Duplex
659 Bronson St · Watertown, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Nice city duplex that has been extensively remodeled. Nothing left to do but move in! 3 bedroom 1.5 bath on one side and 1 bedroom 1 bath on the other. Large 2 stall garage with a full second story. Would be a great man cave or artist studio.
Key facts
- Two stories garage
- Walk up large attic
- 5,372 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Tenant pays all utilities; Operating expense details: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: Garage with two spaces; Additional parking (two or more spaces)
- Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story multifamily building; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Stone foundation; Existing (previously built) structure
- Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 34 x 158
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (in one unit); Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit (includes porch)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl; Varied flooring types
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom across units
- Heating & cooling: Heating present; Electric heating; Natural gas heating; Gas stove heating; Baseboard heating
- Interior features: Drapes and window treatments; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in unit; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.2-bath units multifamily listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $589/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.1% vs local median 6.2% in Watertown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#540 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Watertown City School District (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #481 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.0%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,425/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 1634% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.89%
- DSCR
- 3.04
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $159,432
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 N Rutland St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,610 (-8%) | 0mo | $121,600 | $76 | 75 |
| 203 Mechanic St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 1,718 (-2%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $70 | 74 |
| 314 Central St | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,616 (-8%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $62 | 70 |
| 119 State Pl | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 | 1,848 (+6%) | 16mo | $38,500 | $21 | 66 |
| 678 Bronson St | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 | 1,601 (-9%) | 20mo | $169,900 | $106 | 64 |
| 221 S Hamilton St | 0.47mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,780 (+2%) | 6mo | $167,500 | $94 | 64 |
| 810 Boyd St | 0.36mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,934 (+10%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $93 | 58 |
| 356 N Colorado Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,665 (-5%) | 6mo | $149,900 | $90 | 52 |
| 541 Davidson St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,641 (-6%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $91 | 49 |
| 700 Lillian St | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 1,596 (-9%) | 14mo | $148,400 | $93 | 48 |
| 119 Stuart St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,710 (-2%) | 15mo | $28,000 | $16 | 48 |
| 629 Lillian St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 1,564 (-11%) | 21mo | $178,000 | $114 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.27×
- Total profit
- $70,030
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 56.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.01×
- Total profit
- $215,998
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13601
- Home prices YoY
- -5.6%
- Rents YoY
- 10.0%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,425 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$115 /mo · $1,383/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$509
- Net cashflow
- $1,178
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.2 | $2,426 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.2 | $1,213 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.2 | $1,213 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,425 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123 State Pl Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1029 Gill St Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $1,950 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 621 Academy St Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $1,600 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 328 Clay St Unit 3 Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 256 Michigan Ave Watertown, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1435 | $1,626 | $1.13 | 43d | 9 | 0.64mi |
| 377 W Main St Unit 1 Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1991 | $1,350 | $0.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 128 Park Ave Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2300 | $2,400 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 156 N Meadow St Watertown, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2535 | $1,500 | $0.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1815 Olmstead Dr Watertown, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1380 | $1,676 | $1.21 | 43d | 6 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-01-13$110,000 Active
-
2011-10-14soldstatus $100,000
-
2011-10-11soldstatus $100,000 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Nice city duplex that has been extensively remodeled. Nothing left to do but move in! 3 bedroom 1.5 bath on one side and 1 bedroom 1 bath on the other. Large 2 stall garage with a full second story. Would be a great man cave or artist studio.
-
2011-08-11$100,000 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Nice city duplex that has been extensively remodeled. Nothing left to do but move in! 3 bedroom 1.5 bath on one side and 1 bedroom 1 bath on the other. Large 2 stall garage with a full second story. Would be a great man cave or artist studio.
-
2007-04-18soldstatus $59,900 39-char remark
Show marketing remark (39 chars)
To settle the estate. Being sold as is.
-
2006-08-25$77,700 39-char remark
Show marketing remark (39 chars)
To settle the estate. Being sold as is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,383 · $115/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,621 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- +$238/yr (+$20/mo · 17.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,100
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,383
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,328
- − Management
- −$2,328
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $13,149
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,156
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,978/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Watertown City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630120
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,919
- Composite
- 36.86/100
- National rank
- #4551
- State rank
- #481 of 590 in NY
Livability — Watertown
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #540
- US rank
- #9700
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Watertown, NY
- County
- Jefferson County · 47,417 people
- City population
- 36,839
- Metro
- Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,839
- Household income
- $58,791
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1634.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,748 people
- By 2030
- 109,370 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 103,828 · -7.1%
- By 2050
- 98,523 · -11.8%
- By 2075
- 91,422 · -18.2%
- By 2100
- 78,214 · -30.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.6) · D 38.2% · R 61.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: -5.3pp · 2024: -23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.6 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+5.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.86%
- Current HPI
- 316.636
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.96%
- Metro
- Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+41.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-01-13 Listed $110,000 CNYIS
- 2011-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2011-10-11 Sold (MLS) $100,000 CNYIS
- 2011-08-11 Listed $100,000 CNYIS
- 2007-04-18 Sold (MLS) $59,900 CNYIS
- 2006-08-25 Listed $77,700 CNYIS
Property tax history
+14.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,383 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…