5106 Lake Catalina Dr Unit A · Boca Raton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$425,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fabulous DeLeon model, wrap around terrace
Key facts
- Split-bedroom layout
- Panoramic views
- Large walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed (restrictions and limits may apply)
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $550; HOA includes cable TV, grounds maintenance, and trash; Community amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, golf course, pool, tennis courts, pickleball courts, and a cafe/restaurant
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage (covered)
- Security: Gated community with guard
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three phase electric; Cable available
- Home design: Condominium; 2 stories; Faces west; Resale condition
- Construction: CBS construction
- Exterior features: Waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $425k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $425k).
- Recommended offer: $400k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Calusa Elementary School (math 83% / reading 85%, grade A+, #55 of 2,144 statewide, top 3%, 867 students, 17% FRL); Omni Middle School (math 66% / reading 66%, grade A-, #93 of 571 statewide, top 16%, 1,128 students, 29% FRL); Spanish River Community High School (math 64% / reading 74%, grade B, #63 of 667 statewide, top 10%, 2,578 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools average 24% FRL vs 52% district-wide (28 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 73% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+24 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Palm Beach average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 324 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $45k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $119k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$73k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($400k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $425k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.63%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $307,591
- Equity at exit
- $382,874
- IRR
- 28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 8.02×
- Total profit
- $835,860
- Equity at exit
- $825,682
Cash invested: $119,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33496
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 324
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,718 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,229
- Tax from tax record
- −$309 /mo · $3,707/yr
- Insurance
- −$177
- HOA
- −$550
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,201
- Net cashflow
- $1,253
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $106,250
- Closing costs
- $12,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4695 Brandywine Dr Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1974 | $4,750 | $2.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 17768 Maplewood Dr Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2123 | $5,200 | $2.45 | 22d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 6503 N Military Trl Boca Raton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1155 | $3,211 | $2.78 | 1d | 52 | 0.67mi |
| 2464 NW 66th Dr Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2568 | $10,000 | $3.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5605 Forest Oaks Ter Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2092 | $10,000 | $4.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2485 NW 66th Dr Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2472 | $9,500 | $3.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2485 NW 66th Dr Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2472 | $9,500 | $3.84 | 10d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 16843 Boca Delray Dr Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1533 | $4,900 | $3.20 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 17372 Boca Club Blvd #408 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1271 | $5,000 | $3.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 16658 La Mesa Dr Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1779 | $4,000 | $2.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5555 N Military Trl Boca Raton, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1282 | $5,069 | $3.95 | 1d | 21 | 1.11mi |
| 17699 Tiffany Trace Dr Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2264 | $8,000 | $3.53 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 17324 Boca Club Blvd #903 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $4,800 | $3.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5500 N Military Trl Boca Raton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1053 | $5,719 | $5.43 | 3d | 27 | 1.19mi |
| 5801 NW 24th Ave #1001 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1957 | $13,000 | $6.64 | 17d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 17099 Ryton Ln Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2492 | $18,000 | $7.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 17274 Boca Club Blvd #2308 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1271 | $3,500 | $2.75 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4983 Garden Dr Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $15,000 | $7.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5072 Alencia Ct Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1638 | $4,500 | $2.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 17256 Boca Club Blvd #1401 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1271 | $5,800 | $4.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 17712 Candlewood Ter Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1984 | $5,000 | $2.52 | 5d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 17712 Candlewood Ter Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1984 | $5,000 | $2.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2237 NW 53rd St Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2305 | $25,000 | $10.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2011 NW 53rd St Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2461 | $11,000 | $4.47 | 12d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2093 NW 52nd St Unit 2093 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1835 | $13,000 | $7.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2034 NW 52nd St Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1527 | $12,000 | $7.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 6750 Congress Ave Boca Raton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $3,464 | $3.30 | 1d | 11 | 1.34mi |
| 2431 NW 59th St #404 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1957 | $10,000 | $5.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2218 NW 52nd St Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1482 | $13,000 | $8.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 16415 Berry Way Delray Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1605 | $3,000 | $1.87 | 17d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4801 S Citation Dr Delray Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1180 | $3,696 | $3.13 | 1d | 38 | 1.35mi |
| 17309 Balboa Point Way Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2013 | $5,500 | $2.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 17317 Boca Club Blvd #8 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1639 | $3,500 | $2.14 | 17d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 17210 Boca Club Blvd #103 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2194 | $4,000 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 17275 Ventana Dr Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2457 | $7,200 | $2.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5500 Broken Sound Blvd NW Boca Raton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1258 | $4,763 | $3.78 | 3d | 22 | 1.42mi |
| 17287 Boca Club Blvd #8 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1976 | $5,800 | $2.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5241 Jog Ln Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1806 | $3,650 | $2.02 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $550 · $6,600/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
-
2026-04-29historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-05price $425,000
-
2026-03-02$449,900 Active
-
2013-05-06soldstatus $150,000
-
2013-05-01soldstatus $150,000 Sold 42-char remark
Show marketing remark (42 chars)
Fabulous DeLeon model, wrap around terrace
-
2013-04-17historical Contingent 42-char remark
Show marketing remark (42 chars)
Fabulous DeLeon model, wrap around terrace
-
2013-04-10$199,000 New 42-char remark
Show marketing remark (42 chars)
Fabulous DeLeon model, wrap around terrace
-
1991-05-01soldstatus $182,500
-
1989-12-28soldstatus $179,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,707 · $309/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,707 · $309/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $68,618
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,807
- − Property taxes
- −$3,707
- − Insurance
- −$2,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,489
- − Management
- −$5,489
- − HOA
- −$6,600
- − Depreciation
- −$12,364
- Taxable income
- $9,037
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,169
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,863/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Boca Raton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #192
- US rank
- #3070
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 250,102
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,579
- Household income
- $114,885
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 464.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 13% Romanian 9% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.48%
- Current HPI
- 313.9058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.31%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+137.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-29 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-05 Price Changed $425,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-02 Listed $449,900 Beaches MLS
- 2013-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2013-05-01 Sold (MLS) $150,000 Beaches MLS
- 2013-04-17 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2013-04-10 Listed $199,000 Beaches MLS
- 1991-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $182,500 Public Records
- 1989-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $179,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,707 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…