43835 Mezzelune Way · Indio, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.1/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This solar panel home is located in the 55 and Better Community of Four Seasons at Terra Lago. Residents have access to amenities such as a clubhouse and fitness center. The home features tile flooring, window coverings, and carpeted bedrooms. The kitchen includes stainless-steel appliances, ample counter space, an extra-large pantry, and attractive cabinetry. The main bedroom offers a spacious bathroom with dual vanities and a large closet. Guest bedrooms and bathrooms are situated on the opposite side of the home for privacy. A third room may serve as an office. The property also includes a separate laundry room with storage cabinets and a large interior storage room for versatile use.
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Window coverings
- Clubhouse
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $399k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-568 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $299k (25.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $319k (20.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $299k (25.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Desert Ridge Academy (math 24% / reading 75%, grade C, #98 of 498 statewide, top 21%, 1,030 students, 81% FRL); Shadow Hills High (math 30% / reading 53%, grade F, #498 of 1,170 statewide, top 43%, 1,751 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 56% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 537 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($351k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.10%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $527,148
- List price
- $399,000
- Delta
- -24.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85613 Treviso Dr | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,736 (-8%) | 0mo | $389,900 | $225 | 79 |
| 43842 Treviso Dr | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,704 (-10%) | 3mo | $415,000 | $244 | 75 |
| 85494 Cortona Ct | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,704 (-10%) | 4mo | $417,000 | $245 | 75 |
| 85735 Burano Pl | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,704 (-10%) | 6mo | $535,000 | $314 | 72 |
| 43670 Treviso Dr | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,704 (-10%) | 9mo | $375,000 | $220 | 70 |
| 85549 Veneto Ln | 0.07mi | 2/2.5 | 2,166 (+15%) | 4mo | $439,999 | $203 | 66 |
| 85647 Veneto Ln | 0.08mi | 2/2.5 | 2,166 (+15%) | 5mo | $535,000 | $247 | 65 |
| 43595 Vacanza Ct | 0.11mi | 2/2.5 | 2,166 (+15%) | 4mo | $566,000 | $261 | 65 |
| 85571 Adria Dr | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,632 (-14%) | 5mo | $410,000 | $251 | 62 |
| 42801 Torno Pl | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 2,026 (+7%) | 1mo | $515,000 | $254 | 54 |
| 42963 Ascona Ln | 0.57mi | 2/2.5 | 2,152 (+14%) | 2mo | $475,000 | $221 | 46 |
| 42811 Torno Pl | 0.69mi | 2/3.0 | 2,166 (+15%) | 4mo | $535,500 | $247 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-83,762
- Equity at exit
- $59,492
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-41,885
- Equity at exit
- $34,498
Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 13 active · 11 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.6 mo (22%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $525,000 ($270/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 127 d
- This list price
- 8% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +3.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 92203
- Home prices YoY
- -25.0%
- Rents YoY
- 11.6%
- Active inventory
- 537
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,187 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,092
- Tax from tax record
- −$527 /mo · $6,325/yr
- Insurance
- −$166
- HOA
- −$300
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$669
- Net cashflow
- $-568
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-342 | -5% $-455 | +0% $-568 | +5% $-681 | +10% $-794 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-820 | -5% $-694 | +0% $-568 | +5% $-442 | +10% $-317 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-367 | -0.5pp $-467 | base $-568 | +0.5pp $-672 | +1.0pp $-777 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,750
- Closing costs
- $11,970
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43720 Vacanza Ct Indio, CA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2152 | $2,950 | $1.37 | 2d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 85494 Cortona Ct Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $3,500 | $2.05 | 93d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 43930 Arancia Way Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2026 | $3,500 | $1.73 | 67d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 85556 Molvena Dr Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2506 | $3,495 | $1.39 | 67d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 43001 Ascona Ln Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1736 | $3,000 | $1.73 | 2d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 84649 Pavone Way Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2012 | $3,800 | $1.89 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 84935 Corso Ct Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2519 | $4,500 | $1.79 | 2d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 41867 Regona Rd Indio, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2285 | $5,500 | $2.41 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 86163 Grenache Ln Coachella, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1587 | $2,750 | $1.73 | 93d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 86163 Grenache Ln Coachella, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1587 | $2,750 | $1.73 | 2d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 42816 Dell Lago Ct Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2012 | $25,000 | $12.43 | 93d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 86147 Pinot Noir Ln Coachella, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1587 | $2,600 | $1.64 | 93d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 45954 Meritage Ln Coachella, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,300 | $1.59 | 2d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 86242 Pinot Noir Ln Coachella, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1587 | $2,750 | $1.73 | 15d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 84330 Tramonto Way Indio, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1637 | $3,645 | $2.23 | 73d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail $300/mo · $3,600/yr
- Likely covers
- gym
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $399,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $399,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $399,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $399,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $399,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $399,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $399,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $399,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $399,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $399,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $399,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $399,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $399,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $399,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $399,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $399,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $399,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $399,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $399,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $399,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $399,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $399,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $399,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $399,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $399,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $399,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $399,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $399,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $399,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $399,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $399,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $399,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $399,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $399,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $399,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $399,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $399,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $399,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $399,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $399,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $399,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $399,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $399,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $399,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $399,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $399,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $399,000 Active 69 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,325 · $527/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,325 · $527/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,239
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,350
- − Property taxes
- −$6,325
- − Insurance
- −$1,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,059
- − Management
- −$3,059
- − HOA
- −$3,600
- − Depreciation
- −$11,607
- Taxable loss
- −$13,757
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,302
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,518/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-family home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a good balance of curb appeal and interior features, making it a solid investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping and adding curb appeal features — Improves the home's visual appeal and marketability. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value for potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the bathroom fixtures — Enhances the bathroom's functionality and appeal for potential buyers. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desert Sands Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0611110
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,957
- Composite
- 37.77/100
- National rank
- #4346
- State rank
- #199 of 517 in CA
Livability — Indio
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #927
- US rank
- #24244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indio, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,664,475 people
- City population
- 100,560
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,735
- Household income
- $97,311
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 41% Two or more races 29% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 33% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.51%
- Current HPI
- 295.6456
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.64%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+21.7% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $409,000 GPSMLS
- 2025-12-05 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2025-11-15 Price Changed $390,000 GPSMLS
- 2025-11-15 Relisted — GPSMLS
- 2025-11-07 Pending — GPSMLS
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $395,000 GPSMLS
- 2025-10-06 Price Changed $429,000 GPSMLS
- 2025-09-15 Listed $445,000 GPSMLS
- 2025-09-14 Coming Soon — GPSMLS
- 2024-10-25 Pending — GPSMLS
- 2024-10-14 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2024-10-14 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2024-07-15 Listed $435,000 GPSMLS
- 2022-02-08 Price Changed $2,599 RENT.
- 2021-10-28 Sold (MLS) $369,894 GPSMLS
- 2021-03-30 Price Changed $338,990 GPSMLS
- 2021-03-30 Pending — GPSMLS
- 2021-03-26 Listed $335,990 GPSMLS
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $6,325 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…