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2915 Edmonds Ave
B- Composite 67.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

2915 Edmonds Ave · Beaumont, TX 77705
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 810 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 2010 0.38 ac lot ↓ 57% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 2-bedroom 1 bathroom home located in the desirable Dixie Gardens addition. This home sits on 2 spacious lots & near stores & schools. If you're interested in a tour, give me a call today!

Key facts

  • Desirable location
  • Spacious lots
  • 0.38 acre lot

Tags

DESIRABLE LOCATIONSPACIOUS LOTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $56,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
11.51%
Cash-on-cash
18.63%
DSCR
1.83
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.5%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$6,982
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$27,834
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77705

Home prices YoY
-29.7%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,006 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$194 /mo · $2,331/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$261

Break-even live

Break-even rent $676
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $295 -5% $278 +0% $261 +5% $244 +10% $227
Rent -10% $181 -5% $221 +0% $261 +5% $301 +10% $340
Rate -1.0pp $291 -0.5pp $276 base $261 +0.5pp $245 +1.0pp $230

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2425 Lela St Beaumont, TX 1.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 24d 1 0.40mi
2450 S 8th St Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 940 $1,450 $1.54 14d 1 1.06mi
1834 Roberts St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 840 $897 $1.07 44d 1 1.07mi
2401 Franklin St Unit 2405 Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 600 $995 $1.66 14d 1 1.12mi
4285 Chaison St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 904 $850 $0.94 44d 1 1.29mi
2370 Avenue C Unit C Beaumont, TX 1.0 1.0 728 $850 $1.17 24d 1 1.33mi
1294 Cartwright St Unit 1 Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $895 $1.12 14d 1 1.41mi
2585 Orange Ave Unit 3 Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 806 $975 $1.21 14d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    price $60,000
  2. 2024-12-16
    status Pending
  3. 2024-10-04
    listed $114,900 Active
  4. 2024-08-27
    price $120,000
  5. 2024-04-03
    price $140,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,331 · $194/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,331 · $194/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,072
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$2,331
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$966
− Management
−$966
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$2,404
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$577
After-tax cash flow
$2,554/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaumont ISD
NCES district ID
4809670
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,683
Composite
15.43/100
National rank
#9316
State rank
#789 of 826 in TX

Livability — Beaumont

Score
64/100
State rank
#739
US rank
#13710

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beaumont, TX
County
Jefferson County · 203,592 people
City population
125,901
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
38,259
Household income
$54,633
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
776.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
259,015 people
By 2030
260,685 · +0.6%
By 2040
263,309 · +1.7%
By 2050
265,237 · +2.4%
By 2075
270,193 · +4.3%
By 2100
255,628 · -1.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 46% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.76%
Current HPI
129.3696
Rent YoY
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-57.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $60,000 BBOR
  • 2024-12-16 Pending BBOR
  • 2024-10-04 Listed $114,900 BBOR
  • 2024-08-27 Price Changed $120,000 BBOR
  • 2024-04-03 Price Changed $140,000 BBOR

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,331 · +19.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…