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26 Tiger Lily Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 77.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,891

26 Tiger Lily Dr · Port Jervis, NY 12771
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,072 sqft · Manufactured · 90 Days on market
Built 1986 Fair condition Est $95k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

26 Tiger Lily Drive – 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Mobile Home in Port Jervis Bright and spacious ranch-style mobile home located in an RHP Properties land-lease community. This well-maintained home offers three bedrooms, including a primary suite with a private full bathroom, plus an additional full bath for added convenience. The home features a long, open layout with wood-style flooring in the main living areas, carpeted bedrooms, and large windows that provide abundant natural light throughout. Ceiling fans are installed in multiple rooms to enhance comfort. Additional highlights include a private driveway with space for up to three vehicles and a storage shed for added functionality. The home is heated with kerosene and uses propane for cooking. Community & Lot Details: Monthly lot rent: $968 (includes water, sewer, and taxes) Trash fee: $24.15/month Pet policy: Maximum of 2 pets (breed restrictions apply; 45 lb weight limit) Buyer approval required by park (minimum 550 credit score) Conveniently located in Port Jervis near shopping, dining, and outdoor recreation, this home offers an affordable opportunity for comfortable living in a well-maintained community. please do not drive by

Key facts

  • Master suite
  • Extra storage
  • Ceiling fans

Tags

MASTER SUITEPRIVATE BATHROOMWOOD STYLE FLOORINGABUNDANT NATURAL LIGHTCEILING FANSEXTRA STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $54,891 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$95,408) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 33.8% vs local median 4.6% in Port Jervis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#475 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, amenities B+, cost of living B+; Watch: schools C-, housing C-, crime D+.
  • Port Jervis City School District (rural): math 43% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #451 of 590 in NY (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $379 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,597 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.78%
Cap rate
33.80%
Cash-on-cash
98.22%
DSCR
5.37
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$95,408
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20 Forrest Dr 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,008 (-6%) 12mo $90,000 $89 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
99.2%
Equity multiple
5.64×
Total profit
$71,260
Equity at exit
$8,184
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.76×
Total profit
$165,351
Equity at exit
$4,746

Cash invested: $15,369 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12771

Home prices YoY
-20.1%
Active inventory
107
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,073 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $823/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$435
Net cashflow
$1,258

Break-even live

Break-even rent $480
Max offer price $54,891
Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,723
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
23 Daisy Dr Port Jervis, NY 3.0 1.5 950 $1,800 $1.89 14d 1 0.08mi
15 Hobson Rd Port Jervis, NY 2.0 1.0 940 $2,000 $2.13 43d 1 0.28mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $54,891 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $54,891 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $54,891 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $54,891 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $54,891 Active 85 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $54,891 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $54,891 Active 82 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $54,891 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,891 Active 80 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,891 Active 79 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $54,891 Active 75 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,891 Active 74 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,891 Active 73 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,891 Active 72 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $54,891 Active 71 DOM
  16. 2026-03-20
    listed $59,000 Active 1212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1212 chars)

    26 Tiger Lily Drive – 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Mobile Home in Port Jervis Bright and spacious ranch-style mobile home located in an RHP Properties land-lease community. This well-maintained home offers three bedrooms, including a primary suite with a private full bathroom, plus an additional full bath for added convenience. The home features a long, open layout with wood-style flooring in the main living areas, carpeted bedrooms, and large windows that provide abundant natural light throughout. Ceiling fans are installed in multiple rooms to enhance comfort. Additional highlights include a private driveway with space for up to three vehicles and a storage shed for added functionality. The home is heated with kerosene and uses propane for cooking. Community & Lot Details: Monthly lot rent: $968 (includes water, sewer, and taxes) Trash fee: $24.15/month Pet policy: Maximum of 2 pets (breed restrictions apply; 45 lb weight limit) Buyer approval required by park (minimum 550 credit score) Conveniently located in Port Jervis near shopping, dining, and outdoor recreation, this home offers an affordable opportunity for comfortable living in a well-maintained community. please do not drive by

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,871
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$823
− Insurance
−$274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,990
− Management
−$1,990
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$15,122
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,629
After-tax cash flow
$11,467/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, particularly to the exterior and landscaping, to improve its condition and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
  • Minor interior paint — Faded paint

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both New flooring in bedrooms — Improves aesthetics and rental appeal
  • Both Painting interior walls — Freshens up the home and enhances resale value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Significant wear and tear Major $15,000–50,000
interior paint · Faded paint Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $15,500–53,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both New flooring in bedrooms — Improves aesthetics and rental appeal
  • Both Painting interior walls — Freshens up the home and enhances resale value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Port Jervis City School District
NCES district ID
3623520
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$44,506
Composite
39.33/100
National rank
#3984
State rank
#451 of 590 in NY

Livability — Port Jervis

Score
69/100
State rank
#475
US rank
#8376

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute C+ Cost of living B+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Orange County · 267,004 people
City population
14,049
Metro
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
Population (ZIP)
14,049
Household income
$68,136
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
792.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
379,830 people
By 2030
378,955 · -0.2%
By 2040
375,444 · -1.2%
By 2050
369,311 · -2.8%
By 2075
354,233 · -6.7%
By 2100
318,150 · -16.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 3% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.4) · D 45.8% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.4 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+6.5 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+4.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.78%
Current HPI
301.5132
Rent YoY
Metro
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $59,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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