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66 Grey Fox Ct 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 42.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$62,000

66 Grey Fox Ct · Grand Blanc, MI 48439
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,237 sqft · Manufactured · 61 Days on market
Built 2016 Good condition 871 sqft lot $50/sqft · 69% below area $800/mo HOA · 55% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful 3 bedroom 2 full bath home located in the Grand Blanc Crossing Mobile Home Park, Grand Blanc Michigan. In Grand Blanc school district. The owner has kept home very-well maintained, with numerous upgrades. Master Suite. Gas Stove, Refrigerator, Microwave, Dishwasher, Washer and Dryer. Large deck and shed. Lot rent $800 per month includes Property taxes, snow removal, Community pool, game room, fitness center, Club house and play ground. Purchaser must apply at The home park main office for residency approval. This home shows the true love of ownership. Seller states this is a wonderful community to live. Terms: Cash or Financing available.

Key facts

  • Master suite
  • Large deck
  • Fitness center

Tags

GRAND BLANC SCHOOL DISTRICTMASTER SUITELARGE DECKCOMMUNITY POOLGAME ROOMFITNESS CENTER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $62,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$201,440) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $62k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-84 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $50k (19.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
  • Recommended offer: $50k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.4% in Grand Blanc — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#56 in MI, #1,077 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Grand Blanc Community Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #149 of 540 in MI (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 434 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $429 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 55% of rent.
Recommended offer $49,863 (19.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.34%
Cap rate
4.67%
Cash-on-cash
-5.80%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$201,440
List price
$62,000
Delta
-69.22%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-9,140
Equity at exit
$9,244
10-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$12,695
Equity at exit
$5,361

Cash invested: $17,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48439

Rents YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
434
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,449 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$325
Tax est. 1.5%
$78 /mo · $930/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$800
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$-84

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,555
Max offer price $49,863
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-41 -5% $-62 +0% $-84 +5% $-105 +10% $-127
Rent -10% $-198 -5% $-141 +0% $-84 +5% $-27 +10% $31
Rate -1.0pp $-53 -0.5pp $-68 base $-84 +0.5pp $-100 +1.0pp $-116

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,500
Closing costs
$1,860
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8225 Embury Rd Grand Blanc, MI 2.0–4.0 2.0 1368 $1,399 $1.02 14d 1 0.26mi
11661 Hawthorne Glen Dr Grand Blanc, MI 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 44d 1 0.50mi
12063 S Saginaw St Grand Blanc, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 770 $1,124 $1.46 14d 6 1.22mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$800 · $9,600/yr
Likely covers
gassnow removalpoolgym

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $62,000 Active 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $62,000 Active 60 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $62,000 Active 59 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $62,000 Active 58 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $68,000 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $68,000 Active 55 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $68,000 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $68,000 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $68,000 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $68,000 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $68,000 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $68,000 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $68,000 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,000 Active 43 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $68,000 Active 42 DOM
  17. 2026-04-15
    listed $68,000 Active 656-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    Beautiful 3 bedroom 2 full bath home located in the Grand Blanc Crossing Mobile Home Park, Grand Blanc Michigan. In Grand Blanc school district. The owner has kept home very-well maintained, with numerous upgrades. Master Suite. Gas Stove, Refrigerator, Microwave, Dishwasher, Washer and Dryer. Large deck and shed. Lot rent $800 per month includes Property taxes, snow removal, Community pool, game room, fitness center, Club house and play ground. Purchaser must apply at The home park main office for residency approval. This home shows the true love of ownership. Seller states this is a wonderful community to live. Terms: Cash or Financing available.

  18. 2026-04-15
    listed $68,000 Active 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    Beautiful 3 bedroom 2 full bath home located in the Grand Blanc Crossing Mobile Home Park, Grand Blanc Michigan. In Grand Blanc school district. The owner has kept home very-well maintained, with numerous upgrades. Master Suite. Gas Stove, Refrigerator, Microwave, Dishwasher, Washer and Dryer. Large deck and shed. Lot rent $800 per month includes Property taxes, snow removal, Community pool, game room, fitness center, Club house and play ground. Purchaser must apply at The home park main office for residency approval. This home shows the true love of ownership. Seller states this is a wonderful community to live. Terms: Cash or Financing available.

  19. 2023-08-30
    historical
  20. 2023-08-30
    historical
  21. 2023-08-30
    historical
  22. 2023-07-13
    price $55,000
  23. 2023-07-12
    price $55,000
  24. 2023-06-28
    listed $60,000 Active
  25. 2023-06-28
    listed $60,000 Active
  26. 2023-06-28
    listed $55,000
  27. 2021-02-27
    historical
  28. 2021-02-27
    historical
  29. 2020-08-26
    listed $62,000 Active
  30. 2020-08-26
    listed $62,000 Active
  31. 2020-08-25
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,386
− Mortgage interest
−$3,473
− Property taxes
−$930
− Insurance
−$310
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,391
− Management
−$1,391
− HOA
−$9,600
− Depreciation
−$1,804
Taxable loss
−$1,512
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$363
After-tax cash flow
$-644/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained mobile home in Grand Blanc Crossing Mobile Home Park is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. A fresh coat of paint and gutter replacement would significantly enhance its curb appeal and resale value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Replace gutters — Improves water drainage and reduces maintenance costs

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Replace gutters — Improves water drainage and reduces maintenance costs

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grand Blanc Community Schools
NCES district ID
2616350
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$59,691
Composite
38.24/100
National rank
#4243
State rank
#149 of 540 in MI

Livability — Grand Blanc

Score
82/100
State rank
#56
US rank
#1077

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
51,900
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
51,900
Household income
$88,490
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
864.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -193.17%
Current HPI
216.3543
Rent YoY
▲ 6.79%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+9.7% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $68,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $68,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-08-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-08-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-08-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-07-13 Price Changed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-07-12 Price Changed $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-06-28 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-06-28 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-06-28 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-02-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-02-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-08-26 Listed $62,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-08-26 Listed $62,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-08-25 Coming Soon REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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