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4672 Underwood Dr #284
B Composite 73.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$87,000

4672 Underwood Dr #284 · Redding, CA 96003
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 69 Days on market
Built 1984 $65/sqft · 13% below area Est $93k · 6% under ↓ 22% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

''THE REDWOODS'' a very peaceful senior park. This home is located in the highest section of the Park next to a greenbelt. Enjoy your morning coffee on the deck with a view of Mt. Shasta and Mt Lassen. Lots of extras: refrigerator 2025, plank flooring 2022, interior painted 2025, exterior painted 2022, new toggle switches and GFCIs 2025, hall bath toilet and flooring 2024, new low E window in master bedroom 2021. All Section 1 completed. MOVE IN READY !!!

Key facts

  • Interior painted
  • Greenbelt
  • Deck with a view

Tags

HIGHEST SECTIONGREENBELTDECK WITH A VIEWREFRIGERATORPLANK FLOORINGINTERIOR PAINTED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $87k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $580 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 3.3% in Redding — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#106 in CA, #3,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Gateway Unified (suburban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #355 of 517 in CA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 391 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 246 units permitted in Shasta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $601 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shasta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $81,780 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
14.30%
Cash-on-cash
28.60%
DSCR
2.27
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$92,763
List price
$87,000
Delta
-6.21%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
458 Balsawood Dr 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,344 (0%) 1mo $60,000 $45 91
4555 Underwood Dr 0.08mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 1mo $99,000 $69 83
301 Sapwood Dr #280 0.04mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 4mo $65,900 $46 83
323 Sapwood Dr Sp# 279 Dr 0.04mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 4mo $89,000 $62 82
4587 Hardwood Blvd Sp#202 Blvd 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+7%) 7mo $95,000 $66 72
362 Lemon Dr #24 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-7%) 2mo $76,100 $61 69
4649 Underwood Dr #257 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+14%) 4mo $75,000 $49 67
11037 Erickson Way #76 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (0%) 2mo $28,800 $21 60
1350 Aztec Path #229 0.49mi 2/2.0 1,456 (+8%) 6mo $95,000 $65 58
1318 Mountain Shadows Blvd #255 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,144 (-15%) 2mo $95,000 $83 57
4576 Hickory Trl 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (-11%) 2mo $119,000 $99 56
4719 Maple Trl 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,520 (+13%) 3mo $181,500 $119 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.2%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$27,515
Equity at exit
$12,972
10-year hold
IRR
35.6%
Equity multiple
4.77×
Total profit
$91,809
Equity at exit
$7,522

Cash invested: $24,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 96003

Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
391
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,496 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$456
Tax est. 1.5%
$109 /mo · $1,305/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$580

Break-even live

Break-even rent $761
Max offer price $87,000
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,750
Closing costs
$2,610
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4490 Alder St Unit C Redding, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 21d 1 0.16mi
400 Lake Blvd Redding, CA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,310 $1.46 13d 1 0.24mi
4296 Clay St Unit 17 Redding, CA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,395 $1.55 21d 1 0.30mi
701 Redwood Blvd Redding, CA 2.0 1.5–2.5 1163 $1,820 $1.56 13d 1 0.42mi
150 Masonic Ave Unit 1 Redding, CA 2.0 1.5 924 $1,400 $1.52 13d 1 0.44mi
170 Masonic Ave #4 Redding, CA 2.0 1.5 924 $1,400 $1.52 13d 1 0.45mi
4433 White River Dr Redding, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 43d 1 0.52mi
636 Lake Blvd Redding, CA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 986 $1,295 $1.31 13d 8 0.61mi
5391 Stonethrow Ct Redding, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,895 $1.72 43d 1 0.63mi
251 Hilltop Dr Redding, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 757 $1,475 $1.95 13d 1 0.79mi
4288 Bradley Dr Redding, CA 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,950 $1.93 21d 1 0.80mi
3465 Magnums Way Apt 2 Redding, CA 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,775 $1.64 43d 1 1.29mi
500 Hilltop Dr Redding, CA 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1282 $1,700 $1.33 13d 4 1.29mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $87,000 Pending 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $87,000 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $87,000 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $87,000 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $87,000 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $87,000 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $87,000 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $87,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $87,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $87,000 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $87,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $87,000 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $87,000 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $87,000 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-05-08
    status Active 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    ''THE REDWOODS'' a very peaceful senior park. This home is located in the highest section of the Park next to a greenbelt. Enjoy your morning coffee on the deck with a view of Mt. Shasta and Mt Lassen. Lots of extras: refrigerator 2025, plank flooring 2022, interior painted 2025, exterior painted 2022, new toggle switches and GFCIs 2025, hall bath toilet and flooring 2024, new low E window in master bedroom 2021. All Section 1 completed. MOVE IN READY !!!

  16. 2026-05-01
    status Pending 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    ''THE REDWOODS'' a very peaceful senior park. This home is located in the highest section of the Park next to a greenbelt. Enjoy your morning coffee on the deck with a view of Mt. Shasta and Mt Lassen. Lots of extras: refrigerator 2025, plank flooring 2022, interior painted 2025, exterior painted 2022, new toggle switches and GFCIs 2025, hall bath toilet and flooring 2024, new low E window in master bedroom 2021. All Section 1 completed. MOVE IN READY !!!

  17. 2026-04-06
    price $87,000 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    ''THE REDWOODS'' a very peaceful senior park. This home is located in the highest section of the Park next to a greenbelt. Enjoy your morning coffee on the deck with a view of Mt. Shasta and Mt Lassen. Lots of extras: refrigerator 2025, plank flooring 2022, interior painted 2025, exterior painted 2022, new toggle switches and GFCIs 2025, hall bath toilet and flooring 2024, new low E window in master bedroom 2021. All Section 1 completed. MOVE IN READY !!!

  18. 2026-04-01
    listed $92,000 Active 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    ''THE REDWOODS'' a very peaceful senior park. This home is located in the highest section of the Park next to a greenbelt. Enjoy your morning coffee on the deck with a view of Mt. Shasta and Mt Lassen. Lots of extras: refrigerator 2025, plank flooring 2022, interior painted 2025, exterior painted 2022, new toggle switches and GFCIs 2025, hall bath toilet and flooring 2024, new low E window in master bedroom 2021. All Section 1 completed. MOVE IN READY !!!

  19. 2026-03-30
    price $87,000
  20. 2026-01-27
    price $92,000
  21. 2025-10-08
    listed $98,000 Active
  22. 2025-09-22
    status Pending
  23. 2025-07-10
    status Active
  24. 2025-07-03
    status Pending
  25. 2025-05-28
    price $98,000
  26. 2025-05-08
    price $105,000
  27. 2025-04-03
    listed $112,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 37 unhealthy d/yr today · 40 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,950
− Mortgage interest
−$4,873
− Property taxes
−$1,305
− Insurance
−$435
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,436
− Management
−$1,436
− Depreciation
−$2,531
Taxable income
$5,934
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,424
After-tax cash flow
$5,542/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gateway Unified
NCES district ID
0614950
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$41,888
Composite
25.39/100
National rank
#7465
State rank
#355 of 517 in CA

Livability — Redding

Score
76/100
State rank
#106
US rank
#3726

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Redding, CA
County
Shasta County · 147,641 people
City population
112,523
Metro
Redding, CA
Population (ZIP)
44,923
Household income
$72,445
Rent vs Own
41.5% rent · 58.5% own
Severe rent burden
1668.0

Population outlook (Shasta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
179,231 people
By 2030
176,953 · -1.3%
By 2040
169,982 · -5.2%
By 2050
162,547 · -9.3%
By 2075
145,649 · -18.7%
By 2100
123,025 · -31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 4% Native American 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shasta

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.5) · D 30.5% · R 67.0% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-10.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.8pp · 2024: -36.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.5 2020: R+33.1 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+25.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -181.66%
Current HPI
152.3069
Rent YoY
▲ 5.98%
Metro
Redding, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-22.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Relisted SAOR
  • 2026-05-01 Pending SAOR
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $87,000 SAOR
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $92,000 SAOR
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $87,000 SAOR
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $92,000 SAOR
  • 2025-10-08 Listed $98,000 SAOR
  • 2025-09-22 Pending SAOR
  • 2025-07-10 Relisted SAOR
  • 2025-07-03 Pending SAOR
  • 2025-05-28 Price Changed $98,000 SAOR
  • 2025-05-08 Price Changed $105,000 SAOR
  • 2025-04-03 Listed $112,000 SAOR

Property tax history

-1.4%/yr

Latest (2020): $158 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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