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447 St. Rt. 603
B Composite 70.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$180,000

447 St. Rt. 603 · Shiloh, OH 44878
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,018 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1954 0.57 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Just starting out or downsizing? This may be the perfect place for you! This property features 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath and has been nicely updated. Newer paint, flooring, kitchen, roof and patio are just a few of its highlights. Outside is a 36x42 shed that is perfect for storage and plenty of space to garden on just over a half of an acre lot. Call today to schedule a showing! Contingent on seller closing on home of choice which is already in contract.

Key facts

  • 36x42 outbuilding
  • Radiant floor heat
  • Outdoor wood burner

Tags

RADIANT FLOOR HEATOUTDOOR WOOD BURNER36X42 OUTBUILDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.7% in Shiloh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#639 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Plymouth-Shiloh Local (rural): math 52% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #391 of 656 in OH (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 145 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
  • Richland County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $142k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $180,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.48%
Cash-on-cash
11.38%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.2%
Equity multiple
2.79×
Total profit
$90,115
Equity at exit
$121,421
10-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
5.75×
Total profit
$239,412
Equity at exit
$227,705

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44878

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,995 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $951/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$419
Net cashflow
$478

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,390
Max offer price $180,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $580 -5% $529 +0% $478 +5% $427 +10% $376
Rent -10% $320 -5% $399 +0% $478 +5% $557 +10% $635
Rate -1.0pp $568 -0.5pp $524 base $478 +0.5pp $431 +1.0pp $384

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
924 Lattimer Rd W Shiloh, OH 2.0 1.0 1321 $1,995 $1.51 44d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-04
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-28
    listed $180,000 Active
  3. 2024-11-07
    soldstatus $142,000
  4. 2024-11-05
    soldstatus $142,000 Closed 457-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Just starting out or downsizing? This may be the perfect place for you! This property features 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath and has been nicely updated. Newer paint, flooring, kitchen, roof and patio are just a few of its highlights. Outside is a 36x42 shed that is perfect for storage and plenty of space to garden on just over a half of an acre lot. Call today to schedule a showing! Contingent on seller closing on home of choice which is already in contract.

  5. 2024-09-18
    listed $164,900 Active 457-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Just starting out or downsizing? This may be the perfect place for you! This property features 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath and has been nicely updated. Newer paint, flooring, kitchen, roof and patio are just a few of its highlights. Outside is a 36x42 shed that is perfect for storage and plenty of space to garden on just over a half of an acre lot. Call today to schedule a showing! Contingent on seller closing on home of choice which is already in contract.

  6. 2018-08-14
    soldstatus $70,000
  7. 2013-04-12
    soldstatus $42,500
  8. 2011-06-06
    soldstatus $23,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$951 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,880 · $157/mo
Expected delta
+$928/yr (+$77/mo · 97.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,940
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$951
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,915
− Management
−$1,915
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable income
$2,939
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$705
After-tax cash flow
$5,029/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Plymouth-Shiloh Local
NCES district ID
3904946
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$48,546
Composite
45.54/100
National rank
#2603
State rank
#391 of 656 in OH

Livability — Shiloh

Score
66/100
State rank
#639
US rank
#11281

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Richland · 128,966 people
Metro
Mansfield, OH
Population (ZIP)
2,943
Household income
$79,620
Rent vs Own
24.1% rent · 75.9% own
Severe rent burden
3.8

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
115,577 people
By 2030
111,669 · -3.4%
By 2040
103,323 · -10.6%
By 2050
95,135 · -17.7%
By 2075
76,719 · -33.6%
By 2100
57,188 · -50.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Languages at home
77% English-only · German/W. Germanic 23%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.3) · D 28.4% · R 70.8%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -42.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.3 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.72%
Current HPI
217.7934
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+666.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-04 Pending ABOR
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $180,000 ABOR
  • 2024-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $142,000 Public Records
  • 2024-11-05 Sold (MLS) $142,000 ABOR
  • 2024-09-18 Listed $164,900 ABOR
  • 2018-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2013-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
  • 2011-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $23,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $951 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…