3819 Edgewater Dr · Avon Park, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICED TO SELL! Check out this affordable furnished condo in Sun N Lakes of Sebring. This furnished condo is on the 2nd floor and has a great view of the pool and golf course. The front entry & kitchen have tile flooring & the dining, living & primary bedroom has newer carpeting. The guest bedroom is to the front of this condo with easy access to the laundry area & guest bathroom. The ceilings in the dining & living room have been retextured & painted. The a/c was replaced in 2018 and the roof was replaced in 2022, the hot water heater has also been replaced. This condo has an open floor plan & is easy to maintain. The rear screened porch has easy m
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Retextured ceilings
- Newer carpeting
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with quarterly fee; Quarterly association fee: $1,100; Community amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, golf, playground, pool, tennis courts; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Detached parking (2 spaces total)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Condominium; Residential property; Two-level unit; Entry on second level
- Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Rear screened porch; Community pool available; Golf course frontage; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven/Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Two-level entry (unit on second level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Insulated windows with blinds; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $136k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-78 ($-931/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $122k (10.1% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $136k).
- Recommended offer: $120k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.9% in Avon Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#407 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 700 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $940 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 224 days — a 12% lower offer ($120k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $136k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 224 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.45%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-28,847
- Equity at exit
- $20,263
- IRR
- -21.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.02×
- Total profit
- $-38,992
- Equity at exit
- $11,750
Cash invested: $38,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33872
- Home prices YoY
- -25.8%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 700
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,615 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$713
- Tax from tax record
- −$217 /mo · $2,608/yr
- Insurance
- −$57
- HOA
- −$367
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $-78
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,975
- Closing costs
- $4,077
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $367 · $4,404/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,900 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,900 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,900 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,900 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,900 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $135,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $135,900
-
2026-01-15price $139,900
-
2025-11-06$144,900 Active
-
2025-02-04price $154,900
-
2010-05-18soldstatus $82,500
-
2004-08-05soldstatus $69,900
-
1995-05-10soldstatus $44,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,608 · $217/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,608 · $217/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,383
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,613
- − Property taxes
- −$2,608
- − Insurance
- −$680
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,551
- − Management
- −$1,551
- − HOA
- −$4,404
- − Depreciation
- −$3,953
- Taxable loss
- −$2,975
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$714
- After-tax cash flow
- $-217/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highlands
- NCES district ID
- 1200840
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,276
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4672
- State rank
- #54 of 73 in FL
Livability — Avon Park
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #407
- US rank
- #7205
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Highlands County · 98,898 people
- City population
- 25,501
- Metro
- Sebring-Avon Park, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,746
- Household income
- $69,578
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 222.0
Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,674 people
- By 2030
- 99,615 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 99,342 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 98,242 · -1.4%
- By 2075
- 93,291 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 79,894 · -19.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 5% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Russian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Highlands
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.20%
- Current HPI
- 225.3761
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.65%
- Metro
- Sebring-Avon Park, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+208.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $135,900 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $139,900 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-11-06 Listed $144,900 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-02-04 Price Changed $154,900 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2010-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
- 2004-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
- 1995-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,608 · +63.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…