35 Reno Dr · Lexington-Fayette, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$93,995
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Just Listed! 2026 Champion Prime Apex - 3 Bed, 2 Bath This beautiful Champion Prime Apex model offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a spacious, open-concept floor plan. A brand-new 2026 home, it's priced at just $92,995, making it a fantastic opportunity for comfortable, modern living. Home Highlights 3 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms - roomy layout for family or guests floor plan - open kitchen, dining, and living areas 2026 model - brand new and move-in ready Quality finishes and durable construction. Financing assistance available, less than 10% down payment!
Key facts
- Built 2026
- Listed 28 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: List price $93,995
- HOA & community: Association fee of $500
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family property
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,493
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Interior features: Spec new construction (Apex - Sawyier plan); Active listing
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.8% in Lexington-Fayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Scott County (town): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #31 of 165 in KY (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 546 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $650 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scott County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.74%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $4,297
- Equity at exit
- $14,015
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $29,817
- Equity at exit
- $8,127
Cash invested: $26,319 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40324
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 441
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,837 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$493
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$117 /mo · $1,410/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$500
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $301
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $366 | -5% $334 | +0% $301 | +5% $269 | +10% $236 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $156 | -5% $229 | +0% $301 | +5% $374 | +10% $446 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $349 | -0.5pp $325 | base $301 | +0.5pp $277 | +1.0pp $252 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,499
- Closing costs
- $2,820
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $500 · $6,000/yr
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $93,995 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $93,995 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $93,995 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $93,995 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $93,995 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $93,995 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $93,995 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $93,995 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $93,995 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $93,995 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $93,995 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $93,995 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $93,995 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $93,995 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $93,995 Active 9 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,039
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,265
- − Property taxes
- −$1,410
- − Insurance
- −$470
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,763
- − Management
- −$1,763
- − HOA
- −$6,000
- − Depreciation
- −$2,734
- Taxable income
- $2,634
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$632
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,984/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scott County
- NCES district ID
- 2105260
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,324
- Composite
- 33.87/100
- National rank
- #5348
- State rank
- #31 of 165 in KY
Livability — Lexington-Fayette
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Scott County · 53,406 people
- City population
- 321,882
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,406
- Household income
- $85,110
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 993.0
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,814 people
- By 2030
- 69,637 · +9.1%
- By 2040
- 81,315 · +27.4%
- By 2050
- 92,677 · +45.2%
- By 2075
- 118,956 · +86.4%
- By 2100
- 136,792 · +114.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.7) · D 35.3% · R 63.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.7 2020: R+24.9 2016: R+30.4 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+20.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.49%
- Current HPI
- 187.89
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.00%
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…