700 Magnolia Ave · Mount Vernon, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming brick ranch offering comfort and style throughout! Step into a spacious living room filled with natural light from a large picture window, complemented by beautiful hardwood floors. The remodeled kitchen features modern appliances, updated cabinetry with soft-close drawers, stylish tile backsplash, and attractive countertops-perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of a dedicated laundry room complete with washer and dryer. A cozy family room provides additional living space, ideal for relaxing or hosting guests. All bedrooms boast hardwood flooring, adding warmth and continuity throughout the home. The updated bathroom includes half-tiled walls and a tub
Key facts
- Large corner lot
- Remodeled kitchen
- Lake view
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: School bus service available; Property in unincorporated area
- HOA & community: No master association fee required; Street lights and paved streets
Exterior
- Parking: Space for 3 vehicles; Concrete driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Not rebuilt or recently rehabilitated; Built before 1978
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Estimated age 61–70 years
- Exterior features: Front porch; Corner lot; Lot dimensions approximately 71 x 116 x 90 x 6 x 50 x 37 x 69 x 85
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (13 x 12)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (13 x 11); Bedroom on main level (13 x 10); Bedroom on main level (11 x 10)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in most living areas and bedrooms; Laminate in family room; Vinyl in kitchen; Other flooring in laundry
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Window treatments; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (7 x 11)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $623 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 5.3% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#413 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Mt Vernon Twp Hsd 201 (town): math 13% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #532 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.08%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $17,086
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $66,285
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62864
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,107 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$250 /mo · $2,995/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$442
- Net cashflow
- $623
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4201 Valley Forge Rd Mt Vernon, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $2,107 | $2.93 | 43d | 9 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-22status Active
-
2026-04-11historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2026-04-06$139,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,995 · $250/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,086 · $257/mo
- Expected delta
- +$90/yr (+$8/mo · 3.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,284
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$2,995
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,023
- − Management
- −$2,023
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $5,637
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,353
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,123/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mt Vernon Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1727360
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,188
- Composite
- 12.22/100
- National rank
- #9648
- State rank
- #532 of 620 in IL
Livability — Mount Vernon
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #8520
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mount Vernon, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,061
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,818 people
- By 2030
- 35,764 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 33,649 · -8.6%
- By 2050
- 31,557 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 26,055 · -29.2%
- By 2100
- 19,237 · -47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.5% · R 73.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.7pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+45.1 2016: R+43.2 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+10.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.64%
- Current HPI
- 134.2669
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-11 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-06 Listed $139,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2024): $2,995 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…