10510 W Richland #36 Rd Unit 10510 W Richland Rd 36 · Four Lakes, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$133,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Immaculate home in GATED All-Ages Hayford Village located about a mile off the I-90/Medical Lake exit. Here, you get all the benefits of semi-rural living, yet you're roughly 10 mins to Spokane shopping, major hospitals, EWU/Cheney, Amazon Facilities, Fairchild AFB, Spokane International Airport, and so much more. Enjoy generous sized bedrooms, bathroom and living area and a light and bright kitchen w/ a breakfast bar/island that stays with the home. Major upgrades include: all new pex plumbing, underbelly insulation, FA Furnace & AC and several new windows - all done in the last two years, PLUS anew metal roof installed in 2021. Super low maintenance allows for easy living on a large corner lot with fenced back yard, newly expanded deck, storage shed and off street parking. A short walk to two community parks w/ playground equipment and common areas for picnics will keep the whole family entertained!
Key facts
- Semi-rural living
- New pex plumbing
- Fa furnace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $133k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $133k).
- Recommended offer: $125k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.5% in Four Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#530 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A; Watch: commute D+, cost of living D, amenities F.
- Cheney School District (town): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #140 of 291 in WA (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 316 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,608 units permitted in Spokane County in 2024 (1,792 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $920 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Spokane County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.86%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $25,102
- List price
- $133,000
- Delta
- 429.84%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10510 W Richland Rd Unit 10 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 891 (-12%) | 8mo | $25,000 | $28 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,750
- Equity at exit
- $19,831
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $30,582
- Equity at exit
- $11,499
Cash invested: $37,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99004
- Home prices YoY
- -22.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 316
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,669 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$697
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$166 /mo · $1,995/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $399
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $491 | -5% $445 | +0% $399 | +5% $353 | +10% $307 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $267 | -5% $333 | +0% $399 | +5% $465 | +10% $531 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $466 | -0.5pp $433 | base $399 | +0.5pp $365 | +1.0pp $330 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,250
- Closing costs
- $3,990
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10113 W Barberry Rd Cheney, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $2,095 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 9907 W Aero Rd Cheney, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,548 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9907 W Aero Rd Unit 111 (STR) Medical Lake, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9907 W Aero Rd Unit 104 Medical Lake, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,545 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9907 W Aero Rd Unit 207 Medical Lake, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,545 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9907 W Aero Rd Unit 310 Medical Lake, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,545 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $133,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $133,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $133,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $133,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $133,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $133,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $135,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-16$135,000 Active 920-char remark
Show marketing remark (920 chars)
Immaculate home in GATED All-Ages Hayford Village located about a mile off the I-90/Medical Lake exit. Here, you get all the benefits of semi-rural living, yet you're roughly 10 mins to Spokane shopping, major hospitals, EWU/Cheney, Amazon Facilities, Fairchild AFB, Spokane International Airport, and so much more. Enjoy generous sized bedrooms, bathroom and living area and a light and bright kitchen w/ a breakfast bar/island that stays with the home. Major upgrades include: all new pex plumbing, underbelly insulation, FA Furnace & AC and several new windows - all done in the last two years, PLUS anew metal roof installed in 2021. Super low maintenance allows for easy living on a large corner lot with fenced back yard, newly expanded deck, storage shed and off street parking. A short walk to two community parks w/ playground equipment and common areas for picnics will keep the whole family entertained!
-
2026-04-13historical
-
2026-01-08$135,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,026
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,450
- − Property taxes
- −$1,995
- − Insurance
- −$665
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,602
- − Management
- −$1,602
- − Depreciation
- −$3,869
- Taxable income
- $2,843
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$682
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,109/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained manufactured home in Hayford Village offers a good condition with recent updates and a low-maintenance lifestyle.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both Replace the deck — Improves curb appeal and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Replace the deck — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cheney School District
- NCES district ID
- 5301230
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,800
- Composite
- 45.66/100
- National rank
- #5637
- State rank
- #140 of 291 in WA
Livability — Four Lakes
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #530
- US rank
- #21944
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Spokane County · 496,401 people
- City population
- 15
- Metro
- Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,871
- Household income
- $67,337
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1045.0
Population outlook (Spokane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 531,314 people
- By 2030
- 549,278 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 577,822 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 598,188 · +12.6%
- By 2075
- 630,744 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 622,360 · +17.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Spokane
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.0% · R 51.0% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.1pp · 2024: -5.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+8.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.31%
- Current HPI
- 314.1254
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.31%
- Metro
- Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $135,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Listing Removed — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Listed $135,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…