1800 Schiro St · Rockford, IL 61102

$30,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · SingleFamily

Built 1950 1.14 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

* * SBR * * Sold * AS IS * to settle estate.

Key facts

• 1.14 acre lot
• Garage
• Built 1950

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $848 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
• Cap rate 40.2% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Julia Lathrop Elem School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,927 of 2,056 statewide, top 100%, 295 students, 0% FRL); Rockford Envrnmntl Science Acad (math 0% / reading 7%, grade F, #652 of 665 statewide, top 98%, 1,051 students, 0% FRL); Jefferson High School (math 3% / reading 9%, grade F, #608 of 693 statewide, top 88%, 2,114 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $30,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 4.48% ✓
• Cap rate: 40.22%
• Cash-on-cash: 121.17%
• DSCR: 6.39
• GRM: 1.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $119,280
• Comps found: 7

Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1011 Foster Ct	0.66mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,595 (-5%)	8mo	$120,000	$75	49
2231 Clover Ave	0.46mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,781 (+6%)	20mo	$97,000	$54	45
1027 Knowlton St	0.65mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,762 (+5%)	14mo	$125,000	$71	43
2244 Rose Ave	0.57mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,834 (+9%)	13mo	$120,000	$65	40
2301 Maxine Ln	0.57mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,552 (-8%)	22mo	$234,900	$151	33
1835 Hulin St	0.50mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,485 (-12%)	24mo	$91,000	$61	30
2132 Maxine Ln	0.53mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,900 (+13%)	18mo	$252,000	$133	28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 6.86×
• Total profit: $49,187
• Equity at exit: $4,473

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 14.39×
• Total profit: $112,495
• Equity at exit: $2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 61102

• Home prices YoY: -33.1%
• Active inventory: 69
• Price-to-rent: 1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,345 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$157
• Tax from tax record: −$45 /mo · $538/yr
• Insurance: −$12
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$283
• Net cashflow: $848

Break-even live

Break-even rent $272

Max offer price $30,000

Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $865	-5% $857	+0% $848	+5% $840	+10% $831
Rent	-10% $742	-5% $795	+0% $848	+5% $901	+10% $955
Rate	-1.0pp $863	-0.5pp $856	base $848	+0.5pp $840	+1.0pp $833

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $7,500
• Closing costs: $900
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1248 Ferguson St #2 Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0	1200	$1,200	$1.00	13d	1	0.91mi
1221 S Court St Rockford, IL	2.0	1.0	1170	$1,350	$1.15	44d	1	1.11mi
1229 S Church St Unit 2 Rockford, IL	3.0	1.0	1096	$1,300	$1.19	44d	1	1.16mi
2315 Green St Rockford, IL	3.0	1.0	1290	$1,600	$1.24	44d	1	1.44mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2025-08-20
   listed $30,000
2. 2025-08-20
   historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $538 · $45/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $609 · $51/mo
• Expected delta: +$72/yr (+$6/mo · 13.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,145
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,680
• − Property taxes: −$538
• − Insurance: −$150
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,292
• − Management: −$1,292
• − Depreciation: −$873
• Taxable income: $10,320
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,477
• After-tax cash flow: $7,702/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Rockford SD 205
• NCES district ID: 1734510
• Math proficiency: 12% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 16% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $42,533
• Composite: 12.21/100
• National rank: #9649
• State rank: #533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #876
• US rank: #17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 147,297
• Population (ZIP): 16,620

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 271,080 people
• By 2030: 260,684 · -3.8%
• By 2040: 238,405 · -12.1%
• By 2050: 216,129 · -20.3%
• By 2075: 172,882 · -36.2%
• By 2100: 135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 36% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 15%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 23%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada
• Languages at home: 81% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -93.81%
• Current HPI: 189.9634
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2025-08-20 Delisted — NWIAR
• 2025-08-20 Listed $30,000 NWIAR

Property tax history

-3.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $538 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.