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1207 Thurman St
B- Composite 66.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

1207 Thurman St · Defiance, OH 43512
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,078 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1962 4,138 sqft lot Est $148k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Super cute New kitchen, front step and back steps, windows, siding, new metal roof, new carpet, laminate flooring, new walls,ceilings, fresh paint, new sinks, tubs and toilets, plumbing, lighting, furnace, sump pump and pit.

Key facts

  • Laundry mud room
  • Access to backyard
  • Dead-end street

Tags

CORNER LOTDEAD-END STREETOPEN LIVING DINING KITCHENLAUNDRY MUD ROOMACCESS TO BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking on gravel
  • Utilities: Public water; Sanitary sewer (connected)
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation; Built as a residential single family home
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; No throughway road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Electric range; Refrigerator; Water heater
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level (approx. 11x14; 10x12; 10x10)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced air heating
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Primary bathroom
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($876 rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 2.5% in Defiance — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#448 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Defiance City (town): math 48% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #449 of 656 in OH (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Defiance Elementary School (math 58% / reading 50%, grade C, #829 of 1,584 statewide, top 53%, 1,044 students, 65% FRL); Defiance Middle School (math 42% / reading 49%, grade D+, #467 of 654 statewide, top 72%, 586 students, 54% FRL); Defiance High School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #435 of 781 statewide, top 59%, 709 students, 45% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Defiance County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Defiance County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.75%
Cash-on-cash
8.78%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$147,686
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1275 Myrna St 0.09mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,078 (0%) 2mo $125,000 $116 89
1122 Ottawa Ave 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,120 (+4%) 1mo $153,000 $137 77
905 Hees Ct 0.49mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (-4%) 4mo $135,000 $130 63
1116 Ottawa Ave 0.21mi 3/1.0 (-1) 950 (-12%) 4mo $140,000 $147 62
840 Karnes Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 (-1) 920 (-15%) 1mo $96,000 $104 50
512 Tiedeman Ave 0.71mi 3/1.5 (-1) 960 (-11%) 2mo $150,000 $156 40
907 Columbus Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 (-1) 951 (-12%) 20mo $131,000 $138 39
430 Rulf St 0.51mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,194 (+11%) 21mo $145,000 $121 36
122 Squires Ave 0.67mi 4/1.0 942 (-13%) 15mo $134,900 $143 35
420 Highland St 0.75mi 3/1.5 (-1) 935 (-13%) 6mo $120,000 $128 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.0%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-2,526
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$11,217
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43512

Home prices YoY
-24.3%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$876 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $915/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$184
Net cashflow
$164

Break-even live

Break-even rent $669
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $79,900 Pending 2 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-05-28
    listed $79,900 Active
  4. 2025-10-13
    price $18,000
  5. 2019-08-29
    soldstatus $78,000 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Super cute New kitchen, front step and back steps, windows, siding, new metal roof, new carpet, laminate flooring, new walls,ceilings, fresh paint, new sinks, tubs and toilets, plumbing, lighting, furnace, sump pump and pit.

  6. 2019-08-29
    soldstatus $78,000
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Super cute New kitchen, front step and back steps, windows, siding, new metal roof, new carpet, laminate flooring, new walls,ceilings, fresh paint, new sinks, tubs and toilets, plumbing, lighting, furnace, sump pump and pit.

  7. 2019-07-18
    listed $78,000 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Super cute New kitchen, front step and back steps, windows, siding, new metal roof, new carpet, laminate flooring, new walls,ceilings, fresh paint, new sinks, tubs and toilets, plumbing, lighting, furnace, sump pump and pit.

  8. 2016-01-05
    soldstatus $19,148
  9. 2015-03-13
    soldstatus $18,000
  10. 2015-03-12
    price $22,000
  11. 2015-02-03
    listed $22,000
  12. 2015-01-20
    historical
  13. 2014-08-05
    listed $26,000
  14. 1998-05-18
    soldstatus $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$915 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,081 · $90/mo
Expected delta
+$166/yr (+$14/mo · 18.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,514
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$915
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$841
− Management
−$841
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$718
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$172
After-tax cash flow
$1,792/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Defiance City
NCES district ID
3904386
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$44,700
Composite
41.86/100
National rank
#3375
State rank
#449 of 656 in OH

Livability — Defiance

Score
71/100
State rank
#448
US rank
#7316

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Defiance, OH
County
Defiance · 37,898 people
City population
27,894
Population (ZIP)
27,894
Household income
$72,082
Rent vs Own
23.2% rent · 76.8% own
Severe rent burden
7.6

Population outlook (Defiance County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,051 people
By 2030
36,013 · -2.8%
By 2040
33,583 · -9.4%
By 2050
31,309 · -15.5%
By 2075
26,980 · -27.2%
By 2100
23,416 · -36.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Defiance

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-29.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+36.4 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+10.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.33%
Current HPI
210.2352
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+370.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $79,900 NORIS
  • 2025-10-13 Price Changed $18,000 NORIS
  • 2019-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2019-08-29 Sold (MLS) $78,000 NORIS
  • 2019-07-18 Listed $78,000 NORIS
  • 2016-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $19,148 Public Records
  • 2015-03-13 Sold (MLS) $18,000 NORIS
  • 2015-03-12 Price Changed $22,000 NORIS
  • 2015-02-03 Listed $22,000 NORIS
  • 2015-01-20 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2014-08-05 Listed $26,000 NORIS
  • 1998-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $915 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…