361 W 2nd St · Mission, SD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,342 – $2,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
$114,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Durable metal roof
- Spacious backyard
- Newer addition
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $114k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (1.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $112k (1.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#237 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Todd County School District 66-1 (rural): math 4% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #144 of 148 in SD (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($788 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Todd County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.41%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $26,242
- Equity at exit
- $51,259
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $75,781
- Equity at exit
- $78,997
Cash invested: $31,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Dakota
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 57555
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,120 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$598
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $505/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $197
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,500
- Closing costs
- $3,420
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-17statusdays on market $114,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-03-03price $114,000
-
2026-03-02$144,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $505 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,493 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- +$988/yr (+$82/mo · 195.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,436
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,386
- − Property taxes
- −$505
- − Insurance
- −$570
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,075
- − Management
- −$1,075
- − Depreciation
- −$3,316
- Taxable income
- $509
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$122
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,243/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Todd County School District 66-1
- NCES district ID
- 4672090
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,229
- Composite
- 8.43/100
- National rank
- #14736
- State rank
- #144 of 148 in SD
Livability — Mission
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #18118
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mission, SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,530
Population outlook (Todd County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,490 people
- By 2030
- 10,719 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 11,092 · +5.7%
- By 2050
- 11,438 · +9.0%
- By 2075
- 12,342 · +17.7%
- By 2100
- 14,035 · +33.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.98)
- Race & ethnicity
- Native American 76% White 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Todd
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+50.5) · D 73.8% · R 23.4% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 57.9pp · 2024: 50.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+50.5 2020: D+56.4 2016: D+47.9 2012: D+59.2 2008: D+57.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | 1 | $1B |
|
||
Price history
-20.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — CSDBR
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $114,000 CSDBR
- 2026-03-02 Listed $144,000 CSDBR
Property tax history
-4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $505 · +14.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…