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LINNET Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 36.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$214,990

LINNET Plan · Crandall, TX 75114
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,419 sqft · SingleFamily · 304 Days on market
Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the two-story Linnet floorplan! This charming home plan seamlessly blends elegance and practicality, perfect for a variety of family needs. The exterior of this home showcases custom architectural details with beautifully designed siding elevations, giving it a timeless and inviting curb appeal. A welcoming covered front porch leads you to the raised-panel fiberglass insulated front door, with decorative door options available to further enhance the entrance. Upon entering, you're greeted by a bright and airy foyer that opens into the heart of the home. The kitchen is a true highlight, featuring 36" cabinets with hidden hinges for a sleek look, stainless-steel appliances for a modern touch, and durable wood plank laminate floors. The thoughtfully designed layout includes a built-in sink, dishwasher, and a spacious walk-in pantry, ensuring plenty of storage and easy organization for everyday living. The spacious primary bedroom serves as the perfect retreat, offering an adjoining bathroom that includes a vanity with a non-framed mirror and a walk-in closet for added convenience. This cozy yet practical design helps you start and end your day with ease, offering a serene space to relax. The primary bathroom is equipped with everything you need for comfort and functionality. The home is finished with laminate wood plank flooring throughout the first floor, while the second floor (if applicable) features plush ½" carpet. Additionally, this plan offers modern features s

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • 36 inch cabinets
  • Two story floorplan

Tags

TWO STORY FLOORPLANCUSTOM ARCHITECTURAL DETAILSCOVERED FRONT PORCHRAISED PANEL FIBERGLASS DOORBRIGHT AND AIRY FOYER36 INCH CABINETS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $214,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $262,214.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $215k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-202 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (5.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $189k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#507 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Crandall ISD (rural): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #351 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 787 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 304 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $189,191 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 304 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.37%
Cash-on-cash
-3.29%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$262,214
List price
$214,990
Delta
-18.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2228 Starling St 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (+3%) 1mo $264,000 $181 64
2071 Wildcat Trl 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,480 (+4%) 1mo $244,900 $165 61
1973 Ocelot St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,354 (-5%) 4mo $215,000 $159 55
3169 Maplehurst Ave 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,522 (+7%) 1mo $223,000 $147 54
3346 Meadowleaf Rd 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,302 (-8%) 1mo $226,499 $174 53
3138 Maplehurst Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,522 (+7%) 2mo $225,499 $148 50
3354 Meadowleaf Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,522 (+7%) 8mo $222,649 $146 49
3133 Maplehurst Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,302 (-8%) 2mo $208,199 $160 49
3338 Meadowleaf Rd 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,522 (+7%) 10mo $229,599 $151 46
3125 Maplehurst Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,302 (-8%) 6mo $218,699 $168 44
3341 Meadowleaf Rd 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,302 (-8%) 11mo $215,290 $165 44
3330 Meadowleaf Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,302 (-8%) 10mo $223,249 $171 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.8%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-55,297
Equity at exit
$39,097
10-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.12×
Total profit
$-64,557
Equity at exit
$22,671

Cash invested: $73,420 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75114

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Active inventory
787
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,039 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,375
Tax est. 1.5%
$328 /mo · $3,933/yr
Insurance
$109
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$428
Net cashflow
$-202

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,294
Max offer price $233,048
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-20 -5% $-111 +0% $-202 +5% $-292 +10% $-383
Rent -10% $-363 -5% $-282 +0% $-202 +5% $-121 +10% $-41
Rate -1.0pp $-70 -0.5pp $-135 base $-202 +0.5pp $-270 +1.0pp $-339

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,554
Closing costs
$7,866
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1322 Olivewood Pl Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1458 $2,100 $1.44 8d 1 0.84mi
2043 Serval Ln Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1544 $2,100 $1.36 44d 1 0.86mi
2505 Milne Ct Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $2,500 $1.72 19d 1 0.91mi
3324 Price Trl Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,995 $1.54 17d 1 1.05mi
2117 Ocelot St Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1481 $1,875 $1.27 44d 1 1.09mi
2127 Ocelot St Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1383 $2,200 $1.59 44d 1 1.12mi
4171 Silverstein St Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1311 $1,900 $1.45 13d 1 1.21mi
2960 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $2,000 $1.39 44d 1 1.22mi
2961 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,855 $1.47 2d 1 1.23mi
3104 Helix Bay Dr Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,675 $1.32 25d 1 1.23mi
4152 Silverstein St Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,925 $1.52 25d 1 1.25mi
3101 Helix Bay Dr Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,745 $1.38 25d 1 1.26mi
3103 Helix Bay Dr Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,729 $1.20 3d 1 1.26mi
2973 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,665 $1.16 44d 1 1.27mi
3121 Helix Bay Dr Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,675 $1.16 44d 1 1.29mi
106 N 4th St Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 44d 1 1.30mi
3352 Beckwith Way Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,850 $1.46 16d 1 1.31mi
2991 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,895 $1.50 44d 1 1.32mi
505 S 5th St Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,900 $1.40 44d 1 1.34mi
2204 Boiling Springs Rd Crandall, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0 1497 $2,131 $1.42 2d 5 1.36mi
204 Fox Run Crandall, TX 3.0 1.5 1034 $1,450 $1.40 5d 1 1.37mi
3007 Wallace Wells Ct Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,950 $1.35 44d 1 1.38mi
3315 Beckwith Way Crandall, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,685 $1.17 44d 1 1.43mi
106 W Church St Crandall, TX 2.0 1.0 984 $1,500 $1.52 21d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $214,990 Active 304 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $214,990 Active 303 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $214,990 Active 302 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $214,990 Active 299 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $214,990 Active 298 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $214,990 Active 297 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $214,990 Active 296 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $214,990 Active 295 DOM
  9. 2026-01-24
    price $214,990 1517-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1517 chars)

    Welcome to the two-story Linnet floorplan! This charming home plan seamlessly blends elegance and practicality, perfect for a variety of family needs. The exterior of this home showcases custom architectural details with beautifully designed siding elevations, giving it a timeless and inviting curb appeal. A welcoming covered front porch leads you to the raised-panel fiberglass insulated front door, with decorative door options available to further enhance the entrance. Upon entering, you're greeted by a bright and airy foyer that opens into the heart of the home. The kitchen is a true highlight, featuring 36" cabinets with hidden hinges for a sleek look, stainless-steel appliances for a modern touch, and durable wood plank laminate floors. The thoughtfully designed layout includes a built-in sink, dishwasher, and a spacious walk-in pantry, ensuring plenty of storage and easy organization for everyday living. The spacious primary bedroom serves as the perfect retreat, offering an adjoining bathroom that includes a vanity with a non-framed mirror and a walk-in closet for added convenience. This cozy yet practical design helps you start and end your day with ease, offering a serene space to relax. The primary bathroom is equipped with everything you need for comfort and functionality. The home is finished with laminate wood plank flooring throughout the first floor, while the second floor (if applicable) features plush ½" carpet. Additionally, this plan offers modern features s

  10. 2025-08-09
    listed $211,990 Active 1517-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1517 chars)

    Welcome to the two-story Linnet floorplan! This charming home plan seamlessly blends elegance and practicality, perfect for a variety of family needs. The exterior of this home showcases custom architectural details with beautifully designed siding elevations, giving it a timeless and inviting curb appeal. A welcoming covered front porch leads you to the raised-panel fiberglass insulated front door, with decorative door options available to further enhance the entrance. Upon entering, you're greeted by a bright and airy foyer that opens into the heart of the home. The kitchen is a true highlight, featuring 36" cabinets with hidden hinges for a sleek look, stainless-steel appliances for a modern touch, and durable wood plank laminate floors. The thoughtfully designed layout includes a built-in sink, dishwasher, and a spacious walk-in pantry, ensuring plenty of storage and easy organization for everyday living. The spacious primary bedroom serves as the perfect retreat, offering an adjoining bathroom that includes a vanity with a non-framed mirror and a walk-in closet for added convenience. This cozy yet practical design helps you start and end your day with ease, offering a serene space to relax. The primary bathroom is equipped with everything you need for comfort and functionality. The home is finished with laminate wood plank flooring throughout the first floor, while the second floor (if applicable) features plush ½" carpet. Additionally, this plan offers modern features s

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,464
− Mortgage interest
−$14,688
− Property taxes
−$3,933
− Insurance
−$1,311
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,957
− Management
−$1,957
− Depreciation
−$7,628
Taxable loss
−$7,011
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,683
After-tax cash flow
$-736/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This two-story Linnet home in Crandall, TX is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a great opportunity for an investor to enhance its value with a fresh exterior paint job, hardwood flooring, and smart home automation.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves aesthetics and increases value
  • Both Install smart home automation — Enhances convenience and adds modern appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves aesthetics and increases value
  • Both Install smart home automation — Enhances convenience and adds modern appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crandall ISD
NCES district ID
4815510
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$70,076
Composite
35.57/100
National rank
#4901
State rank
#351 of 826 in TX

Livability — Crandall

Score
68/100
State rank
#507
US rank
#10022

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Kaufman County · 122,338 people
City population
9,333
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
9,333
Household income
$88,013
Rent vs Own
12.7% rent · 87.3% own
Severe rent burden
33.0

Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,716 people
By 2030
150,815 · +8.7%
By 2040
174,877 · +26.1%
By 2050
198,020 · +42.8%
By 2075
251,908 · +81.6%
By 2100
285,325 · +105.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 14% Black 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, China
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.61%
Current HPI
196.4773
Rent YoY
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-24 Price Changed $214,990 Zillow
  • 2025-08-09 Listed $211,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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