19345 Keystone St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Newly renovated move-in ready home! This charming single-family home features 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. 2nd bedroom can be used as a den, office, or sitting area. It has been thoughtfully updated with modern touches to the kitchen, dining room, bedrooms, and bathroom. All have been beautifully renovated with fresh finishes and neutral paint, making this home truly move-in ready. It has a full basement with washer/dryer hookups and an open area for your personal touch. Appliances stay with a full price offer; otherwise, they are negotiable. Perfect for first-time buyers or anyone seeking a property that combines comfort with convenience. Don't miss out on this great opportunity to own this home! The accuracy of all information, regardless of the source, is not guaranteed or warranted. All information should be independetly verified.
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Thoughtfully updated
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.1 acre (35 x 129)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway only (no garage)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick and vinyl siding construction
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built with brick and vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Paved road
Interior
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: High speed internet; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.32%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $59,804
- List price
- $74,900
- Delta
- 25.24%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19235 Lamont St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (-3%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $42 | 86 |
| 19608 Buffalo St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,014 (+2%) | 1mo | $68,000 | $67 | 79 |
| 19392 Justine St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+1%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $45 | 74 |
| 19437 Conley St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (-8%) | 4mo | $28,500 | $31 | 74 |
| 19451 Conley St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (-9%) | 3mo | $54,000 | $60 | 72 |
| 19416 Lamont St | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,065 (+8%) | 1mo | $9,000 | $8 | 72 |
| 19610 Conley St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+13%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $71 | 66 |
| 19366 Fenelon St | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,108 (+12%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $63 | 65 |
| 19672 Justine St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (+6%) | 2mo | $47,500 | $45 | 64 |
| 19227 Ryan Rd | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 919 (-7%) | 1mo | $38,000 | $41 | 54 |
| 19155 Ryan Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,068 (+8%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $42 | 51 |
| 20012 Binder St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 871 (-12%) | 3mo | $50,500 | $58 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $19,762
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.50×
- Total profit
- $73,427
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48234
- Home prices YoY
- -11.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,233 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,495/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $425
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $468 | -5% $446 | +0% $425 | +5% $404 | +10% $383 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $328 | -5% $376 | +0% $425 | +5% $474 | +10% $522 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $463 | -0.5pp $444 | base $425 | +0.5pp $406 | +1.0pp $386 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,384 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 5d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 19162 Conley St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,195 | $1.37 | 17d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $975 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $975 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 19415 Gable St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,373 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,350 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 18d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 19930 Binder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 19360 Revere St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 21410 Panama St Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 21465 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,375 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 19691 Cliff St #1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 5d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 19171 Cliff St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3974 Berkshire Ave Warren, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 20255 Harned St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,374 | $1.37 | 17d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 7533 Quinn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 790 | $1,050 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 7033 Westminster Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $1,050 | $1.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $74,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $74,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $74,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $74,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $74,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $74,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $74,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $74,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $74,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $74,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $74,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-27$74,900 Active 849-char remark
Show marketing remark (849 chars)
Newly renovated move-in ready home! This charming single-family home features 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. 2nd bedroom can be used as a den, office, or sitting area. It has been thoughtfully updated with modern touches to the kitchen, dining room, bedrooms, and bathroom. All have been beautifully renovated with fresh finishes and neutral paint, making this home truly move-in ready. It has a full basement with washer/dryer hookups and an open area for your personal touch. Appliances stay with a full price offer; otherwise, they are negotiable. Perfect for first-time buyers or anyone seeking a property that combines comfort with convenience. Don't miss out on this great opportunity to own this home! The accuracy of all information, regardless of the source, is not guaranteed or warranted. All information should be independetly verified.
-
2026-04-27$74,900 Active 849-char remark
Show marketing remark (849 chars)
Newly renovated move-in ready home! This charming single-family home features 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. 2nd bedroom can be used as a den, office, or sitting area. It has been thoughtfully updated with modern touches to the kitchen, dining room, bedrooms, and bathroom. All have been beautifully renovated with fresh finishes and neutral paint, making this home truly move-in ready. It has a full basement with washer/dryer hookups and an open area for your personal touch. Appliances stay with a full price offer; otherwise, they are negotiable. Perfect for first-time buyers or anyone seeking a property that combines comfort with convenience. Don't miss out on this great opportunity to own this home! The accuracy of all information, regardless of the source, is not guaranteed or warranted. All information should be independetly verified.
-
2026-01-28historical
-
2026-01-28historical
-
2025-08-28$87,500 Active
-
2025-08-28$87,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,495 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,495 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,790
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$1,495
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,183
- − Management
- −$1,183
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $4,180
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,003
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,098/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,760
- Household income
- $35,322
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2372.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.65%
- Current HPI
- 328.8978
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-14.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-28 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-08-28 Listed $87,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-28 Listed $87,500 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,495 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…