755 Berrys Lick Rd · Morgantown, KY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming farmhouse sits on approximately 1 acre with mature trees and fence on three sides in the country surrounded by farm land. The home needs some TLC, but will make a great starter home or investment property. There is 2 rooms upstairs and then on the main level you have a nice size living room, kitchen, bedroom, bonus room, bathroom and utility room. There is a storm cellar area. There is a 30x36 detached garage with electric that would be perfect for storage or a great workshop. There is a covered front porch and room for a fit pit to enjoy the outdoors. If you are looking to restore a farmhouse or maybe just looking for an investment opportunity this property would be perfect f
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Fence on three sides
- Room for a fire pit
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Gravel parking
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Window unit cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Electric water heater
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($872/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (11.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $101k (11.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#405 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Butler County (rural): math 18% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #147 of 165 in KY (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Morgantown Elementary School (math 17% / reading 30%, grade F, #515 of 676 statewide, top 77%, 700 students, 67% FRL); Butler County Middle School (math 16% / reading 36%, grade F, #178 of 217 statewide, top 83%, 454 students, 64% FRL); Butler County High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #179 of 254 statewide, top 78%, 633 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $839 of equity ($795 loan paydown + $44 appreciation (0.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (0.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.71%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.04% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,446
- Equity at exit
- $33,613
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $22,434
- Equity at exit
- $40,581
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42256
- Home prices YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,013 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $918/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$213
- Net cashflow
- $73
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
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2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-15price $115,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $119,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $119,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $119,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $119,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-04-23$119,000 Active
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2025-11-25price $115,000
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2025-07-09$129,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $918 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $989 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$71/yr (+$6/mo · 7.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,154
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$918
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$972
- − Management
- −$972
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$1,071
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$257
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,129/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Butler County
- NCES district ID
- 2100810
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,849
- Composite
- 20.65/100
- National rank
- #8541
- State rank
- #147 of 165 in KY
Livability — Morgantown
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #405
- US rank
- #19314
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,052
Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,118 people
- By 2030
- 13,111 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 13,003 · -0.9%
- By 2050
- 12,979 · -1.1%
- By 2075
- 13,826 · +5.4%
- By 2100
- 15,986 · +21.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Butler
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.3) · D 16.2% · R 82.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.3pp · 2024: -66.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.3 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+62.4 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+40.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▬ 0.04%
- Current HPI
- 265.4274
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
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Price history
-8.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $119,000 RASKMLS
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $115,000 RASKMLS
- 2025-07-09 Listed $129,900 RASKMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $918 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…