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10 Archer Ave
C- Composite 53.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.3/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,900

10 Archer Ave · West Pensacola, FL 32505
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 829 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 209 Days on market
Built 1957 9,583 sqft lot $175/sqft · 36% above area Est $155k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or first-time homebuyers alike! Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio or purchase your very first home, this property is full of potential. Enjoy peace of mind with a newer HVAC system, ensuring comfort and efficiency year-round. With a little personal touch, this home could easily shine and provide long-term value. Don’t miss your chance to own an affordable property with solid returns and endless possibilities!

Key facts

  • Newer hvac system
  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • Built 1957

Tags

NEWER HVAC SYSTEM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $155 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (5.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#629 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $145k implies a 408% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.57%
Cash-on-cash
4.58%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,605
List price
$144,900
Delta
-6.28%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2405 W Hernandez St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 850 (+2%) 3mo $143,000 $168 72
1608 N S St 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 800 (-4%) 11mo $198,000 $248 59
1219 N U St 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 782 (-6%) 13mo $100,000 $128 54
3411 W Maxwell St 0.41mi 3/1.0 912 (+10%) 16mo $158,000 $173 51
1507 N S St 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 746 (-10%) 13mo $126,500 $170 50
2624 W Lee St 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 940 (+13%) 3mo $193,000 $205 49
2501 W Godfrey St 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 880 (+6%) 22mo $73,000 $83 48
2501 W Godfrey St 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 880 (+6%) 22mo $73,000 $83 48
1207 Grandview St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 784 (-5%) 16mo $104,500 $133 46
2410 W Yonge St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 888 (+7%) 16mo $115,000 $130 45
1220 N Kirk St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 868 (+5%) 22mo $165,000 $190 39
1201 Grandview St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (+9%) 16mo $159,000 $177 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.2%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-10,964
Equity at exit
$21,605
10-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$14,496
Equity at exit
$12,528

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32505

Home prices YoY
-26.5%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,364 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,231/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$155

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,168
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3206 W Lee St Unit A Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,550 $1.94 14d 1 0.39mi
3202 W Lee St Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 680 $995 $1.46 14d 1 0.40mi
2303 W Brainerd St Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 955 $1,100 $1.15 23d 1 0.63mi
1218 N Kirk St Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,150 $1.35 23d 1 0.67mi
3417 W Fisher St Unit C Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1106 $1,350 $1.22 23d 1 0.67mi
1918 W Strong St Unit B Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 870 $950 $1.09 14d 1 0.93mi
406 N S St Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 806 $1,295 $1.61 23d 1 1.03mi
419 N Wentworth St Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 23d 1 1.03mi
1717 W Cervantes St Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 974 $1,169 $1.20 14d 3 1.12mi
3740 Frontera Cir Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,295 $1.26 23d 1 1.17mi
1804 W Belmont St Unit A Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 925 $995 $1.08 21d 1 1.25mi
721 W Jordan St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1030 $1,895 $1.84 23d 1 1.35mi
510 N G St Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 704 $850 $1.21 23d 1 1.44mi
811 N D St Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 1035 $1,395 $1.35 23d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $144,900 Active 209 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $144,900 Active 208 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $144,900 Active 207 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,900 Active 206 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $144,900 Active 204 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $144,900 Active 201 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $144,900 Active 200 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $144,900 Active 199 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $144,900 Active 198 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 194 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 193 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 192 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 191 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 190 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    status Active 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or first-time homebuyers alike! Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio or purchase your very first home, this property is full of potential. Enjoy peace of mind with a newer HVAC system, ensuring comfort and efficiency year-round. With a little personal touch, this home could easily shine and provide long-term value. Don’t miss your chance to own an affordable property with solid returns and endless possibilities!

  16. 2026-05-05
    historical 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or first-time homebuyers alike! Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio or purchase your very first home, this property is full of potential. Enjoy peace of mind with a newer HVAC system, ensuring comfort and efficiency year-round. With a little personal touch, this home could easily shine and provide long-term value. Don’t miss your chance to own an affordable property with solid returns and endless possibilities!

  17. 2026-03-18
    price $145,000 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or first-time homebuyers alike! Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio or purchase your very first home, this property is full of potential. Enjoy peace of mind with a newer HVAC system, ensuring comfort and efficiency year-round. With a little personal touch, this home could easily shine and provide long-term value. Don’t miss your chance to own an affordable property with solid returns and endless possibilities!

  18. 2025-11-10
    listed $150,000 Active 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a fantastic opportunity for investors or first-time homebuyers alike! Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio or purchase your very first home, this property is full of potential. Enjoy peace of mind with a newer HVAC system, ensuring comfort and efficiency year-round. With a little personal touch, this home could easily shine and provide long-term value. Don’t miss your chance to own an affordable property with solid returns and endless possibilities!

  19. 1981-07-01
    soldstatus $28,500
  20. 1972-01-01
    soldstatus $13,500
  21. 1904-01-01
    soldstatus $15,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,231 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,231 · $103/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,369
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$1,231
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,310
− Management
−$1,310
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable loss
−$538
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$129
After-tax cash flow
$1,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — West Pensacola

Score
66/100
State rank
#629
US rank
#12275

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Pensacola, FL
County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,877
Household income
$44,783
Rent vs Own
47.7% rent · 52.3% own
Severe rent burden
1458.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.10%
Current HPI
205.45
Rent YoY
▲ 4.92%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+841.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $145,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Listed $150,000 PARMLS
  • 1981-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records
  • 1972-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,500 Public Records
  • 1904-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,231 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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