143 Luzerne Ave · Larksville, PA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home on a foundation with a new roof, brand new back stoop and updated flooring, offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Enjoy a fenced-in backyard for pets or play, two carports, and ample off-street parking. Ideally situated near shopping and major roads, you'll love the easy access while still having your own private space to unwind.
Key facts
- Two carports
- Updated flooring
- Fenced-in backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#354 in PA, #3,113 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Wyoming Valley West SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #445 of 539 in PA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.41%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-2,648
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $24,266
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18704
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,359 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$184 /mo · $2,206/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $201
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $263 | -5% $232 | +0% $201 | +5% $170 | +10% $139 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $93 | -5% $147 | +0% $201 | +5% $255 | +10% $308 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $256 | -0.5pp $229 | base $201 | +0.5pp $172 | +1.0pp $143 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 Short St Edwardsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,100 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 256 E Grove St Kingston, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 570 Main St Edwardsville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,180 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 206 Zerby Ave Edwardsville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,200 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 206 Nesbitt St Larksville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,325 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 229 Nesbitt St Larksville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 59 Price St Unit 2 Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 266 Rutter Ave Unit 2 Kingston, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,270 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-10status $110,000 Pending 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $110,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Active 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home on a foundation with a new roof, brand new back stoop and updated flooring, offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Enjoy a fenced-in backyard for pets or play, two carports, and ample off-street parking. Ideally situated near shopping and major roads, you'll love the easy access while still having your own private space to unwind.
-
2026-04-06status Pending 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home on a foundation with a new roof, brand new back stoop and updated flooring, offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Enjoy a fenced-in backyard for pets or play, two carports, and ample off-street parking. Ideally situated near shopping and major roads, you'll love the easy access while still having your own private space to unwind.
-
2026-02-21$110,000 Active 396-char remark
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home on a foundation with a new roof, brand new back stoop and updated flooring, offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Enjoy a fenced-in backyard for pets or play, two carports, and ample off-street parking. Ideally situated near shopping and major roads, you'll love the easy access while still having your own private space to unwind.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,206 · $184/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,206 · $184/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,311
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$2,206
- − Insurance
- −$1,348
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,305
- − Management
- −$1,305
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $786
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$189
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,222/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wyoming Valley West SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225950
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,437
- Composite
- 25.38/100
- National rank
- #7470
- State rank
- #445 of 539 in PA
Livability — Larksville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #354
- US rank
- #3113
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Larksville, PA
- County
- Luzerne County · 118,885 people
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,149
- Household income
- $64,444
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1454.0
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 18% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.72%
- Current HPI
- 255.5375
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — LCAR
- 2026-04-06 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-02-21 Listed $110,000 LCAR
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2026): $2,206 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…