5 Booker · New Castle, DE
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.5%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 1970
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.7% in New Castle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools D, crime F, commute F.
- Colonial School District (suburban): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #23 of 26 in DE (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $215k implies a 669% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.87%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $329,600
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Booker Cir | 0.03mi | 3/3.0 | 1,600 (0%) | 5mo | $350,000 | $219 | 89 |
| 3 Booker Cir | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (0%) | 14mo | $330,000 | $206 | 86 |
| 30 Booker Cir | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (0%) | 22mo | $320,000 | $200 | 72 |
| 15 William Penn | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-9%) | 19mo | $290,000 | $200 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-16,041
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $10,333
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19720
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,254 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$473
- Net cashflow
- $295
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Arbutus Ave Unit 1 New Castle, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,650 | $1.66 | 18d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1107 Wilmington Rd Historic New Castle, DE | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1225 | $1,850 | $1.51 | 4d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 114 Baldt Ave Historic New Castle, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 213 E 2nd St Historic New Castle, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $2,500 | $2.17 | 1d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-26$215,000
-
2026-05-26historical
-
1974-04-01soldstatus $27,950
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 50% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,045
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,164
- − Management
- −$2,164
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $120
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$29
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,507/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Colonial School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000230
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,622
- Composite
- 20.75/100
- National rank
- #8517
- State rank
- #23 of 26 in DE
Livability — New Castle
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #5905
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Castle, DE
- County
- New Castle County · 483,412 people
- City population
- 62,392
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,392
- Household income
- $75,403
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1852.0
Population outlook (New Castle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 594,686 people
- By 2030
- 609,164 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 632,154 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 649,068 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 687,771 · +15.7%
- By 2100
- 694,961 · +16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · New Castle
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.6) · D 65.5% · R 32.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: 40.6pp · 2024: 32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.6 2020: D+37.1 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+34.1 2008: D+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -261.00%
- Current HPI
- 255.0404
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+669.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-26 Listed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1974-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $27,950 Public Records
Property tax history
-7.1%/yrLatest (2024): $146 · -71.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…