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20930 Blackberry Grv
D- Composite 36.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.2/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$185,999

20930 Blackberry Grv · San Antonio, TX 78264
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,411 sqft · SingleFamily · 6 Days on market
Built 2026 Est $181k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining, along with access to an outdoor space. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in a rear corner of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. There are two secondary bedrooms at the front of the home, ideal for household members and overnight guests.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Open floorplan
  • Outdoor space

Tags

OPEN FLOORPLANOUTDOOR SPACEOWNER'S SUITEEN-SUITE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETTWO SECONDARY BEDROOMS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Address: 20930 Blackberry Grv, San Antonio, TX 78264; Plan name: Idlewood
  • Financial info: List price $185,999

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family property; Active listing; Spec inventory
  • Exterior features: Living area of 1411 (listed)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Spec new construction (Idlewood plan)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $186k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-176 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (13.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (24.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (24.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Southside ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #771 of 826 in TX (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Freedom El (math 15% / reading 26%, grade F, #3,515 of 4,322 statewide, top 82%, 562 students, 93% FRL); Julius L Matthey Middle (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,387 of 1,662 statewide, top 85%, 604 students, 92% FRL); Southside H S (math 18% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,685 students, 85% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 359 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $140,433 (24.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.16%
Cash-on-cash
-4.05%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$180,608
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20902 Sumac Grv 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,402 (-1%) 2mo $195,999 $140 90
20830 Pinon Grv 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,402 (-1%) 5mo $208,999 $149 86
3605 Mccrae Xing 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,445 (+2%) 3mo $185,000 $128 83
20810 Pinon Grv 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,266 (-10%) 5mo $191,049 $151 70
20922 Sumac Grv 0.12mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,575 (+12%) 2mo $200,999 $128 68
21046 Sumac Grv 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,266 (-10%) 5mo $185,999 $147 68
20930 Sumac Grv 0.10mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (+13%) 1mo $197,999 $124 67
20918 Sumac Grv 0.13mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (+13%) 1mo $197,999 $124 66
21002 Sumac Grv 0.09mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (+13%) 3mo $200,999 $126 66
20827 Pinon Grv 0.15mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,575 (+12%) 5mo $201,999 $128 64
21034 Sumac Grv 0.23mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (+13%) 4mo $195,999 $122 59
20723 Maple Grv 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,575 (+12%) 3mo $213,999 $136 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$20,690
Equity at exit
$93,708
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$78,176
Equity at exit
$152,793

Cash invested: $52,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78264

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
359
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,404 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$975
Tax est. 1.5%
$232 /mo · $2,790/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$-176

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,627
Max offer price $160,535
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-47 -5% $-112 +0% $-176 +5% $-240 +10% $-305
Rent -10% $-287 -5% $-231 +0% $-176 +5% $-121 +10% $-65
Rate -1.0pp $-82 -0.5pp $-129 base $-176 +0.5pp $-224 +1.0pp $-273

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,500
Closing costs
$5,580
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20823 Pinon Grv San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1403 $1,650 $1.18 45d 1 0.17mi
20414 Deets Trl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1858 $1,750 $0.94 5d 1 0.58mi
20335 Campbellton Rd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1393 $1,450 $1.04 45d 1 0.79mi
3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit B03 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 896 $950 $1.06 25d 1 0.84mi
3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit B03 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 896 $950 $1.06 4d 1 0.84mi
3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit A08 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1216 $995 $0.82 25d 1 0.84mi
3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit A08 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1216 $995 $0.82 4d 1 0.84mi
3230 S Loop 1604 E San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 896 $950 $1.06 0d 1 0.87mi
20642 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1189 $1,450 $1.22 23d 1 0.95mi
20448 Red Coral San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1129 $1,500 $1.33 25d 1 0.95mi
20622 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1535 $1,400 $0.91 0d 1 0.97mi
20447 Red Coral San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,320 $1.07 25d 1 0.98mi
20618 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1179 $1,450 $1.23 6d 1 0.98mi
2906 Carnelian Trl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,550 $1.14 45d 1 1.03mi
3008 Carnelian Trl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1189 $1,195 $1.01 4d 1 1.03mi
20356 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.5 1013 $1,199 $1.18 19d 1 1.08mi
20511 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1189 $1,450 $1.22 19d 1 1.10mi
20305 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1207 $1,400 $1.16 0d 1 1.11mi
20305 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1207 $1,400 $1.16 18d 1 1.11mi
20305 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1207 $1,350 $1.12 45d 1 1.11mi
20005 Liedecke Rd Unit 710 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1002 $1,373 $1.37 0d 1 1.13mi
2807 Ruby Xing San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1276 $1,400 $1.10 25d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $185,999 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,999 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,999 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 415-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    listed $185,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,852
− Mortgage interest
−$10,419
− Property taxes
−$2,790
− Insurance
−$930
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,348
− Management
−$1,348
− Depreciation
−$5,411
Taxable loss
−$5,394
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,295
After-tax cash flow
$-817/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southside ISD
NCES district ID
4840920
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,526
Composite
17.68/100
National rank
#9027
State rank
#771 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,806,925
Population (ZIP)
11,702

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 80% Two or more races 35% White 17% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 73%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Greek 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 51% Tagalog/Filipino 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.94%
Current HPI
298.8446
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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