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35 Reno Dr
B- Composite 67.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$93,995

35 Reno Dr · Lexington-Fayette, KY 40324
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,493 sqft · Manufactured · 28 Days on market
Built 2026 $500/mo HOA · 27% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Just Listed! 2026 Champion Prime Apex - 3 Bed, 2 Bath This beautiful Champion Prime Apex model offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a spacious, open-concept floor plan. A brand-new 2026 home, it's priced at just $92,995, making it a fantastic opportunity for comfortable, modern living. Home Highlights 3 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms - roomy layout for family or guests floor plan - open kitchen, dining, and living areas 2026 model - brand new and move-in ready Quality finishes and durable construction. Financing assistance available, less than 10% down payment!

Key facts

  • Built 2026
  • Listed 28 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: List price $93,995
  • HOA & community: Association fee of $500

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family property
  • Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,493

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Interior features: Spec new construction (Apex - Sawyier plan); Active listing

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $94k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
  • Recommended offer: $93k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.8% in Lexington-Fayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Scott County (town): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #31 of 165 in KY (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 546 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $650 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Scott County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Recommended offer $92,585 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
10.14%
Cash-on-cash
13.74%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$4,297
Equity at exit
$14,015
10-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$29,817
Equity at exit
$8,127

Cash invested: $26,319 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40324

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
441
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,837 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$493
Tax est. 1.5%
$117 /mo · $1,410/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$500
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$386
Net cashflow
$301

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,455
Max offer price $93,995
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $366 -5% $334 +0% $301 +5% $269 +10% $236
Rent -10% $156 -5% $229 +0% $301 +5% $374 +10% $446
Rate -1.0pp $349 -0.5pp $325 base $301 +0.5pp $277 +1.0pp $252

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,499
Closing costs
$2,820
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$500 · $6,000/yr

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $93,995 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $93,995 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $93,995 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $93,995 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $93,995 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $93,995 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $93,995 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $93,995 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $93,995 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $93,995 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $93,995 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $93,995 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $93,995 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $93,995 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $93,995 Active 9 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,039
− Mortgage interest
−$5,265
− Property taxes
−$1,410
− Insurance
−$470
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,763
− Management
−$1,763
− HOA
−$6,000
− Depreciation
−$2,734
Taxable income
$2,634
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$632
After-tax cash flow
$2,984/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scott County
NCES district ID
2105260
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$61,324
Composite
33.87/100
National rank
#5348
State rank
#31 of 165 in KY

Livability — Lexington-Fayette

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Scott County · 53,406 people
City population
321,882
Metro
Lexington-Fayette, KY
Population (ZIP)
53,406
Household income
$85,110
Rent vs Own
30.6% rent · 69.4% own
Severe rent burden
993.0

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,814 people
By 2030
69,637 · +9.1%
By 2040
81,315 · +27.4%
By 2050
92,677 · +45.2%
By 2075
118,956 · +86.4%
By 2100
136,792 · +114.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.7) · D 35.3% · R 63.0% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -27.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.7 2020: R+24.9 2016: R+30.4 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+20.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.49%
Current HPI
187.89
Rent YoY
▲ 3.00%
Metro
Lexington-Fayette, KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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