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736 Thedford Rd
B- Composite 68.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

736 Thedford Rd · Seagoville, TX 75159
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,027 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1987 7,187 sqft lot $146/sqft · 24% below area Est $198k · 24% under ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Exceptional opportunity to transform this 3-bedroom, 1'5 bath home offering 1,027 sq. ft. of living space. With a desirable layout and a prime location, it’s an ideal project for buyers looking to renovate or invest. Sold AS-IS—bring your vision and restore its full potential.AGENT OR BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION ON MLS, INFORMATION RELIABLE NOT GUARANTEED!

Key facts

  • 7,187 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1987

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.1% in Seagoville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#319 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 280 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $141,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
9.16%
Cash-on-cash
10.26%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$197,688
List price
$150,000
Delta
-24.12%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
736 Thedford Rd 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,027 (0%) 0mo $150,000 $146 100
730 High School Dr 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,033 (+1%) 1mo $165,000 $160 91
747 High School Dr 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,092 (+6%) 3mo $199,999 $183 80
815 Thedford 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,100 (+7%) 7mo $214,900 $195 74
815 Quinette Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,016 (-1%) 18mo $250,000 $246 72
824 Johnnie Row 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,022 (-0%) 8mo $199,900 $196 69
740 Quinette Dr 0.06mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,108 (+8%) 14mo $199,000 $180 68
718 Judy Ln 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,088 (+6%) 21mo $165,000 $152 58
1610 Woodhaven Dr 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,090 (+6%) 6mo $184,900 $170 54
1311 Crosscreek 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,065 (+4%) 21mo $230,000 $216 51
1328 Riverview Ln 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,114 (+8%) 10mo $255,000 $229 47
1309 Bryan Pl 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,150 (+12%) 12mo $189,900 $165 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-7,373
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$147
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75159

Home prices YoY
-13.8%
Rents YoY
-2.9%
Active inventory
280
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,086 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$440 /mo · $5,280/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$359

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,632
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
813 Huddleston Ct Seagoville, TX 3.0 2.0 1460 $1,855 $1.27 3d 1 0.23mi
521 Jean Dr Seagoville, TX 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,825 $1.69 3d 1 0.38mi
1304 Riverview Ln Seagoville, TX 3.0 2.0 1490 $1,899 $1.27 24d 1 0.50mi
707 Shadybrook Ln Seagoville, TX 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,950 $1.45 44d 1 0.51mi
702 Catherine Ln Seagoville, TX 3.0 1.0 945 $1,650 $1.75 44d 1 0.55mi
1324 Bluffview Dr Unit C Seagoville, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,295 $1.13 24d 1 0.61mi
1610 Parkhaven Dr Seagoville, TX 4.0 1.5 1450 $1,695 $1.17 15d 1 0.62mi
108 US HWY Seagoville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1340 $2,650 $1.98 1d 48 1.09mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    status $150,000 Pending 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-05-16
    price $150,000 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Exceptional opportunity to transform this 3-bedroom, 1'5 bath home offering 1,027 sq. ft. of living space. With a desirable layout and a prime location, it’s an ideal project for buyers looking to renovate or invest. Sold AS-IS—bring your vision and restore its full potential.AGENT OR BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION ON MLS, INFORMATION RELIABLE NOT GUARANTEED!

  7. 2026-05-15
    price $155,000 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Exceptional opportunity to transform this 3-bedroom, 1'5 bath home offering 1,027 sq. ft. of living space. With a desirable layout and a prime location, it’s an ideal project for buyers looking to renovate or invest. Sold AS-IS—bring your vision and restore its full potential.AGENT OR BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION ON MLS, INFORMATION RELIABLE NOT GUARANTEED!

  8. 2026-05-08
    price $165,000 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Exceptional opportunity to transform this 3-bedroom, 1'5 bath home offering 1,027 sq. ft. of living space. With a desirable layout and a prime location, it’s an ideal project for buyers looking to renovate or invest. Sold AS-IS—bring your vision and restore its full potential.AGENT OR BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION ON MLS, INFORMATION RELIABLE NOT GUARANTEED!

  9. 2026-04-29
    price $169,900 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Exceptional opportunity to transform this 3-bedroom, 1'5 bath home offering 1,027 sq. ft. of living space. With a desirable layout and a prime location, it’s an ideal project for buyers looking to renovate or invest. Sold AS-IS—bring your vision and restore its full potential.AGENT OR BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION ON MLS, INFORMATION RELIABLE NOT GUARANTEED!

  10. 2026-04-18
    price $174,900 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Exceptional opportunity to transform this 3-bedroom, 1'5 bath home offering 1,027 sq. ft. of living space. With a desirable layout and a prime location, it’s an ideal project for buyers looking to renovate or invest. Sold AS-IS—bring your vision and restore its full potential.AGENT OR BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION ON MLS, INFORMATION RELIABLE NOT GUARANTEED!

  11. 2026-04-12
    price $179,900 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Exceptional opportunity to transform this 3-bedroom, 1'5 bath home offering 1,027 sq. ft. of living space. With a desirable layout and a prime location, it’s an ideal project for buyers looking to renovate or invest. Sold AS-IS—bring your vision and restore its full potential.AGENT OR BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION ON MLS, INFORMATION RELIABLE NOT GUARANTEED!

  12. 2026-04-06
    price $185,000 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Exceptional opportunity to transform this 3-bedroom, 1'5 bath home offering 1,027 sq. ft. of living space. With a desirable layout and a prime location, it’s an ideal project for buyers looking to renovate or invest. Sold AS-IS—bring your vision and restore its full potential.AGENT OR BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION ON MLS, INFORMATION RELIABLE NOT GUARANTEED!

  13. 2026-04-03
    listed $190,000 Active 374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (374 chars)

    Exceptional opportunity to transform this 3-bedroom, 1'5 bath home offering 1,027 sq. ft. of living space. With a desirable layout and a prime location, it’s an ideal project for buyers looking to renovate or invest. Sold AS-IS—bring your vision and restore its full potential.AGENT OR BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION ON MLS, INFORMATION RELIABLE NOT GUARANTEED!

  14. 2022-10-05
    soldstatus
  15. 2021-10-04
    soldstatus
  16. 2008-04-28
    soldstatus
  17. 1999-03-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,280 · $440/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,280 · $440/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,034
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$5,280
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,003
− Management
−$2,003
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$2,232
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$536
After-tax cash flow
$3,771/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dallas ISD
NCES district ID
4816230
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,881
Composite
28.41/100
National rank
#6763
State rank
#559 of 826 in TX

Livability — Seagoville

Score
71/100
State rank
#319
US rank
#7103

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Seagoville, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
23,456
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
23,456
Household income
$72,897
Rent vs Own
19.0% rent · 81.0% own
Severe rent burden
422.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 32% Two or more races 20% Black 17%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 35%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.45%
Current HPI
321.2065
Rent YoY
▼ -2.86%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-21.1% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $150,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $155,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $165,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $169,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $174,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-12 Price Changed $179,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $185,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $190,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-10-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-10-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-04-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1999-03-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,280 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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