220 LA Rosas · Warm Mineral Springs, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover your dream home with a delightful new carport featuring double doors, perfect for storing your golf cart! Step inside to find a beautiful vinyl-enclosed lanai that seamlessly connects to a charming backyard and a cozy patio area, ideal for enjoying the outdoors. The utility room is well-equipped with a washer, dryer, deep sink, and plenty of storage space to meet all your needs. As you enter this inviting La Casa home, you'll be greeted by a stunning new door adorned with a stained glass insert. The bright and cheerful kitchen offers abundant cabinet space, a breakfast bar, and modern appliances, making it a wonderful place to whip up your favorite meals. The dining room, complete with a built-in hutch, flows into a spacious living room that invites relaxation. Enjoy the natural light in the glass-enclosed Florida room, which conveniently opens to the front sidewalk and carport. Retreat to the generously sized guest bedroom featuring a walk-in closet, while the guest bath is thoughtfully designed with a vinyl floor and a soothing tub/shower combination. The primary bedroom shines with its en-suite dressing area and a luxurious walk-in closet. The primary bath includes a granite-topped vanity and a beautifully tiled walk-in shower with a bench, ensuring comfort and convenience. This lovely home is further enhanced with modern upgrades, such as clam-shell awnings, a metal roof, laminate flooring throughout, windows and A/C. Welcome to your new beginning! Welcome to La Casa providing the ultimate lifestyle on Florida’s Gulf Coast. We are convenient for shopping, sightseeing, golfing, fishing, and boating, as well as the culture and elegance for which Southwest Florida is noted. Residents and visitors enjoy the warmth of Southwest Florida winters in a relaxed and unhurried environment far removed from the hustle of Florida’s east coast. You’ll be surrounded by hundreds of palms reaching for the sky and beautiful mature lush landscaping which demonstrates the utmost level of care our property receives from residents and management. Wireless Internet (Wi-Fi) is available at the Clubhouse, Activity Building, and Recreation Hall area where our pools & spas are located, so you can catch some rays while you catch up on your email. Sound enticing? La Casa is a friendly, family community. You will be away from the hustle and bustle except when you want to be part of it. When you leave our gates, North Port is only 1.5 miles from the city center, where you will find every kind of retail store and service you could need. Come for a visit to this self-contained oasis and see for yourself why La Casa is the ultimate destination for both snowbirds and year-round residents.
Key facts
- New carport
- Vinyl enclosed lanai
- Walk in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $236 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#604 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Glenallen Elementary School (math 54% / reading 54%, grade C, #936 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 716 students, 79% FRL); Heron Creek Middle School (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C+, #209 of 571 statewide, top 37%, 902 students, 72% FRL); North Port High School (math 44% / reading 57%, grade D+, #171 of 667 statewide, top 26%, 2,562 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 42% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 857 active listings in the ZIP; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $125k implies a 177% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.36%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-9,637
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-6,104
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34287
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 857
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,704 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,749/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$191
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $236
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $307 | -5% $271 | +0% $236 | +5% $200 | +10% $165 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $101 | -5% $168 | +0% $236 | +5% $303 | +10% $370 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $299 | -0.5pp $268 | base $236 | +0.5pp $203 | +1.0pp $170 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $191 · $2,292/yr
- Likely covers
- internetlandscapingpool
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-02-17price $125,000 2738-char remark
Show marketing remark (2738 chars)
Discover your dream home with a delightful new carport featuring double doors, perfect for storing your golf cart! Step inside to find a beautiful vinyl-enclosed lanai that seamlessly connects to a charming backyard and a cozy patio area, ideal for enjoying the outdoors. The utility room is well-equipped with a washer, dryer, deep sink, and plenty of storage space to meet all your needs. As you enter this inviting La Casa home, you'll be greeted by a stunning new door adorned with a stained glass insert. The bright and cheerful kitchen offers abundant cabinet space, a breakfast bar, and modern appliances, making it a wonderful place to whip up your favorite meals. The dining room, complete with a built-in hutch, flows into a spacious living room that invites relaxation. Enjoy the natural light in the glass-enclosed Florida room, which conveniently opens to the front sidewalk and carport. Retreat to the generously sized guest bedroom featuring a walk-in closet, while the guest bath is thoughtfully designed with a vinyl floor and a soothing tub/shower combination. The primary bedroom shines with its en-suite dressing area and a luxurious walk-in closet. The primary bath includes a granite-topped vanity and a beautifully tiled walk-in shower with a bench, ensuring comfort and convenience. This lovely home is further enhanced with modern upgrades, such as clam-shell awnings, a metal roof, laminate flooring throughout, windows and A/C. Welcome to your new beginning! Welcome to La Casa providing the ultimate lifestyle on Florida’s Gulf Coast. We are convenient for shopping, sightseeing, golfing, fishing, and boating, as well as the culture and elegance for which Southwest Florida is noted. Residents and visitors enjoy the warmth of Southwest Florida winters in a relaxed and unhurried environment far removed from the hustle of Florida’s east coast. You’ll be surrounded by hundreds of palms reaching for the sky and beautiful mature lush landscaping which demonstrates the utmost level of care our property receives from residents and management. Wireless Internet (Wi-Fi) is available at the Clubhouse, Activity Building, and Recreation Hall area where our pools & spas are located, so you can catch some rays while you catch up on your email. Sound enticing? La Casa is a friendly, family community. You will be away from the hustle and bustle except when you want to be part of it. When you leave our gates, North Port is only 1.5 miles from the city center, where you will find every kind of retail store and service you could need. Come for a visit to this self-contained oasis and see for yourself why La Casa is the ultimate destination for both snowbirds and year-round residents.
-
2025-12-18$129,000 Active 2738-char remark
Show marketing remark (2738 chars)
Discover your dream home with a delightful new carport featuring double doors, perfect for storing your golf cart! Step inside to find a beautiful vinyl-enclosed lanai that seamlessly connects to a charming backyard and a cozy patio area, ideal for enjoying the outdoors. The utility room is well-equipped with a washer, dryer, deep sink, and plenty of storage space to meet all your needs. As you enter this inviting La Casa home, you'll be greeted by a stunning new door adorned with a stained glass insert. The bright and cheerful kitchen offers abundant cabinet space, a breakfast bar, and modern appliances, making it a wonderful place to whip up your favorite meals. The dining room, complete with a built-in hutch, flows into a spacious living room that invites relaxation. Enjoy the natural light in the glass-enclosed Florida room, which conveniently opens to the front sidewalk and carport. Retreat to the generously sized guest bedroom featuring a walk-in closet, while the guest bath is thoughtfully designed with a vinyl floor and a soothing tub/shower combination. The primary bedroom shines with its en-suite dressing area and a luxurious walk-in closet. The primary bath includes a granite-topped vanity and a beautifully tiled walk-in shower with a bench, ensuring comfort and convenience. This lovely home is further enhanced with modern upgrades, such as clam-shell awnings, a metal roof, laminate flooring throughout, windows and A/C. Welcome to your new beginning! Welcome to La Casa providing the ultimate lifestyle on Florida’s Gulf Coast. We are convenient for shopping, sightseeing, golfing, fishing, and boating, as well as the culture and elegance for which Southwest Florida is noted. Residents and visitors enjoy the warmth of Southwest Florida winters in a relaxed and unhurried environment far removed from the hustle of Florida’s east coast. You’ll be surrounded by hundreds of palms reaching for the sky and beautiful mature lush landscaping which demonstrates the utmost level of care our property receives from residents and management. Wireless Internet (Wi-Fi) is available at the Clubhouse, Activity Building, and Recreation Hall area where our pools & spas are located, so you can catch some rays while you catch up on your email. Sound enticing? La Casa is a friendly, family community. You will be away from the hustle and bustle except when you want to be part of it. When you leave our gates, North Port is only 1.5 miles from the city center, where you will find every kind of retail store and service you could need. Come for a visit to this self-contained oasis and see for yourself why La Casa is the ultimate destination for both snowbirds and year-round residents.
-
2014-07-19soldstatus $45,094
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,749 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,749 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,454
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,749
- − Insurance
- −$1,422
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,636
- − Management
- −$1,636
- − HOA
- −$2,292
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,079
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$259
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,570/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sarasota
- NCES district ID
- 1201680
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,167
- Composite
- 53.68/100
- National rank
- #1428
- State rank
- #7 of 73 in FL
Livability — Warm Mineral Springs
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #604
- US rank
- #11606
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warm Mineral Springs, FL
- County
- Sarasota County · 448,376 people
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,929
- Household income
- $63,464
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 522.0
Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 452,380 people
- By 2030
- 474,175 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 511,577 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 541,467 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 604,947 · +33.7%
- By 2100
- 621,965 · +37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.89%
- Current HPI
- 280.8484
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.26%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+177.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-18 Listed $129,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $45,094 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,749 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…