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250 Wagoners Way
D- Composite 39.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0

$315,000

250 Wagoners Way · Westmoreland, TN 37186
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,357 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 87 Days on market
Built 2014 0.29 ac lot $232/sqft · at area comps Est $332k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and charm in this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the sought-after Ridgecrest subdivision. Nestled on a generous 0.29-acre lot with a serene wooded backdrop, this property offers both privacy and a welcoming neighborhood atmosphere. Step inside to an inviting open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living area and a bright eat-in kitchen—ideal for everyday living and effortless entertaining. The primary suite provides a relaxing retreat with its own full bath, while two additional bedrooms offer versatility for guests, a home office, or growing needs. Enjoy outdoor living on the back deck overlooking the peaceful yard, perfect for morning coffee or evening gatherings. Additional features include a 2-car attached garage, low-maintenance gutter guards, and a full basement/crawlspace with excellent storage or future expansion potential. Conveniently located just minutes from Westmoreland, Gallatin, and Portland, with easy access to major routes—and best of all, no HOA. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or seeking a smart investment, this home checks all the boxes. Don’t miss your opportunity to make it yours!

Key facts

  • Wooded backdrop
  • Open floor plan
  • 0.29-acre lot

Tags

0.29-ACRE LOTWOODED BACKDROPOPEN FLOOR PLANEAT-IN KITCHENBACK DECKPEACEFUL YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-196 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $280k (11.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (30.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (30.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.3% in Westmoreland — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#91 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sumner County (suburban): math 44% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #12 of 139 in TN (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,748 units permitted in Sumner County in 2024 (124 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sumner County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $145k; list at $315k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $219,500 (30.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.55%
Cash-on-cash
-2.67%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$332,193
List price
$315,000
Delta
-5.18%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
450 Robins Trl 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,368 (+1%) 12mo $320,000 $234 83
103 Hummingbird Hill Ct 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,361 (+0%) 21mo $312,000 $229 81
246 Clyde Wix Rd 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,374 (+1%) 13mo $339,900 $247 68
250 Clyde Wix Rd 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,374 (+1%) 14mo $336,000 $245 66
1985 Stevens Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,386 (+2%) 10mo $320,000 $231 59
1981 Stevens Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,416 (+4%) 10mo $330,000 $233 55
2119 Stevens Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,304 (-4%) 1mo $180,000 $138 54
6102 Austin Peay Hwy 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+10%) 10mo $349,872 $233 43
2006 Stevens Dr 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,296 (-4%) 21mo $240,800 $186 41
4183 Bledsoe St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,538 (+13%) 23mo $349,900 $228 41
6009 Austin Peay Hwy 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,431 (+6%) 12mo $229,500 $160 39
5930 Austin Peay Hwy 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,165 (-14%) 12mo $250,000 $215 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.8%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-63,657
Equity at exit
$46,968
10-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-72,001
Equity at exit
$27,235

Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37186

Home prices YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,195 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,652
Tax from tax record
$147 /mo · $1,765/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$461
Net cashflow
$-196

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,443
Max offer price $280,344
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-18 -5% $-107 +0% $-196 +5% $-285 +10% $-374
Rent -10% $-370 -5% $-283 +0% $-196 +5% $-109 +10% $-23
Rate -1.0pp $-38 -0.5pp $-116 base $-196 +0.5pp $-278 +1.0pp $-361

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,750
Closing costs
$9,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2199 Fincher Dr Westmoreland, TN 3.0 2.0 1532 $2,195 $1.43 8d 1 0.89mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $315,000 Active 87 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $315,000 Active 86 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $315,000 Active 85 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $315,000 Active 84 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $315,000 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $315,000 Active 81 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $315,000 Active 78 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $315,000 Active 77 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $315,000 Active 76 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $315,000 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $315,000 Active 72 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $315,000 Active 71 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $315,000 Active 70 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $315,000 Active 69 DOM
  15. 2026-04-09
    price $315,000 1270-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1270 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and charm in this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the sought-after Ridgecrest subdivision. Nestled on a generous 0.29-acre lot with a serene wooded backdrop, this property offers both privacy and a welcoming neighborhood atmosphere. Step inside to an inviting open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living area and a bright eat-in kitchen—ideal for everyday living and effortless entertaining. The primary suite provides a relaxing retreat with its own full bath, while two additional bedrooms offer versatility for guests, a home office, or growing needs. Enjoy outdoor living on the back deck overlooking the peaceful yard, perfect for morning coffee or evening gatherings. Additional features include a 2-car attached garage, low-maintenance gutter guards, and a full basement/crawlspace with excellent storage or future expansion potential. Conveniently located just minutes from Westmoreland, Gallatin, and Portland, with easy access to major routes—and best of all, no HOA. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or seeking a smart investment, this home checks all the boxes. Don’t miss your opportunity to make it yours!

  16. 2026-03-23
    listed $325,000 Active 1270-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1270 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and charm in this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the sought-after Ridgecrest subdivision. Nestled on a generous 0.29-acre lot with a serene wooded backdrop, this property offers both privacy and a welcoming neighborhood atmosphere. Step inside to an inviting open floor plan filled with natural light, featuring a spacious living area and a bright eat-in kitchen—ideal for everyday living and effortless entertaining. The primary suite provides a relaxing retreat with its own full bath, while two additional bedrooms offer versatility for guests, a home office, or growing needs. Enjoy outdoor living on the back deck overlooking the peaceful yard, perfect for morning coffee or evening gatherings. Additional features include a 2-car attached garage, low-maintenance gutter guards, and a full basement/crawlspace with excellent storage or future expansion potential. Conveniently located just minutes from Westmoreland, Gallatin, and Portland, with easy access to major routes—and best of all, no HOA. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, looking to downsize, or seeking a smart investment, this home checks all the boxes. Don’t miss your opportunity to make it yours!

  17. 2026-03-21
    historical
  18. 2026-02-17
    status Active
  19. 2026-02-17
    historical
  20. 2026-02-05
    price $325,000
  21. 2025-12-05
    listed $335,000 Active
  22. 2025-11-14
    historical
  23. 2015-03-04
    soldstatus $144,900
  24. 2015-02-26
    status Pending
  25. 2015-02-26
    soldstatus $144,900 Closed
  26. 2015-01-06
    listed Contingent - Inspection
  27. 2014-10-28
    listed $144,900
  28. 1998-01-06
    soldstatus $150,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,765 · $147/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,236 · $186/mo
Expected delta
+$472/yr (+$39/mo · 26.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,340
− Mortgage interest
−$17,645
− Property taxes
−$1,765
− Insurance
−$1,575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,107
− Management
−$2,107
− Depreciation
−$9,164
Taxable loss
−$8,023
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,926
After-tax cash flow
$-429/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumner County
NCES district ID
4704020
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$56,998
Composite
36.44/100
National rank
#4667
State rank
#12 of 139 in TN

Livability — Westmoreland

Score
68/100
State rank
#91
US rank
#9706

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westmoreland, TN
Population (ZIP)
10,644

Population outlook (Sumner County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
208,284 people
By 2030
223,902 · +7.5%
By 2040
253,892 · +21.9%
By 2050
281,199 · +35.0%
By 2075
344,866 · +65.6%
By 2100
384,369 · +84.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Asian 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumner

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.5% · R 70.3% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.9pp · 2024: -41.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+45.0 2012: R+42.0 2008: R+34.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.60%
Current HPI
336.4711
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+110.0% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $315,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $325,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-21 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-17 Relisted REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-17 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $325,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-05 Listed $335,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-14 Coming Soon REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $144,900 Public Records
  • 2015-02-26 Pending REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-02-26 Sold (MLS) $144,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-01-06 Listed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-10-28 Listed $144,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+21.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,765 · +58.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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