14427 Halsted St · Harvey, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Unlock Cash Flow and Appreciation in a Revitalizing Suburb Step into the booming Harvey real estate market with this undervalued gem - a spacious 1,488 sq ft single-family home built in 1926, featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and a massive 9,252 sq ft lot perfect for expansions or outdoor appeal. Priced aggressively at $70,000, this property screams "fix-and-flip" or "buy-and-hold" potential in a neighborhood poised for growth. Early investors like you can ride the wave of Harvey's affordable revitalization efforts.
Key facts
- Massive lot
- Outdoor appeal
- 9,240 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported from assessor
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built approximately 91–100 years ago; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 110 x 84; Lot less than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 13 x 11)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Cooling: Other
- Interior features: Unfinished full basement; 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.3% vs local median 9.3% in Harvey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#539 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $70k implies a 314% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.53%
- DSCR
- 4.18
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $120,528
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 E 144th Ct | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,491 (+0%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $70 | 75 |
| 14459 Center Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (-6%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $25 | 74 |
| 308 W 145th Pl | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,488 (0%) | 3mo | $91,000 | $61 | 67 |
| 14510 S Union Ave | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,422 (-4%) | 7mo | $52,000 | $37 | 65 |
| 665 W 144th St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+8%) | 1mo | $218,000 | $136 | 61 |
| 340 Streamside Dr | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,270 (-15%) | 5mo | $142,000 | $112 | 60 |
| 14609 Lexington Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,326 (-11%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $34 | 56 |
| 14410 S Union Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,294 (-13%) | 4mo | $179,000 | $138 | 53 |
| 14411 S Parnell Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,656 (+11%) | 8mo | $134,400 | $81 | 48 |
| 14230 S Union Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,276 (-14%) | 7mo | $132,000 | $103 | 44 |
| 14600 Princeton Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 1,700 (+14%) | 1mo | $122,850 | $72 | 40 |
| 14533 Myrtle Ave | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,704 (+14%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $88 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 82.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.74×
- Total profit
- $112,566
- Equity at exit
- $63,062
- IRR
- 76.7%
- Equity multiple
- 14.93×
- Total profit
- $273,035
- Equity at exit
- $135,995
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60426
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,091 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$439
- Net cashflow
- $1,168
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,217 | -5% $1,193 | +0% $1,168 | +5% $1,144 | +10% $1,120 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,003 | -5% $1,086 | +0% $1,168 | +5% $1,251 | +10% $1,334 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,204 | -0.5pp $1,186 | base $1,168 | +0.5pp $1,150 | +1.0pp $1,132 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1277 | $2,320 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 14629 Hoyne Ave Dixmoor, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 13708 S Wentworth Ave Riverdale, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $70,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2025-11-07$70,000 Active
-
1987-01-27soldstatus $16,900
-
1987-01-27soldstatus $16,900
-
1987-01-27soldstatus $16,900
-
1980-04-24soldstatus $28,000
-
1978-07-13soldstatus $55,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,095
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,008
- − Management
- −$2,008
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $13,722
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,293
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,726/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Harvey
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #539
- US rank
- #11162
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harvey, IL
- City population
- 23,066
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,066
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.36%
- Current HPI
- 313.7895
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+26.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-07 Listed $70,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1987-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $16,900 Public Records
- 1987-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $16,900 Public Records
- 1987-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $16,900 Public Records
- 1980-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 1978-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $55,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2023): $5,229 · +16.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…