🏗️ New Construction
Carter Plan · Duson, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +4.4/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.4/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$226,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to The Carter Plan in Station Heights in Duson, Louisiana. The Carter is a thoughtfully designed single-story home that blends comfort, functionality, and modern living. This versatile floor plan features four bedrooms and two bathrooms, making it ideal for families of all sizes or homeowners who need extra space for guests or a home office. At the heart of the home, the open concept living area, dining room, and kitchen create a welcoming environment perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen offers generous counter space, a central island, and a convenient pantry, all flowing seamlessly into the main living areas. The private primary suite is tucked away for added privacy and includes a spacious bedroom, a walk-in closet, and an en-suite bath. Three additional bedrooms are well-sized and share a centrally located second bathroom. A dedicated utility room adds everyday convenience, while the attached two-car garage provides ample storage and parking. The exteriors are curated with stylish brick elevations, fully sodded yards, covered patios, ideal for relaxing or hosting gatherings, and a charming front porch that adds curb appeal. The Carter Plan offers a practical, yet charming home designed for modern lifestyles. Integrated into your home, so you never feel too far away, is our Smart Home Technology Package. Find security and control from your fingertips through your smartphone.
Key facts
- Central island
- Covered patios
- Charming front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $226k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-625 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (35.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (43.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $128k (43.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.1% vs local median 5.0% in Duson — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#134 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: J. Wallace James Elementary School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade D, #147 of 646 statewide, top 23%, 939 students, 64% FRL); Judice Middle School (math 26% / reading 36%, grade F, #110 of 218 statewide, top 51%, 463 students, 61% FRL); Acadiana High School (math 31% / reading 29%, grade F, #125 of 265 statewide, top 47%, 1,813 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 243 active listings in the ZIP; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 212 days — a 12% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 212 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.54% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.30%
- DSCR
- 0.50
- GRM
- 15.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $237,019
- List price
- $226,500
- Delta
- -4.44%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 Eagle Heights Dr | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 1,598 (0%) | 0mo | $226,500 | $142 | 97 |
| 106 Eagle Heights Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,616 (+1%) | 3mo | $228,500 | $141 | 84 |
| 204 Eagle Heights Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,616 (+1%) | 1mo | $228,500 | $141 | 83 |
| 110 Eagle Heights Dr | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,706 (+7%) | 2mo | $238,500 | $140 | 80 |
| 102 Eagle Heights Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,447 (-9%) | 0mo | $218,500 | $151 | 72 |
| 205 Eagle Heights Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,447 (-9%) | 0mo | $210,964 | $146 | 70 |
| 200 Eagle Heights Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,447 (-9%) | 1mo | $218,500 | $151 | 70 |
| 104 Eagle Heights Dr | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 | 1,836 (+15%) | 1mo | $243,500 | $133 | 68 |
| 202 Eagle Heights Dr | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 1,836 (+15%) | 0mo | $243,500 | $133 | 66 |
| 112 Eagle Heights Dr | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 1,836 (+15%) | 2mo | $247,500 | $135 | 66 |
| 237 Oak Heights Dr | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 1,836 (+15%) | 3mo | $237,500 | $129 | 57 |
| 240 Oak Heights Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,836 (+15%) | 3mo | $237,500 | $129 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -36.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.18×
- Total profit
- $-78,186
- Equity at exit
- $35,340
- IRR
- -52.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.80×
- Total profit
- $-119,252
- Equity at exit
- $20,493
Cash invested: $66,365 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 15 active · 9 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $231,000 ($141/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 114 d
- This list price
- 27% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +4.9% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 70529
- Home prices YoY
- -11.1%
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 14.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,282 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,243
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$296 /mo · $3,555/yr
- Insurance
- −$99
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $-625
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-461 | -5% $-543 | +0% $-625 | +5% $-707 | +10% $-789 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-726 | -5% $-676 | +0% $-625 | +5% $-574 | +10% $-524 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-506 | -0.5pp $-565 | base $-625 | +0.5pp $-686 | +1.0pp $-749 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,255
- Closing costs
- $7,111
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $226,500 Active 212 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $226,500 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $226,500 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $226,500 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $226,500 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $226,500 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $226,500 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $226,500 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $226,500 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $226,500 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $226,500 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $226,500 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $226,500 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $226,500 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $226,500 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $226,500 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $226,500 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $226,500 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $226,500 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $226,500 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $226,500 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $226,500 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $226,500 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $226,500 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $226,500 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $226,500 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $226,500 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $226,500 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $226,500 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $226,500 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $226,500 Active 173 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $226,500 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $226,500 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $226,500 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $226,500 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $226,500 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $226,500 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $226,500 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $226,500 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $226,500 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $226,500 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $226,500 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $226,500 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $226,500 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $226,500 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $226,500 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $226,500 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $226,500 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $226,500 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $226,500 Active 146 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,389
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,277
- − Property taxes
- −$3,555
- − Insurance
- −$1,185
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,231
- − Management
- −$1,231
- − Depreciation
- −$6,895
- Taxable loss
- −$11,985
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,877
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,622/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos
The Carter Plan in Station Heights is a well-maintained single-story home with a good condition score. It offers a good return on investment with minor updates that can significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both New paint in interior — Enhances aesthetics and value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Duson
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #134
- US rank
- #12322
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lafayette · 280,930 people
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,557
- Household income
- $52,784
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4% of renters
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 16% English 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.96%
- Current HPI
- 192.2639
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-09 Listed $226,500 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…