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13743 Windwood Dr
C- Composite 51.66
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$216,000

13743 Windwood Dr · Lyman, MS 39503
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,458 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 2015 7,405 sqft lot Est $233k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investors special!! This home is currently tenant occupied until 3-31-22. The tenants pay $1,400 a month. This gorgeous home has it all including large kitchen with stainless steel appliances, big living room, high ceilings, spacious master bedroom, walk-in shower, and a soaking tub! The large fenced back yard has a covered patio that is perfect for entertaining!

Key facts

  • Gulfport location
  • Covered patio
  • 7,405 sq ft lot

Tags

PRIVACY FENCED BACKYARDCOVERED PATIOSIDEWALK NEIGHBORHOODGULFPORT LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $216k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $162 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (13.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $186k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.4% in Lyman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#47 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Lyman Elementary School (math 62% / reading 50%, grade C+, #39 of 375 statewide, top 10%, 490 students, 99% FRL); West Harrison Middle School (653 students, 100% FRL); Harrison Central High School (math 38% / reading 38%, grade F, #58 of 197 statewide, top 29%, 1,486 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 62% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 763 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $140k; list at $216k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $186,483 (13.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
7.19%
Cash-on-cash
3.21%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$233,280
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13743 Windwood Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,348 (-8%) 1mo $216,000 $160 83
17259 Meadowbrook Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,490 (+2%) 9mo $219,000 $147 77
13709 Windwood Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,604 (+10%) 2mo $249,900 $156 74
13033 Oakberry Ln 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,476 (+1%) 13mo $239,000 $162 71
13045 Oakberry Ln 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,565 (+7%) 5mo $230,000 $147 68
13125 Tyler Cir 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,393 (-4%) 8mo $225,000 $162 68
13005 Oakberry Ln 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,428 (-2%) 14mo $235,000 $165 67
13109 Tyler Cir 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,374 (-6%) 6mo $220,000 $160 67
17288 Meadowbrook Ln 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,616 (+11%) 15mo $239,900 $148 58
13245 Meadowland Ct 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,622 (+11%) 12mo $239,000 $147 54
17476 Inman Knoll Dr 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,387 (-5%) 2mo $259,900 $187 51
14160 John Clark Rd 0.74mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,547 (+6%) 8mo $200,000 $129 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.3%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-16,983
Equity at exit
$32,206
10-year hold
IRR
6.3%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$32,848
Equity at exit
$18,676

Cash invested: $60,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39503

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
763
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,865 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,133
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,062/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$162

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,660
Max offer price $216,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,000
Closing costs
$6,480
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17986 Restoration Cir Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.5 1730 $2,100 $1.21 14d 1 0.89mi
18137 Canal Junction Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1413 $1,750 $1.24 44d 1 1.02mi
11604 Caroline Ct Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1660 $1,850 $1.11 44d 1 1.22mi
12237 Vada Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,349 $1.00 14d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-04-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-21
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-18
    status Pending
  4. 2026-04-14
    listed $216,000 Active
  5. 2021-12-27
    soldstatus
  6. 2021-12-22
    soldstatus Closed 365-char remark
    Show marketing remark (365 chars)

    Investors special!! This home is currently tenant occupied until 3-31-22. The tenants pay $1,400 a month. This gorgeous home has it all including large kitchen with stainless steel appliances, big living room, high ceilings, spacious master bedroom, walk-in shower, and a soaking tub! The large fenced back yard has a covered patio that is perfect for entertaining!

  7. 2021-11-10
    status Pending 365-char remark
    Show marketing remark (365 chars)

    Investors special!! This home is currently tenant occupied until 3-31-22. The tenants pay $1,400 a month. This gorgeous home has it all including large kitchen with stainless steel appliances, big living room, high ceilings, spacious master bedroom, walk-in shower, and a soaking tub! The large fenced back yard has a covered patio that is perfect for entertaining!

  8. 2021-10-08
    listed $170,000 Active 365-char remark
    Show marketing remark (365 chars)

    Investors special!! This home is currently tenant occupied until 3-31-22. The tenants pay $1,400 a month. This gorgeous home has it all including large kitchen with stainless steel appliances, big living room, high ceilings, spacious master bedroom, walk-in shower, and a soaking tub! The large fenced back yard has a covered patio that is perfect for entertaining!

  9. 2021-10-01
    historical
  10. 2019-01-14
    listed $142,500
  11. 2017-12-07
    historical
  12. 2017-09-22
    listed $139,900
  13. 2016-06-27
    soldstatus $139,900
  14. 2016-06-24
    soldstatus
  15. 2015-08-14
    listed $139,900
  16. 2013-03-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,062 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,706 · $142/mo
Expected delta
+$644/yr (+$54/mo · 60.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,378
− Mortgage interest
−$12,099
− Property taxes
−$1,062
− Insurance
−$1,080
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,790
− Management
−$1,790
− Depreciation
−$6,284
Taxable loss
−$1,728
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$415
After-tax cash flow
$2,358/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison County School District
NCES district ID
2801770
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,504
Composite
41.66/100
National rank
#3419
State rank
#14 of 130 in MS

Livability — Lyman

Score
69/100
State rank
#47
US rank
#8189

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harrison County · 178,171 people
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
55,059
Household income
$62,641
Rent vs Own
29.3% rent · 70.7% own
Severe rent burden
1686.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,444 people
By 2030
241,942 · +5.9%
By 2040
267,531 · +17.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +27.4%
By 2075
346,711 · +51.8%
By 2100
378,165 · +65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.39%
Current HPI
187.285
Rent YoY
▲ 6.99%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+54.4% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-04-21 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-04-18 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $216,000 MLSU
  • 2021-12-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-12-22 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2021-11-10 Pending MLSU
  • 2021-10-08 Listed $170,000 MLSU
  • 2021-10-01 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2019-01-14 Listed $142,500 MLSU
  • 2017-12-07 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2017-09-22 Listed $139,900 MLSU
  • 2016-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $139,900 Public Records
  • 2016-06-24 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2015-08-14 Listed $139,900 MLSU
  • 2013-03-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,062 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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