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,636 (+10%) 5mo $365,000 $223 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.0%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-66,850
Equity at exit
$49,189
10-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-80,385
Equity at exit
$28,524

Cash invested: $92,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23112

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
495
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,382 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,730
Tax from tax record
$196 /mo · $2,358/yr
Insurance
$137
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$500
Net cashflow
$-182

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,613
Max offer price $297,709
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $5 -5% $-89 +0% $-182 +5% $-276 +10% $-369
Rent -10% $-370 -5% $-276 +0% $-182 +5% $-88 +10% $6
Rate -1.0pp $-16 -0.5pp $-98 base $-182 +0.5pp $-268 +1.0pp $-355

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,475
Closing costs
$9,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3225 Hollyglen Ct Midlothian, VA 3.0 2.0 1274 $2,125 $1.67 25d 1 0.33mi
2900 Clintwood Rd Midlothian, VA 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,225 $1.48 22d 1 0.71mi
2350 Scenic Lake Dr Midlothian, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1255 $3,210 $2.56 3d 37 0.80mi
12201 Dutch Elm Cir Midlothian, VA 4.0 3.5 1848 $2,500 $1.35 25d 1 1.14mi
3900 Maze Runner Dr #201 Midlothian, VA 2.0 2.0 1156 $1,950 $1.69 4d 1 1.23mi
3900 Maze Runner Dr Midlothian, VA 2.0 2.0 1229 $1,825 $1.48 12d 2 1.23mi
4000 Maze Runner Dr Midlothian, VA 2.0 2.0 1302 $2,200 $1.69 22d 1 1.26mi
4613 Bridgewood Rd Midlothian, VA 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,995 $1.89 3d 1 1.38mi
12737 Deep Well Rd Midlothian, VA 3.0 2.5 1835 $2,600 $1.42 25d 1 1.38mi
3712 Mill Meadow Dr Midlothian, VA 3.0 2.5 1870 $2,495 $1.33 45d 1 1.38mi
12224 Petrel Xing Midlothian, VA 3.0 2.5 1764 $2,834 $1.61 25d 1 1.41mi
4100 Lonas Pkwy Midlothian, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 969 $2,319 $2.39 3d 20 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    status $329,900 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $329,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $329,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $329,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $329,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $329,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricestatusdays on market $329,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $339,900 Coming Soon 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $339,900 Coming Soon 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $339,900 Coming Soon 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $339,900 Coming Soon 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $339,900 Coming Soon 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $339,900 Coming Soon 24 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $339,900 Coming Soon 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $339,900 Coming Soon 22 DOM
  16. 2026-05-09
    historical $339,900 1900-char remark
  17. 1972-08-18
    soldstatus $25,550

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,358 · $196/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,705 · $225/mo
Expected delta
+$348/yr (+$29/mo · 14.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,583
− Mortgage interest
−$18,480
− Property taxes
−$2,358
− Insurance
−$1,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,287
− Management
−$2,287
− Depreciation
−$9,597
Taxable loss
−$8,074
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,938
After-tax cash flow
$-249/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chesterfield County Public School District
NCES district ID
5100840
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -30.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$72,821
Composite
51.56/100
National rank
#1712
State rank
#57 of 131 in VA

Livability — Rockwood

Score
77/100
State rank
#86
US rank
#2803

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime B+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Chesterfield County · 406,988 people
Metro
Richmond, VA
Population (ZIP)
57,016
Household income
$116,465
Rent vs Own
19.4% rent · 80.6% own
Severe rent burden
897.0

Population outlook (Chesterfield County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
377,190 people
By 2030
395,710 · +4.9%
By 2040
427,694 · +13.4%
By 2050
452,706 · +20.0%
By 2075
505,533 · +34.0%
By 2100
521,282 · +38.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 4% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chesterfield

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.0) · D 53.8% · R 44.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+16.4pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 9.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: R+2.2 2012: R+7.1 2008: R+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -224.87%
Current HPI
277.4841
Rent YoY
▲ 2.29%
Metro
Richmond, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1191.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $329,900 CVRMLS
  • 2026-06-10 Price Changed $329,900 CVRMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Coming Soon $339,900 CVRMLS
  • 1972-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $25,550 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,358 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…