3589 Wells Rd #99 · Blythe, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 116°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.1/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the Mesa Bluffs Village, an established manufactured home community. The park is peacefully nestled above the beautiful Blythe valley and is only a stone’s throw away from the local municipal golf course, Palo Verde College, and the Colorado River. This charming home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,344 square feet of living space. It also comes equipped with a large open living room, kitchen with breakfast bar, separate dining room, and indoor laundry room. Appliances include refrigerator, gas range, dishwasher, washer and dryer. In 2022, there were many noteworthy upgrades, including all plumbing, HVAC system, evaporative cooler, water heater, carpet and laminate flooring, and two bedroom windows. And it’s one of the few units in the park with a yard. You won’t find a nicer home at this price point; this is affordable living at its very best!! Monthly space rent includes water, sewer, and trash collection. SELLER IS HIGHLY MOTIVATED, SUBMIT YOUR OFFER TODAY!!
Key facts
- Separate dining room
- Indoor laundry room
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 41.5% vs local median 4.6% in Blythe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#143 in CA, #4,910 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Palo Verde Unified (town): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #1,133 of 1,400 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 41.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 125.66%
- DSCR
- 6.59
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $37,192
- List price
- $40,000
- Delta
- 7.55%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3589 Wells Rd #74 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,227 (-9%) | 10mo | $20,500 | $17 | 72 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.09×
- Total profit
- $68,238
- Equity at exit
- $5,964
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.90×
- Total profit
- $155,685
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92225
- Home prices YoY
- -15.8%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,817 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $429/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $1,173
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $40,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $40,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $40,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $40,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $40,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $40,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $40,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $40,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $40,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $42,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $42,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $42,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-04-16status Active 1012-char remark
Show marketing remark (1012 chars)
Welcome to the Mesa Bluffs Village, an established manufactured home community. The park is peacefully nestled above the beautiful Blythe valley and is only a stone’s throw away from the local municipal golf course, Palo Verde College, and the Colorado River. This charming home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,344 square feet of living space. It also comes equipped with a large open living room, kitchen with breakfast bar, separate dining room, and indoor laundry room. Appliances include refrigerator, gas range, dishwasher, washer and dryer. In 2022, there were many noteworthy upgrades, including all plumbing, HVAC system, evaporative cooler, water heater, carpet and laminate flooring, and two bedroom windows. And it’s one of the few units in the park with a yard. You won’t find a nicer home at this price point; this is affordable living at its very best!! Monthly space rent includes water, sewer, and trash collection. SELLER IS HIGHLY MOTIVATED, SUBMIT YOUR OFFER TODAY!!
-
2026-04-14historical Active Under Contract 1012-char remark
Show marketing remark (1012 chars)
Welcome to the Mesa Bluffs Village, an established manufactured home community. The park is peacefully nestled above the beautiful Blythe valley and is only a stone’s throw away from the local municipal golf course, Palo Verde College, and the Colorado River. This charming home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,344 square feet of living space. It also comes equipped with a large open living room, kitchen with breakfast bar, separate dining room, and indoor laundry room. Appliances include refrigerator, gas range, dishwasher, washer and dryer. In 2022, there were many noteworthy upgrades, including all plumbing, HVAC system, evaporative cooler, water heater, carpet and laminate flooring, and two bedroom windows. And it’s one of the few units in the park with a yard. You won’t find a nicer home at this price point; this is affordable living at its very best!! Monthly space rent includes water, sewer, and trash collection. SELLER IS HIGHLY MOTIVATED, SUBMIT YOUR OFFER TODAY!!
-
2026-03-25$42,500 Active 1012-char remark
Show marketing remark (1012 chars)
Welcome to the Mesa Bluffs Village, an established manufactured home community. The park is peacefully nestled above the beautiful Blythe valley and is only a stone’s throw away from the local municipal golf course, Palo Verde College, and the Colorado River. This charming home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,344 square feet of living space. It also comes equipped with a large open living room, kitchen with breakfast bar, separate dining room, and indoor laundry room. Appliances include refrigerator, gas range, dishwasher, washer and dryer. In 2022, there were many noteworthy upgrades, including all plumbing, HVAC system, evaporative cooler, water heater, carpet and laminate flooring, and two bedroom windows. And it’s one of the few units in the park with a yard. You won’t find a nicer home at this price point; this is affordable living at its very best!! Monthly space rent includes water, sewer, and trash collection. SELLER IS HIGHLY MOTIVATED, SUBMIT YOUR OFFER TODAY!!
-
2026-02-23historical
-
2026-01-19price $49,000
-
2025-11-19price $57,000
-
2025-11-10price $62,000
-
2025-09-11$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $429 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $429 · $36/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥116°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,798
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$429
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,744
- − Management
- −$1,744
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $14,277
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,427
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,648/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palo Verde Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629640
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,808
- Composite
- 25.77/100
- National rank
- #12796
- State rank
- #1133 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Blythe
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #4910
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blythe, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,101
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 26% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 54%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.53%
- Current HPI
- 215.4794
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-34.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-04-14 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $42,500 CRMLS
- 2026-02-23 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $49,000 CRMLS
- 2025-11-19 Price Changed $57,000 CRMLS
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $62,000 CRMLS
- 2025-09-11 Listed $65,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
-3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $429 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…