CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3589 Wells Rd #99
D Composite 40.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.1/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$40,000

3589 Wells Rd #99 · Blythe, CA 92225
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 86 Days on market
Built 1990 $30/sqft · 8% above area Est $37k · 8% over ↓ 35% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Mesa Bluffs Village, an established manufactured home community. The park is peacefully nestled above the beautiful Blythe valley and is only a stone’s throw away from the local municipal golf course, Palo Verde College, and the Colorado River. This charming home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,344 square feet of living space. It also comes equipped with a large open living room, kitchen with breakfast bar, separate dining room, and indoor laundry room. Appliances include refrigerator, gas range, dishwasher, washer and dryer. In 2022, there were many noteworthy upgrades, including all plumbing, HVAC system, evaporative cooler, water heater, carpet and laminate flooring, and two bedroom windows. And it’s one of the few units in the park with a yard. You won’t find a nicer home at this price point; this is affordable living at its very best!! Monthly space rent includes water, sewer, and trash collection. SELLER IS HIGHLY MOTIVATED, SUBMIT YOUR OFFER TODAY!!

Key facts

  • Separate dining room
  • Indoor laundry room
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOME COMMUNITYLOCAL MUNICIPAL GOLF COURSELARGE OPEN LIVING ROOMKITCHEN WITH BREAKFAST BARSEPARATE DINING ROOMINDOOR LAUNDRY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 41.5% vs local median 4.6% in Blythe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#143 in CA, #4,910 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Palo Verde Unified (town): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #1,133 of 1,400 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $37,600 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.54%
Cap rate
41.48%
Cash-on-cash
125.66%
DSCR
6.59
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$37,192
List price
$40,000
Delta
7.55%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3589 Wells Rd #74 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,227 (-9%) 10mo $20,500 $17 72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.09×
Total profit
$68,238
Equity at exit
$5,964
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.90×
Total profit
$155,685
Equity at exit
$3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92225

Home prices YoY
-15.8%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,817 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $429/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$381
Net cashflow
$1,173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $332
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 30%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $40,000 Active 86 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $40,000 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $40,000 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $40,000 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $40,000 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $40,000 Active 80 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $40,000 Active 79 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $40,000 Active 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $40,000 Active 75 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $40,000 Active 74 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $40,000 Active 73 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $40,000 Active 70 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $40,000 Active 69 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    price $40,000 Active 68 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $42,500 Active 68 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $42,500 Active 67 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $42,500 Active 66 DOM
  18. 2026-04-16
    status Active 1012-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1012 chars)

    Welcome to the Mesa Bluffs Village, an established manufactured home community. The park is peacefully nestled above the beautiful Blythe valley and is only a stone’s throw away from the local municipal golf course, Palo Verde College, and the Colorado River. This charming home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,344 square feet of living space. It also comes equipped with a large open living room, kitchen with breakfast bar, separate dining room, and indoor laundry room. Appliances include refrigerator, gas range, dishwasher, washer and dryer. In 2022, there were many noteworthy upgrades, including all plumbing, HVAC system, evaporative cooler, water heater, carpet and laminate flooring, and two bedroom windows. And it’s one of the few units in the park with a yard. You won’t find a nicer home at this price point; this is affordable living at its very best!! Monthly space rent includes water, sewer, and trash collection. SELLER IS HIGHLY MOTIVATED, SUBMIT YOUR OFFER TODAY!!

  19. 2026-04-14
    historical Active Under Contract 1012-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1012 chars)

    Welcome to the Mesa Bluffs Village, an established manufactured home community. The park is peacefully nestled above the beautiful Blythe valley and is only a stone’s throw away from the local municipal golf course, Palo Verde College, and the Colorado River. This charming home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,344 square feet of living space. It also comes equipped with a large open living room, kitchen with breakfast bar, separate dining room, and indoor laundry room. Appliances include refrigerator, gas range, dishwasher, washer and dryer. In 2022, there were many noteworthy upgrades, including all plumbing, HVAC system, evaporative cooler, water heater, carpet and laminate flooring, and two bedroom windows. And it’s one of the few units in the park with a yard. You won’t find a nicer home at this price point; this is affordable living at its very best!! Monthly space rent includes water, sewer, and trash collection. SELLER IS HIGHLY MOTIVATED, SUBMIT YOUR OFFER TODAY!!

  20. 2026-03-25
    listed $42,500 Active 1012-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1012 chars)

    Welcome to the Mesa Bluffs Village, an established manufactured home community. The park is peacefully nestled above the beautiful Blythe valley and is only a stone’s throw away from the local municipal golf course, Palo Verde College, and the Colorado River. This charming home features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,344 square feet of living space. It also comes equipped with a large open living room, kitchen with breakfast bar, separate dining room, and indoor laundry room. Appliances include refrigerator, gas range, dishwasher, washer and dryer. In 2022, there were many noteworthy upgrades, including all plumbing, HVAC system, evaporative cooler, water heater, carpet and laminate flooring, and two bedroom windows. And it’s one of the few units in the park with a yard. You won’t find a nicer home at this price point; this is affordable living at its very best!! Monthly space rent includes water, sewer, and trash collection. SELLER IS HIGHLY MOTIVATED, SUBMIT YOUR OFFER TODAY!!

  21. 2026-02-23
    historical
  22. 2026-01-19
    price $49,000
  23. 2025-11-19
    price $57,000
  24. 2025-11-10
    price $62,000
  25. 2025-09-11
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$429 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$429 · $36/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥116°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,798
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$429
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,744
− Management
−$1,744
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$14,277
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,427
After-tax cash flow
$10,648/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palo Verde Unified
NCES district ID
0629640
Math proficiency
20% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$40,808
Composite
25.77/100
National rank
#12796
State rank
#1133 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Blythe

Score
74/100
State rank
#143
US rank
#4910

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Blythe, CA
Population (ZIP)
21,101

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 59% White 26% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 54%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
55% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.53%
Current HPI
215.4794
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-34.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $42,500 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Price Changed $49,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-11-19 Price Changed $57,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $62,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-09-11 Listed $65,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

-3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $429 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…