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1020 3rd Ave
B+ Composite 77.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

1020 3rd Ave · Port Arthur, TX 77642
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,068 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1958 7,841 sqft lot $47/sqft · 40% below area Est $84k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all investors! This Port Arthur property is a full rehab opportunity with strong upside potential! Approximately 1058 square feet, built in 1958 and on a corner lot. Buyer to verify all property dimensions. Being sold as-is, where-is! Ideal for investors, flippers or redevelopment opportunity! Bring your vision and turn this into your next real estate project!

Key facts

  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • Listed 80 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $498 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.8% vs local median 5.0% in Port Arthur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,014 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Port Arthur ISD (urban): math 15% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #796 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.4%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $47,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.38%
Cap rate
19.83%
Cash-on-cash
48.36%
DSCR
3.15
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$83,787
List price
$50,000
Delta
-40.33%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3208 10th St 0.13mi 2/1.0 1,062 (-1%) 22mo $64,900 $61 75
1235 Dequeen Blvd 0.54mi 2/1.0 1,008 (-6%) 5mo $10,000 $10 61
3335 14th St 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,108 (+4%) 20mo $95,000 $86 52
2217 Rev Dr Ransom Howard St 0.71mi 2/1.0 1,144 (+7%) 18mo $30,000 $26 40
530 Liberty Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,127 (+6%) 15mo $210,000 $186 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.7%
Equity multiple
3.14×
Total profit
$29,962
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
53.9%
Equity multiple
7.85×
Total profit
$95,836
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77642

Rents YoY
14.4%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,189 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,109/yr
Insurance
$21
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$498

Break-even live

Break-even rent $559
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3000 8th St Port Arthur, TX 2.0 1.0 780 $1,195 $1.53 23d 1 0.21mi
3501 5th St Port Arthur, TX 3.0 1.0 1237 $1,200 $0.97 44d 1 0.56mi
2510 Avenue A Port Arthur, TX 2.0 2.0 1270 $1,500 $1.18 23d 1 1.01mi
1409 10th St Port Arthur, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $925 $0.93 44d 1 1.24mi
1409 10th St Unit A Port Arthur, TX 3.0 1.0 1278 $1,275 $1.00 21d 1 1.24mi
1300 18th St Port Arthur, TX 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,495 $1.07 44d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $50,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $50,000 Active 72 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 71 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 62 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $50,000 Active 61 DOM
  16. 2026-03-30
    listed $50,000 Active 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (370 chars)

    Calling all investors! This Port Arthur property is a full rehab opportunity with strong upside potential! Approximately 1058 square feet, built in 1958 and on a corner lot. Buyer to verify all property dimensions. Being sold as-is, where-is! Ideal for investors, flippers or redevelopment opportunity! Bring your vision and turn this into your next real estate project!

  17. 2026-03-30
    listed $50,000 Active 370-char remark
    Show marketing remark (370 chars)

    Calling all investors! This Port Arthur property is a full rehab opportunity with strong upside potential! Approximately 1058 square feet, built in 1958 and on a corner lot. Buyer to verify all property dimensions. Being sold as-is, where-is! Ideal for investors, flippers or redevelopment opportunity! Bring your vision and turn this into your next real estate project!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,109 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,109 · $92/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,274
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$1,109
− Insurance
−$1,048
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,142
− Management
−$1,142
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$5,578
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,339
After-tax cash flow
$4,634/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Port Arthur ISD
NCES district ID
4835400
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$31,795
Composite
14.9/100
National rank
#9373
State rank
#796 of 826 in TX

Livability — Port Arthur

Score
61/100
State rank
#1014
US rank
#18061

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port Arthur, TX
County
Jefferson County · 203,592 people
City population
38,358
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
38,358
Household income
$42,950
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
1775.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
259,015 people
By 2030
260,685 · +0.6%
By 2040
263,309 · +1.7%
By 2050
265,237 · +2.4%
By 2075
270,193 · +4.3%
By 2100
255,628 · -1.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 42% Black 37% Two or more races 18% White 12% Asian 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% European 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 37% Vietnamese 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -86.58%
Current HPI
152.1615
Rent YoY
▲ 14.42%
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $50,000 Deep East Texas MLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $50,000 BBOR

Property tax history

+9.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,109 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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