Duplex
125 N Hamilton St · Watertown, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Recently renovated Duplex from top to bottom- located in Watertown NY. Each unit features fresh, modern updates including stunning white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, laminate flooring and convenient laundry hookups for in unit washing and drying. With a clean, contemporary design and spacious layout this property is ideal for owner occupant, investors or tenants seeking comfort and style. Enjoy the benefits of a fully updated interior, off street parking and a central location close to local shops, schools and amenities. Move-in ready and full of potential-this is Watertown living at its finest. More photos coming soon, interior remodel is almost finished!! Contact your agent for a showing today!
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Owner pays water for rentals; Rent includes water; Operating expenses include professional management
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking; Attached garage with 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available
- Home design: Two-story building; Existing/resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot with approximately 63 x 198 dimensions; City street frontage; Lot size about 0.2864 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance list provided
- Bedrooms: Two-unit property (bedroom counts per unit not provided)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (total)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Full basement; Carpet, tile, vinyl, and varied flooring throughout
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $166/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (4.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $239k (4.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 6.2% in Watertown — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#540 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Watertown City School District (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #481 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.0%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,387/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 1634% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $194k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.71%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $137,984
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 S Hamilton St | 0.20mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,780 (-1%) | 6mo | $167,500 | $94 | 80 |
| 810 Boyd St | 0.19mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,934 (+8%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $93 | 72 |
| 119 State Pl | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,848 (+3%) | 16mo | $38,500 | $21 | 69 |
| 306 N Rutland St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,610 (-10%) | 0mo | $121,600 | $76 | 66 |
| 203 Mechanic St | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 | 1,718 (-4%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $70 | 63 |
| 314 Central St | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,616 (-10%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $62 | 60 |
| 911 Salina St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 1,660 (-7%) | 24mo | $72,000 | $43 | 54 |
| 356 N Colorado Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,665 (-7%) | 6mo | $149,900 | $90 | 54 |
| 678 Bronson St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 | 1,601 (-11%) | 20mo | $169,900 | $106 | 54 |
| 636 Gotham St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,979 (+10%) | 18mo | $152,000 | $77 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-6,746
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $78,557
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13601
- Home prices YoY
- -5.6%
- Rents YoY
- 10.0%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 17.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,387 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,658/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$501
- Net cashflow
- $333
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,388 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,194 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,194 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,387 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1029 Gill St Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $1,950 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 123 State Pl Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 621 Academy St Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $1,600 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 256 Michigan Ave Watertown, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1435 | $1,626 | $1.13 | 43d | 9 | 0.51mi |
| 328 Clay St Unit 3 Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 128 Park Ave Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2300 | $2,400 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1815 Olmstead Dr Watertown, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1380 | $1,676 | $1.21 | 43d | 6 | 1.02mi |
| 377 W Main St Unit 1 Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1991 | $1,350 | $0.68 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 156 N Meadow St Watertown, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2535 | $1,500 | $0.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $249,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-14$249,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,658 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,941 · $245/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,283/yr (+$107/mo · 77.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,644
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$1,658
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,292
- − Management
- −$2,292
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$115
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$27
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,023/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Watertown City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630120
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,919
- Composite
- 36.86/100
- National rank
- #4551
- State rank
- #481 of 590 in NY
Livability — Watertown
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #540
- US rank
- #9700
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Watertown, NY
- County
- Jefferson County · 47,417 people
- City population
- 36,839
- Metro
- Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,839
- Household income
- $58,791
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1634.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,748 people
- By 2030
- 109,370 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 103,828 · -7.1%
- By 2050
- 98,523 · -11.8%
- By 2075
- 91,422 · -18.2%
- By 2100
- 78,214 · -30.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.6) · D 38.2% · R 61.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: -5.3pp · 2024: -23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.6 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+5.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.86%
- Current HPI
- 316.636
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.96%
- Metro
- Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+160.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $249,900 CNYIS
- 2025-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $194,250 Public Records
- 2025-07-17 Sold (MLS) $194,250 CNYIS
- 2025-04-30 Listed — CNYIS
- 2025-04-29 Listed $194,000 CNYIS
- 2024-01-16 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2023-12-17 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2023-10-02 Listed $149,900 CNYIS
- 2020-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2020-08-24 Sold (MLS) $125,000 CNYIS
- 2020-05-29 Listed $139,900 CNYIS
- 2019-04-09 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2018-06-22 Listed $104,900 CNYIS
- 2012-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 2012-05-15 Sold (MLS) $96,000 CNYIS
- 2012-01-24 Listed $750 CNYIS
Property tax history
+26.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,658 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…