717 NW 253rd St · Newberry, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special in the heart of Newberry! This fixer-upper at 717 NW 253rd St offers a fantastic opportunity to renovate, customize, and add value. Situated on a spacious lot, this property is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their own Florida retreat. The home features a functional layout with solid bones and plenty of potential for transformation. With the right vision and updates, this property can be turned into a primary residence, rental, or seasonal getaway. The generous yard provides ample space for outdoor living, expansion, or storage for boats and recreational vehicles. It also offers a large pool. Located just a short drive to multiple state parks, natural springs and wildlife reserves, residents enjoy easy access to Paynes Prairie Reserve and Ginnie Springs. For a slightly longer trip the Gulf of Mexico is also only an hour away. Property is occupied. Please do not approach or access this property.
Key facts
- Generous yard
- Large pool
- Spacious lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $891 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 4.0% in Newberry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#524 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Alachua (urban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #30 of 73 in FL (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Newberry Elementary School (math 43% / reading 48%, grade D-, #1,247 of 2,144 statewide, top 59%, 661 students, 44% FRL); Oak View Middle School (math 58% / reading 59%, grade B, #148 of 571 statewide, top 26%, 964 students, 49% FRL); Newberry High School (math 35% / reading 54%, grade F, #237 of 667 statewide, top 36%, 728 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 420 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,774 units permitted in Alachua County in 2024 (984 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alachua County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.87%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $32,572
- Equity at exit
- $23,849
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.43×
- Total profit
- $108,709
- Equity at exit
- $13,830
Cash invested: $44,786 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32669
- Home prices YoY
- -22.1%
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 420
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,773 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$395 /mo · $4,738/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$582
- Net cashflow
- $891
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $981 | -5% $936 | +0% $891 | +5% $845 | +10% $800 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $672 | -5% $781 | +0% $891 | +5% $1,000 | +10% $1,110 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $971 | -0.5pp $931 | base $891 | +0.5pp $849 | +1.0pp $807 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,988
- Closing costs
- $4,798
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1100 NW 248th Dr Newberry, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2148 | $2,600 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 24672 NW 11th Pl Newberry, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2370 | $2,600 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2113 NW 247th Dr Newberry, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2801 | $2,600 | $0.93 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 24722 SW 21st Ln Newberry, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2017 | $2,400 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $159,950 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,950 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,950 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricestatusdays on market $159,950 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-17$169,950 Active 951-char remark
Show marketing remark (951 chars)
Investor special in the heart of Newberry! This fixer-upper at 717 NW 253rd St offers a fantastic opportunity to renovate, customize, and add value. Situated on a spacious lot, this property is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their own Florida retreat. The home features a functional layout with solid bones and plenty of potential for transformation. With the right vision and updates, this property can be turned into a primary residence, rental, or seasonal getaway. The generous yard provides ample space for outdoor living, expansion, or storage for boats and recreational vehicles. It also offers a large pool. Located just a short drive to multiple state parks, natural springs and wildlife reserves, residents enjoy easy access to Paynes Prairie Reserve and Ginnie Springs. For a slightly longer trip the Gulf of Mexico is also only an hour away. Property is occupied. Please do not approach or access this property.
-
2018-08-16soldstatus $147,000 784-char remark
Show marketing remark (784 chars)
GREAT DEAL on this 4/1.5 POOL HOME. NEW ROOF, RENOVATED, REDONE BATHROOMS AND MORE! Newer appliances, Great Location and great neighbors! Located 15 minutes from I-75 in the heart of Newberry Florida this spacious +/-2,400 Sq Ft. pool home on a fenced corner lot offers so much for a low price. Four bedrooms, a common full bath and a private half bathroom with room to spare. The home has two large permitted additions that can be used as florida room, game room, home office or whatever! Home is on a large corner lot and has a wonderful back yard and pool area. Buy for yourself or rent it! Valued at $175K on Zillow and $180K on Trulia (as of 5/3/2018) this home is in " Move In " condition priced to sell! Make it yours today! Home is in "Move In" condition.
-
2018-05-03$168,000 784-char remark
Show marketing remark (784 chars)
GREAT DEAL on this 4/1.5 POOL HOME. NEW ROOF, RENOVATED, REDONE BATHROOMS AND MORE! Newer appliances, Great Location and great neighbors! Located 15 minutes from I-75 in the heart of Newberry Florida this spacious +/-2,400 Sq Ft. pool home on a fenced corner lot offers so much for a low price. Four bedrooms, a common full bath and a private half bathroom with room to spare. The home has two large permitted additions that can be used as florida room, game room, home office or whatever! Home is on a large corner lot and has a wonderful back yard and pool area. Buy for yourself or rent it! Valued at $175K on Zillow and $180K on Trulia (as of 5/3/2018) this home is in " Move In " condition priced to sell! Make it yours today! Home is in "Move In" condition.
-
2017-11-21soldstatus $45,000
-
2017-10-24historical
-
2017-09-29$79,900
-
1993-12-23soldstatus $46,200
-
1993-05-11soldstatus $17,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,738 · $395/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,738 · $395/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,281
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,960
- − Property taxes
- −$4,738
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,662
- − Management
- −$2,662
- − Depreciation
- −$4,653
- Taxable income
- $8,805
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,113
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,575/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alachua
- NCES district ID
- 1200030
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,683
- Composite
- 43.31/100
- National rank
- #3038
- State rank
- #30 of 73 in FL
Livability — Newberry
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #524
- US rank
- #9753
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newberry, FL
- County
- Alachua County · 218,005 people
- City population
- 17,704
- Metro
- Gainesville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,704
- Household income
- $99,548
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 161.0
Population outlook (Alachua County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 289,834 people
- By 2030
- 305,873 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 335,246 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 364,719 · +25.8%
- By 2075
- 436,665 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 482,920 · +66.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 14% Black 13% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Alachua
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.7% · R 38.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.6pp no change · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: 21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.0 2020: D+27.2 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+17.3 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.83%
- Current HPI
- 263.4335
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.57%
- Metro
- Gainesville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+871.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $169,950 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-16 Sold (MLS) $147,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-03 Listed $168,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2017-10-24 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-29 Listed $79,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $46,200 Public Records
- 1993-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,738 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…