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5005 W 31st St
B Composite 72.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

5005 W 31st St · Little Rock, AR 72204
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,240 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1954 6,098 sqft lot Est $100k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fannie Mae owned. No disclosure available. Investor special - offered CASH or LINE OF CREDIT financing

Key facts

  • Interstate access
  • Large backyard
  • Updated flooring

Tags

FULLY REFRESHED HOMEBRIGHT OPEN LIVING SPACESUPDATED FLOORINGAMPLE CABINET SPACELARGE BACKYARDINTERSTATE ACCESS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water
  • Home design: Brick, frame, and metal/vinyl siding exterior
  • Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing stove
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Vinyl flooring; Den/Family Room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 49% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,300 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.92%
Cash-on-cash
20.10%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$100,440
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2923 Fair Park Blvd 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,287 (+4%) 2mo $149,000 $116 77
5220 W 34th St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,243 (+0%) 13mo $70,000 $56 70
3004 S Harrison St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,144 (-8%) 13mo $130,000 $114 66
3002 S Tyler 0.24mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,152 (-7%) 8mo $85,000 $74 65
2423 S Tyler St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,278 (+3%) 9mo $105,000 $82 65
2700 S Tyler St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,214 (-2%) 12mo $80,000 $66 63
4211 W 24th St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,276 (+3%) 1mo $63,000 $49 62
4623 W 30th St 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,114 (-10%) 13mo $35,000 $31 60
2506 S Tyler St 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,360 (+10%) 10mo $160,000 $118 55
5208 W 24th Dr 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,130 (-9%) 11mo $91,000 $81 52
4701 W Charles Bussey Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,250 (+1%) 14mo $175,000 $140 52
2502 S Tyler St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,382 (+12%) 13mo $68,250 $49 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.91% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$14,673
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
3.28×
Total profit
$57,531
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72204

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
186
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,227 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $452/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$422

Break-even live

Break-even rent $693
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5005 W 31st St Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 1240 $1,215 $0.98 43d 1 0.03mi
4816 W 30th St Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 1217 $1,150 $0.94 18d 1 0.11mi
3000 S Tyler St Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.5 1258 $1,250 $0.99 23d 1 0.25mi
2609 S Tyler St Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,040 $0.87 43d 1 0.32mi
2701 Abigail St Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1098 $1,195 $1.09 23d 1 0.52mi
4304 W 22nd St Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 896 $895 $1.00 43d 1 0.70mi
1914 S Van Buren St Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.5 1318 $995 $0.75 23d 1 0.71mi
1720 Pinewood Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 1382 $1,180 $0.85 43d 1 0.79mi
2421 S Oak St Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1092 $950 $0.87 21d 1 0.86mi
4721 W 16th St Little Rock, AR 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 23d 1 0.89mi
1701 Fair Park Blvd Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 1170 $1,050 $0.90 43d 1 0.90mi
2305 S Oak St Little Rock, AR 4.0 2.0 1223 $1,525 $1.25 43d 1 0.90mi
58 Berkshire Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.5 1304 $1,250 $0.96 23d 1 0.91mi
4319 W 17th St Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 957 $950 $0.99 43d 1 0.92mi
1809 S Buchanan St Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 974 $850 $0.87 21d 1 0.94mi
3107 Alameda Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,250 $1.20 43d 1 1.05mi
1320 Adams St Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,025 $1.00 43d 1 1.08mi
2105 S Valentine St Little Rock, AR 4.0 2.0 1223 $1,595 $1.30 14d 1 1.08mi
2300 S Martin St Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 840 $795 $0.95 23d 1 1.11mi
9 Barbara Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1035 $1,295 $1.25 21d 1 1.11mi
2220 S Martin St Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 1143 $900 $0.79 23d 1 1.12mi
2100 Valmar St Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 1219 $1,200 $0.98 23d 1 1.12mi
4314 W 14th St Little Rock, AR 4.0 2.0 1223 $1,495 $1.22 23d 1 1.13mi
4104 W 15th St Little Rock, AR 4.0 2.0 1223 $1,595 $1.30 43d 1 1.14mi
32 Barbara Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 1201 $1,195 $1.00 23d 1 1.16mi
46 Glenmere Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,150 $1.06 43d 1 1.17mi
3510 S Bryant St Unit 50 Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 807 $995 $1.23 43d 1 1.24mi
107 Broadmoor Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1202 $1,025 $0.85 43d 1 1.25mi
99 Broadmoor Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,195 $0.98 43d 1 1.26mi
3401 W 17th St Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 1370 $1,400 $1.02 43d 1 1.29mi
1511 S Cleveland St Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,295 $1.08 23d 1 1.30mi
1918 Allis St Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 868 $895 $1.03 14d 1 1.32mi
3715 W 13th St Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 1176 $900 $0.77 43d 1 1.34mi
1626 S Brown St Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 1386 $995 $0.72 43d 1 1.36mi
901 S Harrison St Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 1000 $980 $0.98 18d 1 1.36mi
1820 Johnson St Little Rock, AR 4.0 2.0 1223 $1,550 $1.27 18d 1 1.40mi
1822 Booker St Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 1076 $1,195 $1.11 23d 1 1.45mi
1205 Valmar St Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,199 $1.09 43d 1 1.47mi
605 Oak Park Dr Little Rock, AR 2.0 1.0 1164 $975 $0.84 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $90,000 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Price Change 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $90,000 Price Change 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Price Change 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Price Change 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricestatusdays on market $90,000 Price Change 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,999 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,999 Active 16 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,999 Active 15 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,999 Active 14 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,999 Active 13 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,999 Active 12 DOM
  17. 2026-05-18
    listed $99,999 New Listing
  18. 2026-05-16
    historical $1,215
  19. 2026-03-28
    listed $1,215
  20. 2026-01-28
    historical $875
  21. 2026-01-27
    price $875
  22. 2026-01-10
    listed $950
  23. 2026-01-10
    historical $950
  24. 2025-12-30
    listed $950
  25. 2025-12-18
    historical $950
  26. 2025-12-12
    price $950
  27. 2025-11-18
    listed $1,000
  28. 2025-02-06
    soldstatus $400,000
  29. 2025-01-01
    historical
  30. 2024-12-04
    historical Take Backups
  31. 2024-11-06
    listed $99,850 New Listing
  32. 2009-06-12
    soldstatus $14,000 102-char remark
    Show marketing remark (102 chars)

    Fannie Mae owned. No disclosure available. Investor special - offered CASH or LINE OF CREDIT financing

  33. 2009-05-08
    historical 102-char remark
    Show marketing remark (102 chars)

    Fannie Mae owned. No disclosure available. Investor special - offered CASH or LINE OF CREDIT financing

  34. 2009-01-07
    listed $15,900 102-char remark
    Show marketing remark (102 chars)

    Fannie Mae owned. No disclosure available. Investor special - offered CASH or LINE OF CREDIT financing

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$452 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$576 · $48/mo
Expected delta
+$124/yr (+$10/mo · 27.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,721
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$452
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,178
− Management
−$1,178
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$3,805
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$913
After-tax cash flow
$4,152/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Little Rock School District
NCES district ID
0509000
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,346
Composite
21.0/100
National rank
#8457
State rank
#183 of 238 in AR

Livability — Little Rock

Score
73/100
State rank
#22
US rank
#5295

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Little Rock, AR
County
Pulaski County · 372,764 people
City population
218,896
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
30,525
Household income
$40,882
Rent vs Own
41.5% rent · 58.5% own
Severe rent burden
1553.0

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,378 people
By 2030
423,720 · +2.0%
By 2040
435,182 · +4.8%
By 2050
440,904 · +6.1%
By 2075
445,521 · +7.3%
By 2100
419,173 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -47.17%
Current HPI
172.3977
Rent YoY
▲ 4.91%
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+528.9% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $99,999 CARMLS
  • 2026-05-16 Rental Removed $1,215 SHOWMOJO
  • 2026-03-28 Listed for Rent $1,215 SHOWMOJO
  • 2026-01-28 Rental Removed $875 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $875 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-10 Listed for Rent $950 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-10 Rental Removed $950 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-12-30 Listed for Rent $950 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-12-18 Rental Removed $950 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-12-12 Price Changed $950 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-11-18 Listed for Rent $1,000 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $400,000 Public Records
  • 2025-01-01 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2024-12-04 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2024-11-06 Listed $99,850 CARMLS
  • 2009-06-12 Sold (MLS) $14,000 CARMLS
  • 2009-05-08 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2009-01-07 Listed $15,900 CARMLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $452 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…