CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
8 Dogwood Drive Trl
D- Composite 37.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.9/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.1/10.0

$290,250

8 Dogwood Drive Trl · Silver Springs Shores, FL 34472
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,860 sqft · Land · 177 Days on market
Built 2026 10,019 sqft lot $156/sqft · at area comps Est $281k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

READY NOW. Brand New Block Home construction. emp price drop valid on contract signed on or before 6/13/26 by 5pm. Spacious split and open floorplan. House has a bonus room ideal for a study, home office, nursery, craft room, den or playroom. You will love the additional height of the tray ceiling complete with crown molding in the master bedroom. Large 5' tiled shower in the master bath in lieu of a garden tub, stylish cabinets throughout, stainless appliances (Range, Microwave, Dishwasher), mini-blind insert in rear doors to covered 14x10 patio. Tile flooring in all wet areas, TAEXX in-wall pest control system. Builder Warranty! Closing costs paid when using Seller Approved lenders. Elevation photo is rendering and used for illustration purposes only. INTERIOR PHOTOS are the same floorplan in different home just for reference of potential finished product. Colors and options WILL vary.

Key facts

  • Tray ceiling
  • Stainless appliances
  • Bonus room

Tags

BONUS ROOMTRAY CEILINGCROWN MOLDINGTILED SHOWERSTAINLESS APPLIANCESMINI-BLIND INSERT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-302 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $237k (18.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (38.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $178k (38.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#527 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D, schools F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 674 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $290k implies a 2050% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $177,679 (38.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.61%
Cap rate
5.05%
Cash-on-cash
-4.45%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
13.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$280,500
List price
$290,250
Delta
3.48%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

5.93% appreciation · 0.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$58,346
Equity at exit
$181,227
10-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$177,766
Equity at exit
$327,585

Cash invested: $81,270 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34472

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
674
Price-to-rent
13.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,777 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,522
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$373
Net cashflow
$-302

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,159
Max offer price $236,951
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,562
Closing costs
$8,708
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
88 Dogwood Drive Loop Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1659 $1,600 $0.96 21d 1 0.13mi
21 Dogwood Drive Pass Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1390 $1,595 $1.15 21d 1 0.15mi
98 Dogwood Drive Cir Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1337 $1,695 $1.27 21d 1 0.38mi
2 Dogwood Drive Pl Ocala, FL 4.0 2.0 1608 $2,099 $1.31 21d 1 0.50mi
9 Pine Course Radl Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,725 $1.19 14d 1 0.50mi
6 Cedar Dr Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1477 $1,675 $1.13 21d 1 0.53mi
3 Pine Circle Pass Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1674 $1,700 $1.02 21d 1 0.63mi
57 Pine Cir Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1270 $1,897 $1.49 14d 1 0.65mi
11 Aspen Dr Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,725 $1.27 21d 1 0.68mi
23 Aspen Dr Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1399 $1,650 $1.18 21d 1 0.68mi
139 Pine Crse Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1398 $1,645 $1.18 14d 1 0.69mi
28 Poplar Run Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1473 $1,650 $1.12 14d 1 1.10mi
6875 SE 52nd St Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1624 $1,750 $1.08 21d 1 1.16mi
7 Pine Run Ter Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1432 $1,500 $1.05 14d 1 1.16mi
43 Water Track Loop Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1287 $1,799 $1.40 14d 1 1.18mi
50 Walnut Run Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1287 $1,795 $1.39 14d 1 1.21mi
7044 Hemlock Crse Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1270 $1,897 $1.49 14d 1 1.27mi
123 Juniper Loop Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1445 $1,695 $1.17 21d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $290,250 Pending 177 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $290,250 Active 176 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $290,250 Active 175 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $290,250 Active 174 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $290,250 Active 173 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $290,250 Active 169 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $290,250 Active 168 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $290,250 Active 166 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $290,250 Active 165 DOM
  10. 2026-05-11
    price $290,250 900-char remark
    Show marketing remark (900 chars)

    READY NOW. Brand New Block Home construction. emp price drop valid on contract signed on or before 6/13/26 by 5pm. Spacious split and open floorplan. House has a bonus room ideal for a study, home office, nursery, craft room, den or playroom. You will love the additional height of the tray ceiling complete with crown molding in the master bedroom. Large 5' tiled shower in the master bath in lieu of a garden tub, stylish cabinets throughout, stainless appliances (Range, Microwave, Dishwasher), mini-blind insert in rear doors to covered 14x10 patio. Tile flooring in all wet areas, TAEXX in-wall pest control system. Builder Warranty! Closing costs paid when using Seller Approved lenders. Elevation photo is rendering and used for illustration purposes only. INTERIOR PHOTOS are the same floorplan in different home just for reference of potential finished product. Colors and options WILL vary.

  11. 2026-05-11
    price $325,250 900-char remark
    Show marketing remark (900 chars)

    READY NOW. Brand New Block Home construction. emp price drop valid on contract signed on or before 6/13/26 by 5pm. Spacious split and open floorplan. House has a bonus room ideal for a study, home office, nursery, craft room, den or playroom. You will love the additional height of the tray ceiling complete with crown molding in the master bedroom. Large 5' tiled shower in the master bath in lieu of a garden tub, stylish cabinets throughout, stainless appliances (Range, Microwave, Dishwasher), mini-blind insert in rear doors to covered 14x10 patio. Tile flooring in all wet areas, TAEXX in-wall pest control system. Builder Warranty! Closing costs paid when using Seller Approved lenders. Elevation photo is rendering and used for illustration purposes only. INTERIOR PHOTOS are the same floorplan in different home just for reference of potential finished product. Colors and options WILL vary.

  12. 2026-04-23
    status Active 900-char remark
    Show marketing remark (900 chars)

    READY NOW. Brand New Block Home construction. emp price drop valid on contract signed on or before 6/13/26 by 5pm. Spacious split and open floorplan. House has a bonus room ideal for a study, home office, nursery, craft room, den or playroom. You will love the additional height of the tray ceiling complete with crown molding in the master bedroom. Large 5' tiled shower in the master bath in lieu of a garden tub, stylish cabinets throughout, stainless appliances (Range, Microwave, Dishwasher), mini-blind insert in rear doors to covered 14x10 patio. Tile flooring in all wet areas, TAEXX in-wall pest control system. Builder Warranty! Closing costs paid when using Seller Approved lenders. Elevation photo is rendering and used for illustration purposes only. INTERIOR PHOTOS are the same floorplan in different home just for reference of potential finished product. Colors and options WILL vary.

  13. 2026-04-21
    status Active 900-char remark
    Show marketing remark (900 chars)

    READY NOW. Brand New Block Home construction. emp price drop valid on contract signed on or before 6/13/26 by 5pm. Spacious split and open floorplan. House has a bonus room ideal for a study, home office, nursery, craft room, den or playroom. You will love the additional height of the tray ceiling complete with crown molding in the master bedroom. Large 5' tiled shower in the master bath in lieu of a garden tub, stylish cabinets throughout, stainless appliances (Range, Microwave, Dishwasher), mini-blind insert in rear doors to covered 14x10 patio. Tile flooring in all wet areas, TAEXX in-wall pest control system. Builder Warranty! Closing costs paid when using Seller Approved lenders. Elevation photo is rendering and used for illustration purposes only. INTERIOR PHOTOS are the same floorplan in different home just for reference of potential finished product. Colors and options WILL vary.

  14. 2026-04-16
    price $295,250 900-char remark
    Show marketing remark (900 chars)

    READY NOW. Brand New Block Home construction. emp price drop valid on contract signed on or before 6/13/26 by 5pm. Spacious split and open floorplan. House has a bonus room ideal for a study, home office, nursery, craft room, den or playroom. You will love the additional height of the tray ceiling complete with crown molding in the master bedroom. Large 5' tiled shower in the master bath in lieu of a garden tub, stylish cabinets throughout, stainless appliances (Range, Microwave, Dishwasher), mini-blind insert in rear doors to covered 14x10 patio. Tile flooring in all wet areas, TAEXX in-wall pest control system. Builder Warranty! Closing costs paid when using Seller Approved lenders. Elevation photo is rendering and used for illustration purposes only. INTERIOR PHOTOS are the same floorplan in different home just for reference of potential finished product. Colors and options WILL vary.

  15. 2026-04-13
    price $325,250 900-char remark
    Show marketing remark (900 chars)

    READY NOW. Brand New Block Home construction. emp price drop valid on contract signed on or before 6/13/26 by 5pm. Spacious split and open floorplan. House has a bonus room ideal for a study, home office, nursery, craft room, den or playroom. You will love the additional height of the tray ceiling complete with crown molding in the master bedroom. Large 5' tiled shower in the master bath in lieu of a garden tub, stylish cabinets throughout, stainless appliances (Range, Microwave, Dishwasher), mini-blind insert in rear doors to covered 14x10 patio. Tile flooring in all wet areas, TAEXX in-wall pest control system. Builder Warranty! Closing costs paid when using Seller Approved lenders. Elevation photo is rendering and used for illustration purposes only. INTERIOR PHOTOS are the same floorplan in different home just for reference of potential finished product. Colors and options WILL vary.

  16. 2026-03-09
    price $300,250 900-char remark
    Show marketing remark (900 chars)

    READY NOW. Brand New Block Home construction. emp price drop valid on contract signed on or before 6/13/26 by 5pm. Spacious split and open floorplan. House has a bonus room ideal for a study, home office, nursery, craft room, den or playroom. You will love the additional height of the tray ceiling complete with crown molding in the master bedroom. Large 5' tiled shower in the master bath in lieu of a garden tub, stylish cabinets throughout, stainless appliances (Range, Microwave, Dishwasher), mini-blind insert in rear doors to covered 14x10 patio. Tile flooring in all wet areas, TAEXX in-wall pest control system. Builder Warranty! Closing costs paid when using Seller Approved lenders. Elevation photo is rendering and used for illustration purposes only. INTERIOR PHOTOS are the same floorplan in different home just for reference of potential finished product. Colors and options WILL vary.

  17. 2025-12-14
    listed $325,250 Active 900-char remark
    Show marketing remark (900 chars)

    READY NOW. Brand New Block Home construction. emp price drop valid on contract signed on or before 6/13/26 by 5pm. Spacious split and open floorplan. House has a bonus room ideal for a study, home office, nursery, craft room, den or playroom. You will love the additional height of the tray ceiling complete with crown molding in the master bedroom. Large 5' tiled shower in the master bath in lieu of a garden tub, stylish cabinets throughout, stainless appliances (Range, Microwave, Dishwasher), mini-blind insert in rear doors to covered 14x10 patio. Tile flooring in all wet areas, TAEXX in-wall pest control system. Builder Warranty! Closing costs paid when using Seller Approved lenders. Elevation photo is rendering and used for illustration purposes only. INTERIOR PHOTOS are the same floorplan in different home just for reference of potential finished product. Colors and options WILL vary.

  18. 2005-02-23
    soldstatus $13,500
  19. 2004-08-11
    soldstatus $10,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$748 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,409 · $201/mo
Expected delta
+$1,661/yr (+$138/mo · 222.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,321
− Mortgage interest
−$16,259
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$1,451
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,706
− Management
−$1,706
− Depreciation
−$8,444
Taxable loss
−$8,991
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,158
After-tax cash flow
$-1,463/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Silver Springs Shores

Score
68/100
State rank
#527
US rank
#9854

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Silver Springs Shores, FL
County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
34,665
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,851
Household income
$64,208
Rent vs Own
19.9% rent · 80.1% own
Severe rent burden
655.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.93%
Current HPI
255.0714
Rent YoY
▲ 0.17%
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2562.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $290,250 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $325,250 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-23 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $295,250 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $325,250 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $300,250 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-14 Listed $325,250 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $13,500 Public Records
  • 2004-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $10,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+18.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $748 · +181.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…