12528 S Ada St · Calumet Park, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- ARV discount +5.1/15.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Classic brick raised ranch is clean and has a perfect yard with a side drive and garage. It is located near shopping, schools and transportation. This fine home features three bedrooms, formal dining room, modern kitchen and a full basement Buyer is responsible for Calumet Park escrow/transfer requirements and POS violations. The inspection is in the doc poster. Lot/room sizes estimated.
Key facts
- Near schools
- Brick raised ranch
- Near shopping
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing; tenant's rights apply
- Financial info: Homeowner tax exemption
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (garage owned); One garage space, one total parking space
- Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Property was rehabbed in 2022; Built before 1978 (71–80 years old); Previously leased (currently leased)
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Oversized Chicago lot (~5000); Lot dimensions 5000
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Laminate flooring in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on main level); Master bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living room, dining room, master bedroom and two other bedrooms; Laminate flooring in kitchen
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Full, unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#308 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
- Chsd 218 (suburban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #454 of 620 in IL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 76 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,799/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1868% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $145k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.37%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $137,664
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12613 S Marshfield Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+5%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $119 | 72 |
| 12613 S Bishop St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 876 (-8%) | 4mo | $154,500 | $176 | 71 |
| 12811 S Elizabeth St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,028 (+8%) | 3mo | $117,900 | $115 | 68 |
| 12356 S Carpenter St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+5%) | 4mo | $158,894 | $158 | 67 |
| 12219 S Throop St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 880 (-8%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $136 | 67 |
| 12343 S Lincoln St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+0%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $99 | 64 |
| 12237 S Ada St | 0.38mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,025 (+7%) | 6mo | $148,000 | $144 | 60 |
| 12036 S Justine St | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 1,025 (+7%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $239 | 49 |
| 12154 S Justine St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (+14%) | 1mo | $160,053 | $147 | 48 |
| 12820 S Sangamon St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,077 (+13%) | 4mo | $157,500 | $146 | 46 |
| 843 W Vermont Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-10%) | 3mo | $58,000 | $67 | 44 |
| 12334 Sangamon St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,087 (+14%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $83 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,605
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $54,820
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60827
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,799 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$419 /mo · $5,028/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $182
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12827 S Morgan St Unit 1546010P Chicago, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $4,677 | $4.58 | 12d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 12253 S Peoria St Chicago, IL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 684 | $3,000 | $4.39 | 1d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 843 W 123rd St Unit V5 Calumet Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 843 W 123rd St Unit T2 Calumet Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,400 | $1.87 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 12358 S Lowe Ave Chicago, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,400 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 13034 Honore St Unit 1 Blue Island, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,350 | $1.93 | 12d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1908 Vermont St Unit 1916-4 Blue Island, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 1d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1923 Vermont St Blue Island, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1087 | $1,550 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2130 122nd St Blue Island, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 558 | $1,450 | $2.60 | 1d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 11547 S Ashland Ave Chicago, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,700 | $2.70 | 3d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 382-char remark
-
2026-06-15remarks 312-char remark
-
2026-06-15$145,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,028 · $419/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,028 · $419/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,591
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$5,028
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,727
- − Management
- −$1,727
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $43
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$10
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,169/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chsd 218
- NCES district ID
- 1706540
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,166
- Composite
- 16.09/100
- National rank
- #9235
- State rank
- #454 of 620 in IL
Livability — Calumet Park
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #308
- US rank
- #6048
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Calumet Park, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,713
- Household income
- $37,217
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1868.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.39%
- Current HPI
- 163.7725
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.82%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+137.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $145,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-15 Sold (MLS) $90,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-15 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-07 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-15 Listed $99,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 1990-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2023): $5,028 · +67.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…