3541 Pease Rd · Rockwood, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- Cash flow +10.3/30.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully maintained, one-owner home nestled in the highly desirable Genito Estates community. Situated on a generous lot, this property provides ample space to enjoy outdoor living while maintaining a sense of privacy! Tucked into a quiet cul-de-sac in Midlothian, this updated 3-bedroom open floor plan brick ranch offers the kind of one-level living that is increasingly hard to find, especially with this level of space, updates, and flexibility. Beautiful hardwood floors welcome you into the spacious living room, featuring a large bay window that fills the home with natural light. The open layout feels comfortable and connected from the moment you walk in, creating a natu
Key facts
- Built 1972
- Listed 8 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Oversized parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Brick, drywall, and frame construction; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Built (Actual year recorded)
- Exterior features: Storage; Shed; Stoop; Smoke detector(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooking; Microwave; Oven; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (First level); Bedroom 3 (First level)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Full bathroom with tub & shower (First level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air (electric); Electric heating; Heat pump
- Interior features: Breakfast area; Bay window; Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Fireplace; High speed internet; Main level primary bedroom; Cable TV; Wired for data; Walk-in closet(s); Thermal windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Laundry room (First level); Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-182 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $298k (9.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (27.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $238k (27.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.2% in Rockwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#86 in VA, #2,803 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Chesterfield County Public School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #57 of 131 in VA (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Evergreen Elementary (math 60% / reading 64%, grade B, #480 of 1,108 statewide, top 46%, 811 students, 30% FRL); Swift Creek Middle (math 63% / reading 63%, grade B+, #134 of 342 statewide, top 40%, 1,115 students, 28% FRL); Clover Hill High (math 60% / reading 89%, grade B+, #107 of 319 statewide, top 37%, 1,775 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 495 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,307 units permitted in Chesterfield County in 2024 (462 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chesterfield County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $330k implies a 1191% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.37%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $382,150
- List price
- $329,900
- Delta
- -13.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3600 Clintwood Rd | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-6%) | 0mo | $290,000 | $207 | 69 |
| 3350 Kellynn Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,431 (-4%) | 2mo | $329,500 | $230 | 64 |
| 2869 Iverson Rd | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-4%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $225 | 63 |
| 12305 Leesburg Cir | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (-6%) | 3mo | $357,500 | $255 | 59 |
| 2915 S Ridge Dr | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,482 (-0%) | 7mo | $330,000 | $223 | 57 |
| 3055 Quisenberry St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,325 (-11%) | 2mo | $335,000 | $253 | 56 |
| 2818 Brookforest Rd | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 1,600 (+8%) | 0mo | $354,500 | $222 | 53 |
| 12307 Duck River Rd | 0.41mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 1,400 (-6%) | 7mo | $374,950 | $268 | 53 |
| 2929 South Ridge Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (-9%) | 4mo | $330,000 | $244 | 50 |
| 3030 Clintwood Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (-9%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $233 | 50 |
| 3016 S Ridge Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,298 (-13%) | 0mo | $320,000 | $247 | 48 |
| 3120 Clintwood Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,636 (+10%) | 5mo | $365,000 | $223 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-66,850
- Equity at exit
- $49,189
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-80,385
- Equity at exit
- $28,524
Cash invested: $92,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23112
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 495
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,382 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,730
- Tax from tax record
- −$196 /mo · $2,358/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$500
- Net cashflow
- $-182
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $5 | -5% $-89 | +0% $-182 | +5% $-276 | +10% $-369 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-370 | -5% $-276 | +0% $-182 | +5% $-88 | +10% $6 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-16 | -0.5pp $-98 | base $-182 | +0.5pp $-268 | +1.0pp $-355 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,475
- Closing costs
- $9,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3225 Hollyglen Ct Midlothian, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $2,125 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2900 Clintwood Rd Midlothian, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,225 | $1.48 | 22d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2350 Scenic Lake Dr Midlothian, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1255 | $3,210 | $2.56 | 3d | 37 | 0.80mi |
| 12201 Dutch Elm Cir Midlothian, VA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1848 | $2,500 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3900 Maze Runner Dr #201 Midlothian, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $1,950 | $1.69 | 4d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3900 Maze Runner Dr Midlothian, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1229 | $1,825 | $1.48 | 12d | 2 | 1.23mi |
| 4000 Maze Runner Dr Midlothian, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4613 Bridgewood Rd Midlothian, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,995 | $1.89 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 12737 Deep Well Rd Midlothian, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1835 | $2,600 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3712 Mill Meadow Dr Midlothian, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1870 | $2,495 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 12224 Petrel Xing Midlothian, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,834 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4100 Lonas Pkwy Midlothian, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 969 | $2,319 | $2.39 | 3d | 20 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19status $329,900 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $329,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $329,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $329,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $329,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $329,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricestatusdays on market $329,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $339,900 Coming Soon 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $339,900 Coming Soon 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $339,900 Coming Soon 29 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $339,900 Coming Soon 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $339,900 Coming Soon 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $339,900 Coming Soon 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $339,900 Coming Soon 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $339,900 Coming Soon 22 DOM
-
2026-05-09historical $339,900 1900-char remark
-
1972-08-18soldstatus $25,550
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,358 · $196/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,705 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- +$348/yr (+$29/mo · 14.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,583
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,480
- − Property taxes
- −$2,358
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,287
- − Management
- −$2,287
- − Depreciation
- −$9,597
- Taxable loss
- −$8,074
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,938
- After-tax cash flow
- $-249/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chesterfield County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100840
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,821
- Composite
- 51.56/100
- National rank
- #1712
- State rank
- #57 of 131 in VA
Livability — Rockwood
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #86
- US rank
- #2803
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Chesterfield County · 406,988 people
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,016
- Household income
- $116,465
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 897.0
Population outlook (Chesterfield County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 377,190 people
- By 2030
- 395,710 · +4.9%
- By 2040
- 427,694 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 452,706 · +20.0%
- By 2075
- 505,533 · +34.0%
- By 2100
- 521,282 · +38.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chesterfield
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.0) · D 53.8% · R 44.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +16.4pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: R+2.2 2012: R+7.1 2008: R+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -224.87%
- Current HPI
- 277.4841
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.29%
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+1191.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $329,900 CVRMLS
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $329,900 CVRMLS
- 2026-05-09 Coming Soon $339,900 CVRMLS
- 1972-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $25,550 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,358 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…