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8803 Corwin Dr
A- Composite 82.59
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$60,000

8803 Corwin Dr · Jennings, MO 63136
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1940 9,500 sqft lot Est $84k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention Investors!!! Well maintained rental property! A great addition to your portfolio or a prefect one to start with! Currently rents for $750 oer month.

Key facts

  • 9,500 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 17 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 1,080 (public records); Lot size approximately 0.2181 acres; No pool
  • Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage indicated

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Block construction
  • Exterior features: Sloped lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: Free-standing gas range; Refrigerator

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $509 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 12.2% in Jennings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#208 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A-, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jennings (suburban): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #315 of 324 in MO (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Fairview Primary (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 267 students, 100% FRL); Jennings High (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #497 of 521 statewide, top 96%, 691 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $4k; list at $60k implies a 1479% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $59,100 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.94%
Cap rate
16.48%
Cash-on-cash
36.38%
DSCR
2.62
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$84,240
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
24 Lamar Dr 0.08mi 2/1.0 1,022 (-5%) 4mo $99,900 $98 84
8819 May Ave 0.41mi 2/1.0 1,074 (-1%) 0mo $100,000 $93 80
8 Jendale Ct 0.14mi 2/2.0 1,127 (+4%) 4mo $125,000 $111 79
8870 Saint Cyr Dr 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,131 (+5%) 2mo $39,900 $35 71
2538 Oepts Ave 0.27mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,144 (+6%) 7mo $40,000 $35 65
2026 Mclaran Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 1,026 (-5%) 1mo $89,500 $87 61
8716 Lucas And Hunt Rd 0.28mi 2/1.0 923 (-14%) 7mo $72,000 $78 57
7117 W Florissant Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 992 (-8%) 1mo $77,000 $78 54
8930 Sides Ct 0.71mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,008 (-7%) 1mo $65,000 $64 48
2554 Main St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 920 (-15%) 2mo $15,000 $16 47
2035 Sun Valley Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,170 (+8%) 4mo $68,900 $59 42
2623 Avie Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 922 (-15%) 6mo $62,500 $68 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.8%
Equity multiple
3.65×
Total profit
$44,583
Equity at exit
$29,687
10-year hold
IRR
44.8%
Equity multiple
7.78×
Total profit
$113,957
Equity at exit
$47,980

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63136

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
376
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,164 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $851/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$509

Break-even live

Break-even rent $520
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $543 -5% $526 +0% $509 +5% $492 +10% $475
Rent -10% $417 -5% $463 +0% $509 +5% $555 +10% $601
Rate -1.0pp $540 -0.5pp $525 base $509 +0.5pp $494 +1.0pp $478

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7 Lamar Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 894 $1,200 $1.34 18d 1 0.05mi
3 Pohlman Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 704 $1,000 $1.42 17d 1 0.08mi
8720 Akins Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1012 $1,150 $1.14 24d 1 0.26mi
2415 Shirley Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 990 $1,450 $1.46 24d 1 0.34mi
8817 Shady Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1085 $1,075 $0.99 24d 1 0.34mi
2617 Hord Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $775 $0.97 5d 1 0.36mi
2427 Switzer Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,300 $1.29 44d 1 0.39mi
2527 Switzer Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 888 $1,135 $1.28 17d 1 0.41mi
8908 Scottdale Ave Jennings, MO 2.0 1.0 790 $1,000 $1.27 44d 1 0.49mi
2623 Avie Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 921 $1,350 $1.47 44d 1 0.57mi
8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,075 $1.43 44d 1 0.59mi
8344 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $895 $1.19 5d 1 0.60mi
2022 McLaran Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1181 $1,593 $1.35 15d 1 0.66mi
8527 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 976 $1,295 $1.33 44d 1 0.72mi
7205 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 832 $750 $0.90 44d 1 0.76mi
1942 Damato Ct Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 905 $1,100 $1.22 44d 1 0.77mi
2056 Coleridge Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 949 $1,195 $1.26 24d 1 0.77mi
8502 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1072 $1,175 $1.10 24d 1 0.78mi
7142 Lamont Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 18d 1 0.85mi
7441 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1068 $1,350 $1.26 13d 1 0.85mi
7516 Chandler Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 728 $1,000 $1.37 44d 1 0.86mi
7426 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,125 $1.02 18d 1 0.87mi
9547 Glen Owen Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 923 $985 $1.07 24d 1 0.89mi
5640 Sapphire Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 44d 1 0.92mi
9418 Pattonwood Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 982 $1,500 $1.53 24d 1 0.93mi
5615 Beldon Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 44d 1 0.94mi
5636 Statler Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 777 $1,200 $1.54 24d 1 0.95mi
2152 Nemnich Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.5 1030 $1,100 $1.07 44d 1 0.96mi
7120 Greenhaven Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1131 $1,050 $0.93 24d 1 0.99mi
5613 Statler Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 5d 1 1.01mi
5637 Jennings Station Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1116 $895 $0.80 44d 1 1.04mi
5955 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1032 $1,050 $1.02 4d 1 1.06mi
7315 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 888 $1,150 $1.30 44d 1 1.07mi
7218 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $980 $0.89 24d 1 1.09mi
9709 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 44d 1 1.09mi
7304 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 44d 1 1.09mi
5932 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,373 $1.27 21d 1 1.10mi
7414 Pleaseway Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 768 $1,100 $1.43 44d 1 1.11mi
7420 Pleaseway Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 952 $1,250 $1.31 22d 1 1.11mi
2008 Kappel Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 858 $1,175 $1.37 24d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $60,000 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 223-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $60,000 Active 4 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$851 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$851 · $71/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,974
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$851
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,118
− Management
−$1,118
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$5,480
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,315
After-tax cash flow
$4,797/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jennings
NCES district ID
2916290
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$30,595
Composite
11.04/100
National rank
#9739
State rank
#315 of 324 in MO

Livability — Jennings

Score
67/100
State rank
#208
US rank
#10499

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jennings, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,929
Household income
$41,154
Rent vs Own
53.1% rent · 46.9% own
Severe rent burden
3085.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.79%
Current HPI
420.28
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+531.6% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $60,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-27 Listed $70,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-01 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-31 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-22 Listed $50,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $3,800 Public Records
  • 2018-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $11,500 Public Records
  • 2000-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
  • 1989-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,500 Public Records
  • 1989-07-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2022): $851 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…