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4116 S 18th St
D Composite 44.68
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

4116 S 18th St · Fort Smith, AR 72901
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,260 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1950 10,498 sqft lot Est $144k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wonderful starter home or investment. Newer roof, maintenance free sidings, larger rooms, fenced back yard, and move-in condition, all this $93,500.00

Key facts

  • Updated tile
  • Bonus room
  • Natural light

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSFENCED BACKYARDBONUS ROOMNATURAL LIGHTUPDATED TILE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Electricity available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Back yard fencing; Storage structure; City lot; Level lot; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Dishwasher; Gas water heater
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Electric cooling; Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Blinds on windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5 ($57/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (21.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Raymond F. Orr Elem. School (math 36% / reading 33%, grade F, #254 of 454 statewide, top 59%, 306 students, 77% FRL); Ramsey Junior High School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade D-, #78 of 201 statewide, top 40%, 832 students, 67% FRL); Southside High School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade F, #31 of 292 statewide, top 12%, 1,956 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 174 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $86k; list at $130k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $102,581 (21.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.34%
Cash-on-cash
0.16%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$143,640
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1511 Houston St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,282 (+2%) 3mo $195,000 $152 72
4423 S 21st St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-5%) 3mo $83,000 $69 72
4721 Jenny Lind Rd 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,195 (-5%) 5mo $140,000 $117 68
1605 S Independence St 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,118 (-11%) 1mo $163,400 $146 64
4808 S 16th Ter 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,170 (-7%) 2mo $149,500 $128 64
1821 Vicksburg St 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,274 (+1%) 1mo $145,000 $114 61
4407 S 27th St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,320 (+5%) 2mo $145,000 $110 60
1923 Utica St 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,200 (-5%) 2mo $145,500 $121 59
4607 S 22nd St 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,421 (+13%) 1mo $150,000 $106 57
1924 Utica Pl 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,360 (+8%) 3mo $126,500 $93 49
3220 S 16th St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,104 (-12%) 0mo $67,250 $61 44
4810 27th St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,404 (+11%) 4mo $71,000 $51 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-19,354
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-10,582
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72901

Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
174
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,026 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $844/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$215
Net cashflow
$5

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,020
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $78 -5% $42 +0% $5 +5% $-32 +10% $-69
Rent -10% $-76 -5% $-36 +0% $5 +5% $45 +10% $86
Rate -1.0pp $70 -0.5pp $38 base $5 +0.5pp $-29 +1.0pp $-63

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1813 Osage St Unit A Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 978 $975 $1.00 21d 1 0.23mi
1624 Fresno St Fort Smith, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0 785 $895 $1.14 14d 3 0.45mi
2212 Savannah St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.5 916 $1,095 $1.20 21d 1 0.67mi
5019 S 28th St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 1020 $2,175 $2.13 21d 1 0.97mi
5124 S 29th St Unit B Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 900 $895 $0.99 21d 1 1.06mi
2851 Xavier St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 986 $925 $0.94 14d 2 1.15mi
1439 Brazil Ave Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.0 1050 $900 $0.86 21d 1 1.19mi
2307 S 23rd St Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.5 1356 $1,595 $1.18 21d 1 1.26mi
5024 S 34th St Unit 5024A Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 986 $925 $0.94 14d 1 1.26mi
5024 S 34th St Unit 5028A Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 986 $925 $0.94 21d 1 1.26mi
2200 S 17th St Unit D Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.0 1123 $975 $0.87 21d 1 1.28mi
2800 Wharton Cir Unit 2323 Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 1240 $925 $0.75 14d 1 1.29mi
1915 S U St Unit A Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 900 $975 $1.08 21d 1 1.32mi
3700 Dallas St Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.0 1544 $1,795 $1.16 21d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    status $129,900 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 687-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    listed $129,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$844 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$844 · $70/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,310
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$844
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$985
− Management
−$985
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$2,208
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$530
After-tax cash flow
$587/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Smith School District
NCES district ID
0506330
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,066
Composite
30.66/100
National rank
#6183
State rank
#106 of 238 in AR

Livability — Fort Smith

Score
65/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#13185

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Smith, AR
County
Sebastian County · 99,312 people
City population
94,356
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
Population (ZIP)
19,819
Household income
$42,851
Rent vs Own
56.7% rent · 43.3% own
Severe rent burden
1117.0

Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
133,992 people
By 2030
136,620 · +2.0%
By 2040
140,832 · +5.1%
By 2050
143,301 · +6.9%
By 2075
147,964 · +10.4%
By 2100
145,848 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -173.82%
Current HPI
172.3777
Rent YoY
▲ 4.37%
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+38.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $129,900 WRVBOR
  • 2021-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $86,500 Public Records
  • 2021-04-09 Sold (MLS) $86,500 WRVBOR
  • 2021-02-23 Listed $93,500 WRVBOR

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $844 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…