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2200 N Delaware Dr #48 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 66.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

2200 N Delaware Dr #48 · Apache Junction, AZ 85120
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Manufactured · 108 Days on market
Built 2000 4,654 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This spacious home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a split floor plan, master walk in closet, separate bath and shower in the master bathroom with double sinks. This home is located in Boardwalk Estates a Family Friendly community that offers a swimming pool, covered playground, and is a pet friendly.

Key facts

  • Park with pool
  • Large fenced yard
  • Eat in kitchen

Tags

PARK WITH POOLPLAYGROUNDLARGE FENCED YARDNEW INTERIOR FLOORINGEAT IN KITCHENUPDATED EN-SUITE BATHROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size listed from assessor; Lot size source: Assessor; Directions: East to Delaware, South to 2200, West into community, home is on the right, across from pool
  • Financial info: Current financing: Other
  • HOA & community: Land lease community; Land lease fee $650 per month; Association maintains grounds; Community pool; Community playground

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 covered parking space; 1 carport space
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured / mobile home; Leasehold ownership
  • Construction: Steel frame construction; Painted exterior; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Corner lot; Gravel/stone front and back

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Double vanity in bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; Full bath in primary bedroom; Separate shower and tub

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $100,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$282,880) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $789 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Four Peaks Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #898 of 1,109 statewide, top 83%, 498 students, 73% FRL); Cactus Canyon Junior High (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 50% FRL); Apache Junction High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 999 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 455 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $91,000 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.87%
Cap rate
15.76%
Cash-on-cash
33.82%
DSCR
2.50
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$282,880
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2200 N Delaware Dr #62 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-14%) 2mo $75,000 $68 75
2685 W Foothill St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,378 (+8%) 0mo $305,000 $221 74
2292 N Ironwood Dr #128 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-4%) 3mo $84,000 $68 72
2292 N Ironwood Dr #08 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-6%) 5mo $79,000 $66 67
2200 N Delaware Dr #12 0.00mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (+14%) 7mo $149,900 $103 66
2378 N Desert View Dr 0.12mi 3/1.5 1,456 (+14%) 6mo $430,000 $295 64
2292 N Ironwood Dr #127 0.52mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,232 (-4%) 3mo $70,300 $57 62
2975 W Manzanita St 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-2%) 0mo $325,000 $260 61
2292 N Ironwood Dr #129 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+5%) 9mo $83,000 $62 60
1479 N Delaware Dr 0.55mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-2%) 8mo $311,000 $249 59
2158 N Gold Dr 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-2%) 9mo $286,000 $229 52
1975 W Smoketree St 0.48mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,121 (-12%) 6mo $315,000 $281 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$28,593
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
31.5%
Equity multiple
3.45×
Total profit
$68,509
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85120

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Rents YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
455
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,874 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$393
Net cashflow
$789

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2292 N Ironwood Dr Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 2.0 1152 $1,475 $1.28 24d 1 0.43mi
1877 W Overland St Apache Junction, AZ 3.0 2.0 1420 $1,999 $1.41 17d 1 0.85mi
2185 W Ohio St Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 4d 1 1.09mi
455 N Delaware Dr Unit 7 Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 2.0 1060 $1,900 $1.79 24d 1 1.12mi
651 N Ironwood Dr Apache Junction, AZ 3.0 2.5 1748 $2,408 $1.38 5d 13 1.21mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 108 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 107 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 106 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 105 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 99 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 94 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 93 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 92 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-05-21
    price $100,000
  15. 2026-04-30
    price $105,000
  16. 2026-04-01
    price $107,500
  17. 2026-03-11
    price $115,000
  18. 2026-03-02
    listed $125,000 Active
  19. 2022-09-13
    soldstatus $93,000 Closed 311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (311 chars)

    This spacious home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a split floor plan, master walk in closet, separate bath and shower in the master bathroom with double sinks. This home is located in Boardwalk Estates a Family Friendly community that offers a swimming pool, covered playground, and is a pet friendly.

  20. 2022-08-11
    status Pending 311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (311 chars)

    This spacious home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a split floor plan, master walk in closet, separate bath and shower in the master bathroom with double sinks. This home is located in Boardwalk Estates a Family Friendly community that offers a swimming pool, covered playground, and is a pet friendly.

  21. 2022-07-29
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (311 chars)

    This spacious home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a split floor plan, master walk in closet, separate bath and shower in the master bathroom with double sinks. This home is located in Boardwalk Estates a Family Friendly community that offers a swimming pool, covered playground, and is a pet friendly.

  22. 2022-07-23
    price $96,000 311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (311 chars)

    This spacious home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a split floor plan, master walk in closet, separate bath and shower in the master bathroom with double sinks. This home is located in Boardwalk Estates a Family Friendly community that offers a swimming pool, covered playground, and is a pet friendly.

  23. 2022-06-23
    listed $89,900 Active 311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (311 chars)

    This spacious home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a split floor plan, master walk in closet, separate bath and shower in the master bathroom with double sinks. This home is located in Boardwalk Estates a Family Friendly community that offers a swimming pool, covered playground, and is a pet friendly.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,484
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,799
− Management
−$1,799
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$8,376
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,010
After-tax cash flow
$7,459/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
NCES district ID
0400790
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$44,930
Composite
15.34/100
National rank
#9325
State rank
#195 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Apache Junction

Score
66/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#11242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Apache Junction, AZ
County
Pinal County · 399,947 people
City population
56,611
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
31,191
Household income
$57,786
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
686.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
437,574 people
By 2030
446,903 · +2.1%
By 2040
452,589 · +3.4%
By 2050
444,126 · +1.5%
By 2075
430,300 · -1.7%
By 2100
393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.31%
Current HPI
313.4666
Rent YoY
▼ -3.50%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $100,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $105,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $107,500 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $115,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $125,000 ARMLS
  • 2022-09-13 Sold (MLS) $93,000 ARMLS
  • 2022-08-11 Pending ARMLS
  • 2022-07-29 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2022-07-23 Price Changed $96,000 ARMLS
  • 2022-06-23 Listed $89,900 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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